US = 91,530 (328m pop)
Euro Trio = 98,043 (172m pop)
www.worldometers.info
Thoughts:
1. Of course you have the issue of unreported cases, testing numbers, and cycles of daily variation in reporting... however...
2. These numbers lead you to believe that parts of Europe are doing worse or around "as bad" as the US currently.
3. These numbers indicate what most epidemiologists have been preaching all along; the virus is going to keep widely circulating until herd immunity slows it down and eventually stops it. (which can be reached via vaccine)
4. More and more, it seems East Asian countries were/are the exception.
5. Given the nature of the virus, longevity of effort in thwarting its advances are called into question. Efforts to thwart the virus are strongly affected by governance and culture.
6. The US in culture and governance is much more similar to Western Europe than East Asia.
7. The strong resurgence in Europe calls into question what we might reasonably expect of the US. Given our modes of governance and cultures, could Western type Countries be quite a bit more prone to this sort of problem? Probably.
8. This doesn't alleviate criticism of initial handling of the pandemic by the US, but rather, sheds light on what to reasonably expect given "what we are."
9. I argued months back that it might be so that while Europe recovered from their opening bout better than the US, they would soon be struggling again given the nature of the virus. This was just the opening round match. Covid-19 has many rounds.
10. Given this, the initial US struggles in the opening round may prove to be rather forgettable once all the rounds are completed where Covid-19 is concerned.
11. Winning the opening round matters a lot more if the future rounds are likely to be fortified due to vaccine availability.
12. There is a chance that Europe separates itself from the US again by repeating more stringent measures than the US, similar to initial lockdown efforts. This will be an interesting development to watch. To be noted, the WHO has come out against widespread lockdowns. It remains to be seen if populations can stomach multiple lockdowns. This goes back to 8: what do we reasonably expect?
Euro Trio = 98,043 (172m pop)
COVID Live Update: 188,224,537 Cases and 4,058,307 Deaths from the Coronavirus - Worldometer
Live statistics and coronavirus news tracking the number of confirmed cases, recovered patients, tests, and death toll due to the COVID-19 coronavirus from Wuhan, China. Coronavirus counter with new cases, deaths, and number of tests per 1 Million population. Historical data and info. Daily...
www.worldometers.info
Thoughts:
1. Of course you have the issue of unreported cases, testing numbers, and cycles of daily variation in reporting... however...
2. These numbers lead you to believe that parts of Europe are doing worse or around "as bad" as the US currently.
3. These numbers indicate what most epidemiologists have been preaching all along; the virus is going to keep widely circulating until herd immunity slows it down and eventually stops it. (which can be reached via vaccine)
4. More and more, it seems East Asian countries were/are the exception.
5. Given the nature of the virus, longevity of effort in thwarting its advances are called into question. Efforts to thwart the virus are strongly affected by governance and culture.
6. The US in culture and governance is much more similar to Western Europe than East Asia.
7. The strong resurgence in Europe calls into question what we might reasonably expect of the US. Given our modes of governance and cultures, could Western type Countries be quite a bit more prone to this sort of problem? Probably.
8. This doesn't alleviate criticism of initial handling of the pandemic by the US, but rather, sheds light on what to reasonably expect given "what we are."
9. I argued months back that it might be so that while Europe recovered from their opening bout better than the US, they would soon be struggling again given the nature of the virus. This was just the opening round match. Covid-19 has many rounds.
10. Given this, the initial US struggles in the opening round may prove to be rather forgettable once all the rounds are completed where Covid-19 is concerned.
11. Winning the opening round matters a lot more if the future rounds are likely to be fortified due to vaccine availability.
12. There is a chance that Europe separates itself from the US again by repeating more stringent measures than the US, similar to initial lockdown efforts. This will be an interesting development to watch. To be noted, the WHO has come out against widespread lockdowns. It remains to be seen if populations can stomach multiple lockdowns. This goes back to 8: what do we reasonably expect?
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