I know schedules are different, but I was talking with some buddies and we all agree on paper, this could be another 12-0 team?
Anyone agree or disagree?
Anyone agree or disagree?
Can Iowa go 12-0 again?
- Thread starter Fools_Rush_In
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What if we leave the probability out, knowing it's very hard. Do you think this team is better? I think the schedule is harder for sure.
Yes we could go 12-0. But there are so many variables that come into play it is highly unlikely. Remember only two schools did it last year. Now what are the that one does it again? Not very good.
Vegas has the over under for us at 9.5 wins. That should tell you a great deal. I would be very excited to win the west again.
Vegas has the over under for us at 9.5 wins. That should tell you a great deal. I would be very excited to win the west again.
Injuries will play a role on this team just like it has for all teams that preceded it. The question is to whom, when and can we avoid multiples at the same position. If it can be like the 2002 team it can be one of the top 10 teams in school history. If however injuries occur to key starters or multiple times at the same spot it could be a team that only wins 6-8 games.
Can Iowa go 12-0? Yes, will they..............? I think it depends on how healthy we can keep the key players, and getting the bounces of the ball again this year.
As has been stated numerous times... we need a HUGE improvement from the two tackles to keep CJ off his back. If that happens... this could be another memorable season.
Don't see it happening. Too many good teams and we will have the target on us to some extent. Anything is possible, sure didn't see it coming last year.
The pre-season "on paper" analysis is worth very little unless you have a very deep and comprehensive understanding of every opponent on the schedule. Even then, it is immediately suspect because of uncertainty in the two-deeps and position battles at key spots not to mention the unforeseen emergence (or fallback) of certain players on each team every year.
I think as of now, 12 weeks before the 1st game, the highest probabilities for Iowa are 9 or 10 wins, something like this.....
12-0 .... 10%
11-1 .... 25%
10-2 .... 50%
9-3 ...... 65%
8-4 ...... 33%
7-5 ...... 20%
6-6 ...... 15%
5-7 ...... 10%
4-8 ...... 5%
I think as of now, 12 weeks before the 1st game, the highest probabilities for Iowa are 9 or 10 wins, something like this.....
12-0 .... 10%
11-1 .... 25%
10-2 .... 50%
9-3 ...... 65%
8-4 ...... 33%
7-5 ...... 20%
6-6 ...... 15%
5-7 ...... 10%
4-8 ...... 5%
I feel like those probabilities add up to a bit more than 100, but that's my math 
Can they go 12-0 again? Of course. But this is the answer for every team. Purdue, hated rival, could go 12-0 if they intercept 8 balls per game and recover every fumble, etc.
Will Iowa go 12-0 again? I'd say that's almost a 0% chance. So many things have to go right. All it takes is one bad game or one key injury (CJB) and it cannot happen.
Can they go 12-0 again? Of course. But this is the answer for every team. Purdue, hated rival, could go 12-0 if they intercept 8 balls per game and recover every fumble, etc.
Will Iowa go 12-0 again? I'd say that's almost a 0% chance. So many things have to go right. All it takes is one bad game or one key injury (CJB) and it cannot happen.
Sure, why not? Shoot for the moon.
If I'm betting money, I'll take the under of 9.5. We can be a better team this year and end up with a worse record. The sun don't shine on the same dog's rump every day.
If I'm betting money, I'll take the under of 9.5. We can be a better team this year and end up with a worse record. The sun don't shine on the same dog's rump every day.
A key turnover, dropped pass or missed field goal last year and we could have lost to Iowa State, Pitt & Wisky at a minimum. If Iowa can win the west, I'll be very happy.
I would be surprised to see us repeat that 12-0 performance form last year. Nobody saw that coming and this year every team we play is going to bring their "A" game against us. I do believe we can win the west without being 12-0. I would take a loss or two in the regular season in exchange for a win in the B1G championship game.
I agree with most posters here that 12-0 is a possibility because of who returns and we have done it already but the likelihood is not great.
The schedule is tougher and I expect tough games even in the non-con with ISU new coach & NDSU who is a better version of UNI that would love to punk another power 5 team.
The other aspect is KF's program relishes off of having a chip and playing with their backs against the wall. Coming into last season those factors were at an all-time high under KF. What's our edge this year? Playing the favorite has been difficult for Kirk to manage in past seasons.
I am hopeful but realistic.
The schedule is tougher and I expect tough games even in the non-con with ISU new coach & NDSU who is a better version of UNI that would love to punk another power 5 team.
The other aspect is KF's program relishes off of having a chip and playing with their backs against the wall. Coming into last season those factors were at an all-time high under KF. What's our edge this year? Playing the favorite has been difficult for Kirk to manage in past seasons.
I am hopeful but realistic.
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I think we will be a better team than last year. CJ healthy and hopefully improved at tackle but that might not translate into the same record. I think there is hardly a year that goes by where a break here or there was the difference between a win or a loss. If they win the West that will be a great "year after" and solidly that last year was not a fluke in the minds of many. Win the BTT and it is a step forward. I will say 10-2 and another shot at the BTC game given we don't have any major injuries.
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I don't think we will either but curious as to how you came up with the math for this one.
Since the original question was framed not on probability but possibility, the short answer is yes. The likelihood of it happening again? Slim.
At the same time, there is no game on the schedule that jumps out at you as, "Yeah, they ain't gonna win that one." And as some have pointed out, if the offensive line can keep CJ vertical, the sky is the limit with this team.
At the same time, there is no game on the schedule that jumps out at you as, "Yeah, they ain't gonna win that one." And as some have pointed out, if the offensive line can keep CJ vertical, the sky is the limit with this team.
That's what I was thinking. I'm not crazy, but I do have high hopes. This can be a really good team if they stay healthy.
Brilliant.
And the original question you were responding to was agree or disagree. So "nope" you agree or "nope" you disagree?
Responses to the fall prediction thread will be interesting. How many 12-0 or 11-1 will their be?
I agree people are overestimating NDSU, mostly because they are tasked with replacing an NFL QB, which is hard to do at their level.
Then again, I overestimated Illinois State last year. Though, I had no idea we were going to be that good. Maybe the opposite will happen this year.
I guess we just don't know at this point. At least we'll have a couple games by then to get a feel for what kind of team we have.
233% to be exactI feel like those probabilities add up to a bit more than 100, but that's my math
Can they go 12-0 again? Of course. But this is the answer for every team. Purdue, hated rival, could go 12-0 if they intercept 8 balls per game and recover every fumble, etc.
Will Iowa go 12-0 again? I'd say that's almost a 0% chance. So many things have to go right. All it takes is one bad game or one key injury (CJB) and it cannot happen.
I'd sign up for 10-2 right now. It is unrealistic to expect 12-0. Possible but unlikely.
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No, it has nothing to do with math. I thought it was fairly evident, in fact it was explicit, that my opinion set forth probabilities.
Did you buy your law degree at Sears?
13-0...you heard it here first - OL is gonna get its feet under it unlike last year, Smith is gonna burn some sloppy coverage this year over the top - Kittle will have the most yards/receptions of a TE in the KF era. Vandeberg is gonna have 90 receptions this year. We're gonna be favored in every game until the B1G championship with Ohio State.
Get optimistic with this team - this is a once a generation QB
Get optimistic with this team - this is a once a generation QB
I like you optimism. Agree with the QB statement. Defense has the potential to be great(injuries and DE to determine it's limits). OL staying healthy and WR development are the keys on offense. Hope for 13-0!
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