It shouldn't be left entirely up to the Fed. Congress needs to act to balance the budget. Federal spending should be no more than about 18% of gdp. When Clinton left office Federal spending was about 18%, very good. The 50 year avergae is 20.8%.
Federal spending was 30% of gdp in 2021. That's the most on record since at least 1972 by a wide margin (that's how far back the CDC data I'm looking at goes). Even in the 2009 great recession, the next highest, we only hit about 24% Federal spending.
The problem is the supply side. Employment hasn't even got back to pre-pandemic levels in terms of actual number employed. That won't be helped by raising rates or raising taxes.
At a Glance The Congressional Budget Office regularly publishes reports presenting its baseline projections of what the federal budget and the economy would look like in the current year and over the next 10 years if current laws governing taxes and spending generally remained unchanged. This...
www.cbo.gov