Actual Kamala v. El Donaldo Polls
- Thread starter GOHOX69
- Start date
Pro tip. Focus on aggregate sites like 538, Nate Silver, and 270towin. There’s about 10 others that reputable. Following individual polls will drive you mad. I know from experience.
But it’s looking like Kamala will probably win the popular vote by 2 points or so. Historically, that hasn’t been enough and of course there’s a lot of assumptions that polls are underestimating Trump but I find that hard to believe if he’s gotten around 47% both elections and is projected to get right around that same amount.
Another vibe is that Trump will likely reclaim sun belt states but Kamala is looking ok in the north because she’s doing better with college educated voters and there’s lots of them in Milwaukee, Detroit, and Philly.
Going to be very very close.
But it’s looking like Kamala will probably win the popular vote by 2 points or so. Historically, that hasn’t been enough and of course there’s a lot of assumptions that polls are underestimating Trump but I find that hard to believe if he’s gotten around 47% both elections and is projected to get right around that same amount.
Another vibe is that Trump will likely reclaim sun belt states but Kamala is looking ok in the north because she’s doing better with college educated voters and there’s lots of them in Milwaukee, Detroit, and Philly.
Going to be very very close.
