You bring up some good points, there are a lot of variables for sure.
I suppose teams could argue Garza carried him to a certain degree, though Joe did take a lot of tough shots. But a reasonable factor.
Yes, Garza came back but he did improve his 3 point shooting (from 36% to 45%) as well as his FT shooting. For all intents and purposes he will have been the best player in college basketball for two straight years (no way dude from Dayton was better last year against shatty comp) and STILL is not a lock first rounder!
If you look at Joe's statistics, he fills up the box score 16 points, 7 rebounds, 1.5 assists, 1 Steal, 51% shooting and 51% from 3!! His only weakness, relatively speaking is FT shooting at 70%. But that is pretty far down the list of NBA criteria. Not exactly Clank Fu (shaq) from the line!
Even though there is some risk of us not having a great year next season, I do agree with you that we have a lot of excellent pieces. Just many of them have not had to carry a lot of weight as of yet. So there is a decent chance of him being the star on a Top 25 team.
Joe could easily average 20+ PPG and improve his FT shooting to over 75% and probably increase assists given we will run a more balanced offense minus Garza. He also could add another 5LBS of muscle. But I only see all of that being worth a few spots on the draft board.
This is just one recent mock draft and it has Dosunmu from Illinois at the 30th pick! Are you kidding me? Guy is an amazing player.
There are always so many incredibly long, athletic players with very high ceilings, not to mention continued influx of international players and now G League up starts. Just check out the projected picks 1-29. This is what is eye opening and shows just how competitive it is to make it in the NBA (kind of Captain Obvious I realize
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This mock has Joe as a fringe 2nd rounder this year. If that was the case, and I think he would be a safe 2nd rounder if he keeps his game anywhere near where it has been to close out season, then he might want to come back to at least try to crack the first round. I dont think that is possible, but he probably feels he has to improve on say mid to late 2nd round or even not drafted.
The 2021 NBA Draft is deep and talented with elite players at the top and incredible depth throughout. The 2nd round of the mock...
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