This all assumes Iowa takes care of business on Senior Day and beats Northwestern.
Scenario #1: If Wisconsin, Michigan State and Purdue all win, Iowa will be a 5 seed and Purdue would be the 4 seed. Iowa would play winner of Nebraska v. Penn State on Thursday at approximately 1:30-2:00 p.m. for right to play Purdue. The 4/5 game is set for approximately 1:30-2:00 p.m. on Friday.
Scenario #2: If Michigan State and Purdue win and Wisconsin loses, Iowa will be a 4 seed and Purdue would be the 5 seed. You can simply flip/flop Iowa and Purdue in Scenario #1 for the game situations.
Scenario #3: If Michigan State wins and Purdue loses, the OSU/Wisconsin game is meaningless to Iowa. Iowa would be the 4 seed, Ohio State would be the 5 seed and Purdue the 6 seed. OSU would get the winner of Nebraska/Penn State on Thursday and Iowa would play in the 4/5 game on Friday.
EDIT: In this scenario, Iowa would get the #4 seed even if it loses to Northwestern as long as Wisconsin beats Ohio State. If Ohio State upsets Wisconsin and Iowa loses to Northwestern in this scenario, Iowa would drop to #6. (OSU would be the #3).
Scenario #4: If Purdue wins, Wisconsin wins and Michigan State loses, Iowa will be a 4 seed, Michigan State the 5 seed and Ohio State the 6 seed. Michigan State would get the winner of Nebraska/Penn State on Thursday and Iowa would play in the 4/5 game on Friday.
Scenario #5: If Purdue wins and Wisconsin and Michigan State lose, Iowa will be a 3 seed. Purdue would be 4, Ohio State would be 5 and Michigan State would be 6. Michigan State would play winner of Rutgers/Northwestern at approximately 8:00 to 8:30 on Thursday night and Iowa would play winner of Michigan State v. Rutgers/Northwestern on Friday night at approximately 8:00 to 8:30.
Scenario #6: If both Purdue and Michigan State lose, the Ohio State/Wisconsin game is meaningless to Iowa. Iowa would be the 3 seed. Purdue would be the 6 seed. Same analysis as Scenario #5 but you can substitute Purdue for Michigan State. If Purdue and Michigan State both lose, the 4/5 seeding would be determined by the OSU/Wisconsin game. OSU wins and they get the 4 seed (MSU would be 5). OSU loses and MSU would get the 4 seed (OSU would be 5).
Thus (barring upsets and if Iowa wins on Saturday):
In 3 of the 6 scenarios, you'd have a Friday Purdue/Iowa matchup
In 2 of the 6 scenarois, you'd have a Friday MSU/Iowa matchup
In 1 of the 6 scenarios, you'd have a Friday OSU/Iowa matchup
My money is on Scenario #3. I think that Illinois wins and Purdue gags, MSU takes out Indiana and Wisconsin continues rolling. Iowa gets a 4 and is on track to play OSU again.
This post was edited on 3/5 1:00 PM by AuroraHawk
Scenario #1: If Wisconsin, Michigan State and Purdue all win, Iowa will be a 5 seed and Purdue would be the 4 seed. Iowa would play winner of Nebraska v. Penn State on Thursday at approximately 1:30-2:00 p.m. for right to play Purdue. The 4/5 game is set for approximately 1:30-2:00 p.m. on Friday.
Scenario #2: If Michigan State and Purdue win and Wisconsin loses, Iowa will be a 4 seed and Purdue would be the 5 seed. You can simply flip/flop Iowa and Purdue in Scenario #1 for the game situations.
Scenario #3: If Michigan State wins and Purdue loses, the OSU/Wisconsin game is meaningless to Iowa. Iowa would be the 4 seed, Ohio State would be the 5 seed and Purdue the 6 seed. OSU would get the winner of Nebraska/Penn State on Thursday and Iowa would play in the 4/5 game on Friday.
EDIT: In this scenario, Iowa would get the #4 seed even if it loses to Northwestern as long as Wisconsin beats Ohio State. If Ohio State upsets Wisconsin and Iowa loses to Northwestern in this scenario, Iowa would drop to #6. (OSU would be the #3).
Scenario #4: If Purdue wins, Wisconsin wins and Michigan State loses, Iowa will be a 4 seed, Michigan State the 5 seed and Ohio State the 6 seed. Michigan State would get the winner of Nebraska/Penn State on Thursday and Iowa would play in the 4/5 game on Friday.
Scenario #5: If Purdue wins and Wisconsin and Michigan State lose, Iowa will be a 3 seed. Purdue would be 4, Ohio State would be 5 and Michigan State would be 6. Michigan State would play winner of Rutgers/Northwestern at approximately 8:00 to 8:30 on Thursday night and Iowa would play winner of Michigan State v. Rutgers/Northwestern on Friday night at approximately 8:00 to 8:30.
Scenario #6: If both Purdue and Michigan State lose, the Ohio State/Wisconsin game is meaningless to Iowa. Iowa would be the 3 seed. Purdue would be the 6 seed. Same analysis as Scenario #5 but you can substitute Purdue for Michigan State. If Purdue and Michigan State both lose, the 4/5 seeding would be determined by the OSU/Wisconsin game. OSU wins and they get the 4 seed (MSU would be 5). OSU loses and MSU would get the 4 seed (OSU would be 5).
Thus (barring upsets and if Iowa wins on Saturday):
In 3 of the 6 scenarios, you'd have a Friday Purdue/Iowa matchup
In 2 of the 6 scenarois, you'd have a Friday MSU/Iowa matchup
In 1 of the 6 scenarios, you'd have a Friday OSU/Iowa matchup
My money is on Scenario #3. I think that Illinois wins and Purdue gags, MSU takes out Indiana and Wisconsin continues rolling. Iowa gets a 4 and is on track to play OSU again.
This post was edited on 3/5 1:00 PM by AuroraHawk
