Link: 2021 NCAA Tournament Guide
If you’re looking for data to help with your 2021 bracket decisions, this is the most thorough guide I’ve seen. Incredible amount of data and insights.
One interesting nugget while reading thru the first few pages that I wouldn’t have thought based on all the pundits and talking heads, Oregon is actually over-seeded by 6 spots (#25 overall instead of #31 overall, which would have been an 8 seed), according to the S-curve differential of expected vs. actual seeding. That is tied for the third-highest over-seeded team in the tournament. Relatedly, Iowa is under-seeded by 2 spots (#7 overall instead of #5 overall). Check out page 9 to see this specific table and data.
If you’re looking for data to help with your 2021 bracket decisions, this is the most thorough guide I’ve seen. Incredible amount of data and insights.
One interesting nugget while reading thru the first few pages that I wouldn’t have thought based on all the pundits and talking heads, Oregon is actually over-seeded by 6 spots (#25 overall instead of #31 overall, which would have been an 8 seed), according to the S-curve differential of expected vs. actual seeding. That is tied for the third-highest over-seeded team in the tournament. Relatedly, Iowa is under-seeded by 2 spots (#7 overall instead of #5 overall). Check out page 9 to see this specific table and data.