-1 against Indiana tomorrow night???

[Sett1997]

😲
What the heck? I can't see any way we win this game.
Lock of the year?
Trap?
Looking at their schedule they haven't done well against any team with a pulse except UNC.
Not that we have a pulse. 🤣

 

[HawkHoops80]

Before that pathetic performance against EIU, Iowa was on quite the heater of covering the spread at home games. KenPom surprisingly has Carver as the #1 home court advantage in the Big Ten and 16th nationally. So that basically explains why the line is what it is.

 

[Sett1997]

Before that pathetic performance against EIU, Iowa was on quite the heater of covering the spread at home games. KenPom surprisingly has Carver as the #1 home court advantage in the Big Ten and 16th nationally. So that basically explains why the line is what it is.

Thanks for the info, I was not aware. Who would have thought?

 

[skydog0784]

Before that pathetic performance against EIU, Iowa was on quite the heater of covering the spread at home games. KenPom surprisingly has Carver as the #1 home court advantage in the Big Ten and 16th nationally. So that basically explains why the line is what it is.

Carver as the #1 home court advantage is a major shocker! I don't gamble but if I did, I'd take IN for big time money in a heartbeat.

 

[Sett1997]

Carver as the #1 home court advantage is a major shocker! I don't gamble but if I did, I'd take IN for big time money in a heartbeat.

Agreed! Maybe I'll put a $100 on Indiana to cover. That way we will be sure too win! Lol

 

[Fsanford]

a circle the wagon game, Patrick out of the mix simplifies substitution patterns.

 

[longliveCS40]

Bet the farm against that spread.

 

[Iafootballfan]

Before that pathetic performance against EIU, Iowa was on quite the heater of covering the spread at home games. KenPom surprisingly has Carver as the #1 home court advantage in the Big Ten and 16th nationally. So that basically explains why the line is what it is.

The home court advantage on KenPom is the difference in efficiency metrics on home vs away games; ours is high because we played like shit on the road last year. It has nothing to do with the environment.

 

[Iafootballfan]

Bet the farm against that spread.

Last time I saw a spread that didn’t make sense (ISU with Murray out) I stayed farrrr away, and sure enough it was wacky.

 

[Ismellarat]

I think the Iowa fans will do their best to get people fired up, but with the discrepancy in talent, I'd be stunned (but thrilled) if Iowa walked away with the win over IU. We desperately need a high quality win to jump start this team.

 

[Franisdaman]

hopefully the team rallies around PMac and puts out a win

 

[Rifler]

I agree, will be watching to see how the team deals with this minus Pat,... In the ISU game minus Kris they showed some spark..

 

[Sett1997]

Now -1.5.
Money flowing to Iowa??? Lol
Crazy.

 

[Greenway4Prez]

Now -1.5.
Money flowing to Iowa??? Lol
Crazy.

Nope, money is actually going to Indiana. A nonsensical line AND reverse line movement??

We’re gonna have some people looking really silly when Iowa wins.

 

[HoustonREDHawk]

I know it looks bleak, but IU fans will tell you that Iowa has done magical things to beat them over the past few years. JBo owned them at crunch time. This would sure be a great game for Sandfort to find his shot...

 

[HawkHoops80]

The home court advantage on KenPom is the difference in efficiency metrics on home vs away games; ours is high because we played like shit on the road last year. It has nothing to do with the environment.

That's not entirely true, there's a lot that goes into the formula but you're right that environment has nothing to do with it because there's no way to quantify that. It looks at things like turnover margins, foul differentials, elevation, and also winning against the spread and takes a 6 year sample size into account.
And FWIW, he says it's an incredibly noisy stat regardless.

 

[WSC72]

Bet the farm against that spread.

I'm betting you’re not a farmer (and I might bet our farm on that, but I don't have much of a farm either).

 

[General Tso]

I ain't touching this one with a 69 foot shaft

 

[Hawkatheart]

There was some guy betting the house on the over in our bowl game. I like to stay away from these seem too good to be true bets. Vegas always beats me on them.....

 

[Hoosierfan1901]

I know it looks bleak, but IU fans will tell you that Iowa has done magical things to beat them over the past few years. JBo owned them at crunch time. This would sure be a great game for Sandfort to find his shot...

We are expecting someone other than Murray to go off tonight

 

[ObeseMuffins]

I'd imagine an uptick in defense tonight. Strickly speaking basketball right now, Pmac was a big minus in half-court defense and defensive rebounding.

 

[BurgHawk87]

I know it looks bleak, but IU fans will tell you that Iowa has done magical things to beat them over the past few years. JBo owned them at crunch time. This would sure be a great game for Sandfort to find his shot...

Unless there's a strong breeze blowing to sandfort's left I don't think anyone needs to worry about that shot going in.

 

[Obviously Oblivious]

Well, Indiana is overrated IMO (but far from terrible), and the Hawks have been reeling as of late and can't seem to throw the ball in the ocean. All of that adds up to a Hawkeye win. Book it now!

 

[Rambler Hawk]

Last time I saw a spread that didn’t make sense (ISU with Murray out) I stayed farrrr away, and sure enough it was wacky.

Yup 👍

 

[SicIturAdAstra]

Posted this in other thread, but Indiana hasn't played in two weeks. Their starting point guard and 2nd leading scorer is out. Hood-Schifino and TJD have both missed games recently due to back/hip issues (which always linger), and it's still a conference road game at 8:00 PM. And, Indiana hasn't looked great on the road recently. I could see Iowa playing inspired (Izzy calls it the "injury bump"; you never want to play a team right when key player goes down), hit some threes early (a la Iowa State), and maintain lead throughout. IU is inconsistent on offense at best, especially recently. I would press if I were Iowa as well. IU always looks shaky at best against it. They did beat a very good Xavier team at Xavier earlier this year, but I'm not so sure they're better now, and definitely more banged up.

 

[hawkjt]

Hawks will need some "Carver Magic" to pull this one out.
On paper it a blowout...the wrong way.
Shock the world, Hawks!!

 

[kzoohawk80]

TJD being a game time decision probably has a lot to do with that line. I bet if he plays the live betting odds will immediately jump toward Indiana.

 

[HawkRugged17]

Iowa covers. 91 - 89!

 

[Fsanford]

I bet Iowa, though was sweating bullets first half.
It was a win one for Patrick game.

 

[longliveCS40]

Bet the farm against that spread.

Sorry about y'alls farms. You'll starve and die now but at least you'll die happy knowing we got the victory!

 

[Greenway4Prez]

Sorry about y'alls farms. You'll starve and die now but at least you'll die happy knowing we got the victory!

As much as us Iowa bettors would love to crow and thump our chests…Iowa covered by 0.5 points 😬

 

[Hawkfan_08]

There are a lot of people that just lost a lot of money.

 

[Franisdaman]

anybody want to admit how much you won or lost on this game?

 

[Sett1997]

I didn't bet, I smelled rats.
There were rats. Lol

 

[Hawkatheart]

I bet Indiana, but did not feel good watching it when Thompson went down with injury. Then took Iowa for heavy odds on the money line at that point to basically cancel my bet. Big odds on the money line. Was really hoping for a one point win to hit on both..........

 

[HerkyFan4Life]

I bet on Indiana. If Thompson doesn't get hurt, I think the outcome would have been in my favor. Such is betting.

 

[Greenway4Prez]

anybody want to admit how much you won or lost on this game?

Sure! I bet $20 to win $18.18.