First off, I want to preface this post by stating that I like Marc Morehouse's stuff and I think that he's one of the best folks who covers Iowa football. However, with that said, what fun would life be if we were all like-minded? In that spirit ....
... for a while now Marc Morehouse has been one of the more vocal voices expressing concerns about Iowa's DT situation heading into the 2017 season. His primary premise has been that Iowa lost a really impressive DT in Jaleel Johnson AND we lost excellent depth in Faith Ekakitie. Consequently, his fear is that a drop in the quality of DL play will result in Iowa's LBs not being "clean" as often ... consequently making the job of the LBs much harder.
My reply to this concern is that it is the base responsibility of a DT to keep the LBs clean anyhow. The REAL trade-off when you have to put forth youth and inexperience at DT is that production at the position simply goes down. Iowa's defensive linemen, as a whole, traditionally are VERY active. At other programs, d-linemen tackles, TFLs, and sacks are often quite low ... and that is usually by design. It opens up opportunity for LBs, run-blitzing DBs, etc. However, at Iowa, it's not uncommon for a d-lineman to get 60+ tackles and rack up pretty good disruption numbers too.
Knowing how Coach Morgan works, he's not going to play a DT who cannot at least consistently execute his base responsibilities and play with good leverage. The result of this is that LBs will still likely be kept reasonably "clean." The problem is that tackles and TFLs from the DT spot could be down.
Of course, in the back of my mind ... I'm still considering the "what if" scenario about Bazata's health. When healthy, Nathan is capable of being a very productive DT for us ... when dinged, he's still technically sound ... however, his productivity drops. However, if Bazata is healthy ... then the Hawks still return an experienced STARTER at the DT spot. That is nothing to sneeze at. There is a reason why Bazata had earned a starting spot ahead of Ekakitie.
If you look at a past season where Iowa's DT depth was iffy ... that takes us back to the '11 and '12 seasons. In '11, Kaz had run off so many DT prospects that former walk-on Thomas Nardo was the guy who played by Mike Daniels's side. In 2012, guys like oft-injured Steve Bigach played alongside Louis Trinca-Pasat (who happened to be a newbie that season) and Darian Cooper (who was a freshman that year). The '12 season also marked Coach Morgan's first year coaching the DL ... so he had to ascend a bit of a learning curve there too.
As we enter the '17 season, there really is no shortage of bodies to contribute at DT, it's simply an issue of finding the right pieces to fit together. We have Bazata (when healthy), Reiff, Lattimore, Hulett, Newborg, Matt Nelson (when healthy), and Jansen .... among a few others. Additionally, in a pinch, Epenesa could potentially "spot" at DT if he's the best option. The point here being that there are options.
To me, a defense is much more hamstrung if you have inexperience at DE and the DEs play with poor technique. Not only can that impact LBs .... but, more importantly, if DEs lose outside leverage ... that can lead to all sorts of big plays. Given that the whole premise of Iowa's D is premised on preventing the big play ... lapses in DE play in 2016 single-handedly responsible for A LOT of rushing yardage against the Hawks. For instance, Iowa beats Northwestern if we contain better. Back in '05, that was arguably the main knock on Mattison and Iwebema too. Those guys were pretty decent at getting pressure on the QB that season ... but it was at the cost of a lack of discipline on the edge. Ideally, your DEs learn to maintain outside leverage when they start their careers ... and that is the bedrock from which they build their game. From there, they maintain discipline ... and learn to work in a controlled pass-rush.
When you look at our 2017 DE situation ... you cannot help but smile. We have guys who have made errors ... but who have also learned from those errors. You have Hesse who enters essentially as a de-facto 3rd year starter. You have Anthony Nelson who flashed pass-rushing skills that we possibly haven't seen since Clayborn donned an Iowa uniform. Matt Nelson supplies us with a strong, consistent contributor on the strong-side ... and perhaps also now on the inside. We also have a youth movement at DE that appears to be worth getting excited about ... we all know about the accolades of Epenesa (with all of his 5 stars) ... but we also have Simon and Golston who have both been generating a lot of positive buzz from WITHIN the program. The fact that the buzz is coming from within the program is especially valuable because it's not attributable to foolish fans who are simply relying too much upon the inaccuracy of the "eyeball" test.
As I see it ... the Hawks likely WILL see a drop in productivity at the DT spot. However, I also anticipate that we'll see productivity by the DEs and LBs correspondingly go UP. After all, what happens if we see Ben Niemann play a whole season like he did at the end of the '16 season? What if we see Bo Bower and those behind him continue to improve at the WILL LB spot? We'll see improved play and improved productivity! Furthermore, Phil Parker will likely adapt things accordingly in terms of scheme. Last year, the strength of our front 7 was especially towards the center - with our 2 DTs + Jewell at MIKE. Consequently, we remained in our base D on 3rd downs far more often than we did back in 2015. As we enter '17, given our seeming depth at LB and DE ... I anticipate that we'll see more frequent use of the raider package. Imagine our front 3 being Simon, Epenesa, and A. Nelson ... that is some potential pass-rushing firepower.
I've said it before and I'll say it again ... my primary concern about Iowa's 2017 defense centers on Iowa's safety play. That could be the true straw that breaks the camel's back ....
... for a while now Marc Morehouse has been one of the more vocal voices expressing concerns about Iowa's DT situation heading into the 2017 season. His primary premise has been that Iowa lost a really impressive DT in Jaleel Johnson AND we lost excellent depth in Faith Ekakitie. Consequently, his fear is that a drop in the quality of DL play will result in Iowa's LBs not being "clean" as often ... consequently making the job of the LBs much harder.
My reply to this concern is that it is the base responsibility of a DT to keep the LBs clean anyhow. The REAL trade-off when you have to put forth youth and inexperience at DT is that production at the position simply goes down. Iowa's defensive linemen, as a whole, traditionally are VERY active. At other programs, d-linemen tackles, TFLs, and sacks are often quite low ... and that is usually by design. It opens up opportunity for LBs, run-blitzing DBs, etc. However, at Iowa, it's not uncommon for a d-lineman to get 60+ tackles and rack up pretty good disruption numbers too.
Knowing how Coach Morgan works, he's not going to play a DT who cannot at least consistently execute his base responsibilities and play with good leverage. The result of this is that LBs will still likely be kept reasonably "clean." The problem is that tackles and TFLs from the DT spot could be down.
Of course, in the back of my mind ... I'm still considering the "what if" scenario about Bazata's health. When healthy, Nathan is capable of being a very productive DT for us ... when dinged, he's still technically sound ... however, his productivity drops. However, if Bazata is healthy ... then the Hawks still return an experienced STARTER at the DT spot. That is nothing to sneeze at. There is a reason why Bazata had earned a starting spot ahead of Ekakitie.
If you look at a past season where Iowa's DT depth was iffy ... that takes us back to the '11 and '12 seasons. In '11, Kaz had run off so many DT prospects that former walk-on Thomas Nardo was the guy who played by Mike Daniels's side. In 2012, guys like oft-injured Steve Bigach played alongside Louis Trinca-Pasat (who happened to be a newbie that season) and Darian Cooper (who was a freshman that year). The '12 season also marked Coach Morgan's first year coaching the DL ... so he had to ascend a bit of a learning curve there too.
As we enter the '17 season, there really is no shortage of bodies to contribute at DT, it's simply an issue of finding the right pieces to fit together. We have Bazata (when healthy), Reiff, Lattimore, Hulett, Newborg, Matt Nelson (when healthy), and Jansen .... among a few others. Additionally, in a pinch, Epenesa could potentially "spot" at DT if he's the best option. The point here being that there are options.
To me, a defense is much more hamstrung if you have inexperience at DE and the DEs play with poor technique. Not only can that impact LBs .... but, more importantly, if DEs lose outside leverage ... that can lead to all sorts of big plays. Given that the whole premise of Iowa's D is premised on preventing the big play ... lapses in DE play in 2016 single-handedly responsible for A LOT of rushing yardage against the Hawks. For instance, Iowa beats Northwestern if we contain better. Back in '05, that was arguably the main knock on Mattison and Iwebema too. Those guys were pretty decent at getting pressure on the QB that season ... but it was at the cost of a lack of discipline on the edge. Ideally, your DEs learn to maintain outside leverage when they start their careers ... and that is the bedrock from which they build their game. From there, they maintain discipline ... and learn to work in a controlled pass-rush.
When you look at our 2017 DE situation ... you cannot help but smile. We have guys who have made errors ... but who have also learned from those errors. You have Hesse who enters essentially as a de-facto 3rd year starter. You have Anthony Nelson who flashed pass-rushing skills that we possibly haven't seen since Clayborn donned an Iowa uniform. Matt Nelson supplies us with a strong, consistent contributor on the strong-side ... and perhaps also now on the inside. We also have a youth movement at DE that appears to be worth getting excited about ... we all know about the accolades of Epenesa (with all of his 5 stars) ... but we also have Simon and Golston who have both been generating a lot of positive buzz from WITHIN the program. The fact that the buzz is coming from within the program is especially valuable because it's not attributable to foolish fans who are simply relying too much upon the inaccuracy of the "eyeball" test.
As I see it ... the Hawks likely WILL see a drop in productivity at the DT spot. However, I also anticipate that we'll see productivity by the DEs and LBs correspondingly go UP. After all, what happens if we see Ben Niemann play a whole season like he did at the end of the '16 season? What if we see Bo Bower and those behind him continue to improve at the WILL LB spot? We'll see improved play and improved productivity! Furthermore, Phil Parker will likely adapt things accordingly in terms of scheme. Last year, the strength of our front 7 was especially towards the center - with our 2 DTs + Jewell at MIKE. Consequently, we remained in our base D on 3rd downs far more often than we did back in 2015. As we enter '17, given our seeming depth at LB and DE ... I anticipate that we'll see more frequent use of the raider package. Imagine our front 3 being Simon, Epenesa, and A. Nelson ... that is some potential pass-rushing firepower.
I've said it before and I'll say it again ... my primary concern about Iowa's 2017 defense centers on Iowa's safety play. That could be the true straw that breaks the camel's back ....