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Bloomberg: White House officials privately admit "the collateral damage" from Russia sanctions "has been wider than expected"

Morrison71

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Nov 10, 2006
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Russia's invasion of Ukraine galvanized the US, UK and European Union to unleash a slew of sanctions meant to punish Vladimir Putin's government and pressure him to pull his forces back.

But some Biden administration officials are now privately expressing concern that rather than dissuading the Kremlin as intended, the penalties are instead exacerbating inflation, worsening food insecurity and punishing ordinary Russians more than Putin or his allies.
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In some cases, companies have signaled that they are being extra-cautious or want clearer guidance from the US before continuing business with Russia. Until that happens, they are going beyond any legal requirements to ensure they don't accidentally violate sanctions policies, according to Justine Walker, the head of global sanctions and risk at the Association of Certified Anti-Money Laundering Specialists, an industry group.

"Because we just have so many changes at once, governments are not able to step in and give precise clarification and we are seeing many, many examples of authorities coming to different positions," Walker said in an interview. "Companies ask, 'Should we be applying sanctions to this entity?' and the government will come back and say, 'You need to make your own decision.'"
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Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has said that she "was wrong" in believing last year that inflationary pressures would pass. One of the results that she's now seeing is related to the spike in prices due to unexpected self-sanctioning, according to one person familiar with her thinking.

So while Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy has urged US businesses to cease operations in Russia, telling a joint session of Congress that the Russian market was "flooded with our blood,'' the Biden administration has been encouraging some commerce, including for agriculture, medicine and telecommunications. For instance, the US government is quietly encouraging agricultural and shipping companies to buy and carry more Russian fertilizer, according to people familiar with the efforts, as sanctions fears have led to a sharp drop in supplies, pressuring food costs.
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There's no sign that administration officials feel their sanctions policy was a mistake or that they want to dial back the pressure. If anything, officials have said a key US goal is to ensure Russia can't do to other nations what it has done in Ukraine.


But the collateral damage from the sanctions has been wider than expected.

When the invasion began, the Biden administration believed that if penalties exempted food and energy, the impact on inflation at home would be minimal. Since then, energy and food have become key drivers of the highest US inflation rates in 40 years, a huge political liability for President Joe Biden and the Democratic party heading into November's mid-term elections.
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They say practice makes permanent. When a man has practiced fail this long, it's all he knows.

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So basically, it had a boomerang effect on us….

I keep saying it, how can someone who has been in politics this long be so bad at it?
That's just the nature of sanctions when dealing with a nuclear power, there are no effective options without serious side effects. You either try to do something good and accept that there will be costs that could prove much greater than expected or you do nothing and sit on the sidelines while a war rages.

War in Ukraine is just one of many factors.

Problems in the US economy was already visible in 2021
www.cnbc.com

Inflation notches a fresh 30-year high as measured by the Fed's favorite gauge

Annual inflation rose at its fastest pace in more than 30 years during September despite a decline in personal income.
www.cnbc.com
www.cnbc.com

Investors brace for the highest inflation reading in nearly 40 years

Wall Street expects the the CPI to reflect a 0.7% gain for the month, which would translate into a 6.7% increase from a year ago
www.cnbc.com

^ both news from last year.

Ir3I18N.png


But also, yes these reactions to sanction are completely predictable.
 
So basically, it had a boomerang effect on us….

I keep saying it, how can someone who has been in politics this long be so bad at it?
Gates’ book is a very good read. Obama’s defense Secretary. I believe President Obama memorized his name.

"I think he has been wrong on nearly every major foreign policy and national security issue over the past four decades."

 
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That's just the nature of sanctions when dealing with a nuclear power, there are no effective options without serious side effects. You either try to do something good and accept that there will be costs that could prove much greater than expected or you do nothing and sit on the sidelines while a war rages.

War in Ukraine is just one of many factors.

Problems in the US economy was already visible in 2021
www.cnbc.com

Inflation notches a fresh 30-year high as measured by the Fed's favorite gauge

Annual inflation rose at its fastest pace in more than 30 years during September despite a decline in personal income.
www.cnbc.com
www.cnbc.com

Investors brace for the highest inflation reading in nearly 40 years

Wall Street expects the the CPI to reflect a 0.7% gain for the month, which would translate into a 6.7% increase from a year ago
www.cnbc.com

^ both news from last year.

Ir3I18N.png


But also, yes these reactions to sanction are completely predictable.

You think this was the administration’s plan? Somehow I’m not sure they were prepared to be this far down in the polls this early into his presidential tenure.
 
No one is saying that.

The question is though... WHY aren't the sanctions having the desired effect?
They are. Russia is living in the 1990’s. Soon they will be living in the 1980’s.

Everything in the country has doubled in price. They will soon be without air travel and reliant on older trains that don’t require software upgrades. They have incredible brain drain and are headed towards an economic disaster.
 
They took over a god damn shit show, wtf do you mean?

Yes, if you are complaining about the effects of sanctions, this isn’t that hard to understand people.

I’m sorry the job was too big for him. I really am, it means we all lose.
 
I tried explaining at the time that it would be impossible to sanction Russia and cut them off from global finance, and that hasn't changed

The US needs to shit or get off the pot on this one before it causes famine or people can't heat their homes this winter. Pick one, but you can't be one foot in and one foot out, because this can't drag on.
 
Inflation is eating into the purchasing power of lower-income Americans — and eroding Democrats' political fortunes ahead of midterm elections. While the Federal Reserve is the nation's primary inflation firefighter, the tariffs that now cover $350 billion of goods imported from China are one area in which Biden can act unilaterally to relieve American consumers.
 
The “High Road” is only going to result in Dems holding the bag for everyone, and the GOP gets to walk away scot-free.
 
So basically, it had a boomerang effect on us….

I keep saying it, how can someone who has been in politics this long be so bad at it?
This isn't entirely surprising. However, I thought the idea is that we were supposed to be brave promoters of democracy and be willing to sacrifice a bit for the greater good. (in enacting some of these sanctions)
 
This isn't entirely surprising. However, I thought the idea is that we were supposed to be brave promoters of democracy and be willing to sacrifice a bit for the greater good. (in enacting some of these sanctions)

can’t argue with what you said, it’s a matter of how much sacrifice the American people are willing to take.
 
People in government rarely know what they are doing. They are NOT experts at what they are responsible for, and this admin continues to show how little they really do know.
 
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