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Good chance Iowa is a top 10 team come Tuesday.

BigAssTurkeyLeg

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Sep 23, 2021
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Looking at the current landscape of the CFP, there are really only 9 teams who are still in contention for playoff spots

1. Georgia (12-0)
2. Michigan (11-1)
3. Alabama (11-1)
4. Cincinnati (12-0)
5. Notre Dame (11-1)
6. Ok state (11-1)
7. Baylor (10-2)
8. Oregon (10-2)
9. Iowa (10-2)

Everyone else has 2 or 3 losses and doesn't have a game coming up this weekend for a title. Is there a chance Iowa is somewhere #8-10 in the new CFP?
 
Not that anyone cares, but a few years ago I was self-studying graph-theory for work... decided that I'd use CFB as a playground. In part of this I wrote a little code that ranks teams based solely on outcomes of games (with a +5% weight for away wins) using a directed graph, and then centrality calculations. Think of a "graph" as a simple connectivity: "Iowa and Minnesota played each other", while a directed graph defines a "direction" of each connection: "Iowa beat Minnesota". Anyways what I did was rank teams based on two components:

1. Total "distance" from Team A to all other teams on the "Beat Team A" direction (modified to prefer losing to teams with minimal losses to other teams)
2. Total "distance" from Team A to all other teams on the "Lost to Team A" direction

Anyways, resurrected it again today and it spits out this for the top-10


Ranking​
Team​
Wins (FBS)​
Losses (FBS)​
Rating​
1​
Notre Dame
11​
1​
0.9892​
2​
Cincinnati
11​
0​
0.9821​
3​
Georgia
11​
0​
0.9722​
4​
Michigan
11​
1​
0.7618​
5​
Ohio State
10​
2​
0.7348​
6​
Oklahoma State
10​
1​
0.7281​
7​
Ole Miss
9​
2​
0.7239​
8​
Alabama
10​
1​
0.7185​
9​
Michigan State
9​
2​
0.7044​
10​
Iowa
10​
2​
0.6986​

So Iowa is at least top 10 in my poll!
 
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