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‘The Black Swan Election’: Trump’s Campaign Chiefs Tell Their Inside Story

Isn’t Trump the first traitor to be elected President?

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Obviously you equate a traitor to the Crown being equivalent to a traitor to a country that, purposefully, doesn’t have a crown.

Should NEVER have a crown.

But you just voted for one. And now not even the one you voted for.

Yes. Our founding father were traitors. Treasonous. To a Crown.

Now you’re trying to make light of. Making jokes. About their decisions.

That’s where we are now as a nation.
 
Perhaps the dems can buy a few of these right-wing strategists. Seems like republicans have been ahead of them here for a while now.
Everyone has their price. We will see this for the next 4 years….. again! Have you bought your Chinese Bible/Declaration/Constitution yet? Only 6 more shopping days to Christmas!
 
If the Dems want to win in ‘26 and ‘28 they damn well better pay attention to what happened. Having the humility to learn a lesson in defeat is incredibly important to figuring out how you move forward. The interview was excellent in understanding how team MAGA played their hand. Whether they directly drove the outcome or were handed the outcome based on macro factors there is much to glean from how they thought about their campaign. A couple observations on their view of Kamala’s mistakes:

“They ran a campaign that was literally just geared toward the base. They ran a base campaign in a presidential election.”

“Stick to a single fricking message. Find a message and ride it.”


In retrospect I think Kamala was probably DOA no matter what she did and they do give her credit for outperforming where Biden was polling. But the failure to redefine Kamala as a moderate in touch with everyday Americans and the failure to find one key message that resonates were huge unforced errors.
 
Fwiw, had a central commitee meeting for Dallas County GOP last night. They gave us some insight on this also. We were told Trump did an internal poll on the 7 swing states, post debate with Biden, and felt like he would win all 7. He started getting people for positions and working with senators to see who he could get into his cabinet at that time.

The message from the party to the representatives will be, we voted Maga, we want Maga policies. We didn't vote for Teump for the Jodi Ernst of the world to glaze him over, she is up in '26 and will be reminded of that. The focus is this being a 2 year admin not a 4 year admin as the midterms likely create gridlock. ( though by my math the dems have more seats to lose than the repubs. )
 
Fwiw, had a central commitee meeting for Dallas County GOP last night. They gave us some insight on this also. We were told Trump did an internal poll on the 7 swing states, post debate with Biden, and felt like he would win all 7. He started getting people for positions and working with senators to see who he could get into his cabinet at that time.

The message from the party to the representatives will be, we voted Maga, we want Maga policies. We didn't vote for Teump for the Jodi Ernst of the world to glaze him over, she is up in '26 and will be reminded of that. The focus is this being a 2 year admin not a 4 year admin as the midterms likely create gridlock. ( though by my math the dems have more seats to lose than the repubs. )
i have to say, its a little unfortunate that any western institution has an organization called the "central committee" after the last century. ;)

Re timing, (i) yeah, my buddy was talking to them about dos positions and going through some vetting in july, and (ii) i think your 2026 math is wrong.
 
Fwiw, had a central commitee meeting for Dallas County GOP last night. They gave us some insight on this also. We were told Trump did an internal poll on the 7 swing states, post debate with Biden, and felt like he would win all 7. He started getting people for positions and working with senators to see who he could get into his cabinet at that time.

The message from the party to the representatives will be, we voted Maga, we want Maga policies. We didn't vote for Teump for the Jodi Ernst of the world to glaze him over, she is up in '26 and will be reminded of that. The focus is this being a 2 year admin not a 4 year admin as the midterms likely create gridlock. ( though by my math the dems have more seats to lose than the repubs. )
How do the Democrats always have more seats to lose? I hear this same story every election.
 
i have to say, its a little unfortunate that any western institution has an organization called the "central committee" after the last century. ;)

Re timing, (i) yeah, my buddy was talking to them about dos positions and going through some vetting in july, and (ii) i think your 2026 math is wrong.

Eat your heart out, No, we don't bring sickles, and before anyone ask, no, they don't let us wear hoods anymore either.
 
I seem to remember 26 seats open for Dems and 13 for repubs but I may be wrong.
On the Senate Side...it's actually 20R, 13D. Last time I eyeballed the details, it seemed to me that you could expect a range from about +3D to +1R, setting aside things like Vance and the Rubio seat. But that's obviously an eternity away, and it's why that current margin is a big deal. Sitting here today, I'd think there's presumptive R control in 2026, but with a smaller margin.

House side is always a crap shoot (as it's supposed to be), and I think i read something yesterday to the effect that that's currently the #1 D strategic priority for 2026.
 
On the Senate Side...it's actually 20R, 13D. Last time I eyeballed the details, it seemed to me that you could expect a range from about +3D to +1R, setting aside things like Vance and the Rubio seat. But that's obviously an eternity away, and it's why that current margin is a big deal. Sitting here today, I'd think there's presumptive R control in 2026, but with a smaller margin.

House side is always a crap shoot (as it's supposed to be), and I think i read something yesterday to the effect that that's currently the #1 D strategic priority for 2026.
The 20 and 13 were the numbers I had in my head, I must have mixed them. The messaging last night was, we have 2 years, we have to expect gridlock after 26, they know this and that is why he was so advanced in setting up his cabinet. Apparently he started getting people after the Biden debate which is why he was really pissed of the change. He learned things from the first run I think will allow him to navigate DC better.


We shall see.
 
The 20 and 13 were the numbers I had in my head, I must have mixed them. The messaging last night was, we have 2 years, we have to expect gridlock after 26, they know this and that is why he was so advanced in setting up his cabinet. Apparently he started getting people after the Biden debate which is why he was really pissed of the change. He learned things from the first run I think will allow him to navigate DC better.


We shall see.
FWIW, on the senate side, sitting here today imo, the ones potentially in play (liberally construed) could be:
GA (D - D's have done a good job defying gravity the last couple of cycles)
IA (R)
KY (R - if Brashear runs, this could be at some risk for Rs)
ME (R - assuming Collins retires, almost certain to flip)
MI (D)
MN (D - didn't realize how close last time around, but probably safe)
NC (R - Tillis is going to have a tough road I suspect)
NH (D)
NM (D)

If I had to make a guess, I'd say either D+1 or D+2 sitting here today.
 
I can’t imagine what an ego boost it must be to have been elected POTUS and then lose and then win again.
And then be “replaced” before you take office by a guy whose name wasn’t even in the ballot!
(There are still “soap operas” on TV, they are now carried in the “news networks” as opposed to the commercial TV networks.)
 
Obviously you equate a traitor to the Crown being equivalent to a traitor to a country that, purposefully, doesn’t have a crown.

Should NEVER have a crown.

But you just voted for one. And now not even the one you voted for.

Yes. Our founding father were traitors. Treasonous. To a Crown.

Now you’re trying to make light of. Making jokes. About their decisions.

That’s where we are now as a nation.
If he was a little smarter, he would be the village idiot.
 
Obviously you equate a traitor to the Crown being equivalent to a traitor to a country that, purposefully, doesn’t have a crown.

Should NEVER have a crown.

But you just voted for one. And now not even the one you voted for.

Yes. Our founding father were traitors. Treasonous. To a Crown.

Now you’re trying to make light of. Making jokes. About their decisions.

That’s where we are now as a nation.
MAGAs want a return to the good ol’ days..Back when the Brits sent their Governors to rule their colonies. Things got done much quicker than today…and the Crown backed their decisions.
 
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