This week is the critical week for the market. The market all across the board was hitting extreme resistance. Bitcoin appears to have been rejected for a fourth time at 24,000. I put my put on MSTR again for Oct. If the market can hold and bust through it will be off to the races, but if this downside starts breaking 5 day and 13 day moving averages, things could start to get ugly in a hurry. The charts I saw said 4300 was the top for the S&P and we pretty much hit that on the button. I think the likelihood of going down is much higher that pushing higher but a lot is going to come down to the FED. My bear case for the market is we have run too much, the individual has continued to spend but this has been fueled through credit card, that will have to slow, I think gasoline prices may level out here, but natural gas prices are going to skyrocket this winter. Putin is going to try to put the screws to europe to stop supporting Ukraine. I also think core inflation is going to remain sticky and the FED is going to continue to push the pedal on increasing rates. They come out with a statement tomorrow. We will see what happens but this was a good bear market rally from my viewpoint.