Hansenhawks 2015-2016 pessimistic predictions

[hansenhawk]

Sorry for the other thread, not sure why it posted. Anywho, here are your official pessimistic predictions for the coming season.

• Gardner-Webb W 1-0
• Coppin State W 2-0
• @ Marquette L 2-1
• Dayton* L 2-2
• Monmouth W 3-2
• Florida State W 4-2
• UMKC W 5-2
• Western Illinois W 6-2
• @Iowa State L 6-3
• Drake* W 7-3
• Tennessee Tech W 8-3
• Michigan State L 8-4 (maybe someday....) (0-1)
• @ Purdue L 8-5 (0-2)
• Nebraska W 9-5 (1-2)
• @ Michigan State L 9-6 (1-3)
• Michigan W 10-6 (2-3)
• @Rutgers W 11-6 (3-3)
• Purdue W 12-6 (4-3)
• @Maryland L 12-7 (4-4)
• Northwestern W 13-7 (5-4)
• Penn State W 14-7 (6-4)
• @Illinois L 14-8 (6-5)
• @Indiana L 14-9 (6-6)
• Minnesota W 15-9 (7-6)
• @Penn State W 16-9 (8-6)
• Wisconsin W 17-9 (9-6)
• @Ohio State L 17-10 (9-7)
• Indiana W 18-10 (10-7)
• @Michigan L 18-11 (10-8)

There you go. Not so pessimistic?

 

[hawkeyeheaven08]

Weren't you leaving since Cook committed to Iowa?

I think this team can start 4-0 with the returning studs we have. At least it is my hope they come out firing on most cylinders.

 

[hansenhawk]

No, I am never leaving, now I might have to post even more just to rub it in. I did not make that bet. Sorry.

 

[Suterman]

Not that pessimistic really. We will actually play 3 games I think with Dayton being the 1st in a tournament. So add 2 more games methinks. A 10-8 B1G record may end up being pretty accurate.

 

[hansenhawk]

Yeah, the Dayton one I really wanted to put in the W column, but didn't. I thought they only play 2 games in that tournament. It's nice if they get 3. probably go 2-1 or 1-2 regardless.

Also, at first I had them 9-9 in conference, but think 10-8 is achievable. Anything better than that is dreamland. Anything worse than 9-9 is disappointment.

Just have to defend our home court except for MSU, then try to steal 1 or 2 on the road, most likely at PSU or Rutgers, or maybe even Indiana.

 

[Suterman]

If we can find a way to get to 20 wins before the B1G tournament, that would be awesome. Its going to be an interesting year for sure and the conference is going to be extremely difficult. I may be tempted to take 10 wins in the B1G right now.

 

[freemanbrenner]

I could see 11-12 wins. Maryland is overrated. I don't see how Rasheed sulaimon sulaimon is an upgrade over a first team all conference in dez wells. Diamod stone isn't jahlil okafor. Last year thy ha the benefit of teams not having film on them. Dakich isn't wrong about saying "buyer beware on maryland." If they are as good as everyone says, then no reason they shouldn't be in the final four.Indiana has talent but they have tom crean as their coach. Michigan last year terrible with levert and walton in their lineup.

 

[C/Seahawk]

Also, at first I had them 9-9 in conference, but think 10-8 is achievable. Anything better than that is dreamland. Anything worse than 9-9 is disappointment..

Why would anything better than 10-8 be dreamland? I get the conference is perhaps tougher top to bottom, but I think we also stand a good chance of being a better team overall too. I recall last October a lot of folks expected us to take a step back because we lost Marble. While White and Gabe graduated, I suspect we might be a better team this year when it is all said and done. We lose a first team All-B1G player in White and the 6th man of the year in Gabe, but there is no reason that can't be duplicated with the likes of Uthoff and Clemmons. I suspect Clemmons will be our 6th man once the rotation settles(at least that is my hope), and we have a great senior class with Gesell, Woodbury and Uthoff joining Sapp. We don't need the entire group of newcomers to turn the world on fire, but hopefully two or three are ready to make an impact and pitch in when needed.

Iowa has improved every year under Fran, so eventually that trend will end, but I'm not so sure this is the year. If I had to guess right now, we match last years conference record but advance further in the BTT and Big Dance making this year a step forward from last.

Go Hawks!

edit: I failed to mention Uhl, who I think will have a nice impact too and be much improved over last year. I still think 12-6 is where we finish in conference when its all said and done, but my pessimistic view would be 9-9. Anything worse would mean we were plagued by injuries all year.

 

[StatisticsLie]

I'll disagree with your assessment on the Dayton game. Dayton's lone returning senior, leading rebounder/2nd assists, and 2nd leading scorer (Pierre) is suspended until January. While they have talent elsewhere, it helps alleviate some of the post presence. Add in that nobody over 6'6" that is returning played significant minutes and you could see a repeat of Davidson/Michigan from last year with Woodbury, Uhl, and Uthoff using their size to their advantage.

 

[HoustonREDHawk]

I'll disagree with your assessment on the Dayton game. Dayton's lone returning senior, leading rebounder/2nd assists, and 2nd leading scorer (Pierre) is suspended until January. While they have talent elsewhere, it helps alleviate some of the post presence. Add in that nobody over 6'6" that is returning played significant minutes and you could see a repeat of Davidson/Michigan from last year with Woodbury, Uhl, and Uthoff using their size to their advantage.

The Dayton game is a big one for building a resume, and I like our chances. I also like getting MSU at the beginning of the B1G schedule, when Izzo hasn't yet got them on a roll. No easy games on the B1G schedule, so it will be very hard to match last year's finish in conference, unless there are teams with injuries again. Hawks need to stay healthy and have a couple of the newbies step up quickly. Too early to really assess the Hawks or the competition, but I think 10-8 or 11-7 are most likely.

 

[srams21]

I could see 10-8 in BIG play, but I think we will do better in non-conference than you do. I think we beat both Marquette and Dayton. I also think we win more than two road games as well. I haven't made my predictions yet but anywhere between 9 and 12 wins in conference is realistic.

 

[eb_sports]

I think we win at least one of the road games at Illinois, Indiana, or Michigan. Actually, I'll go with 11-7. I say we win at Illinois and Michigan, but lose the home game to Wisconsin.

 

[Myvue]

CBS Sports have done their rendition of ranking all 351 NCAA men's BB teams. According to them Michigan State is ranked 11th and Indiana 13th and Iowa has to play both teams twice. Maryland is 4th but Iowa only plays them on the road and they did well with them last year.

http://www.cbssports.com/collegebas...g-of-every-college-basketball-team-from-1-351

 

[hawkfan1963]

I believe with 4 seniors and 1 junior with a large amount of playing experience, a sophmore with limtied experience, 2 freshmen who have been in the program for a year and 6 new athletic players who seem to exude confidence, I see no reason that an above .500 conference record isn't achievable and 20 plus wins before the Big ten tournament shouldn't be accomplished.

 

[unIowa]

Big questions to answer:

1. How will this team rebound w losing Gabe/White.
2. How will this team replace White's production at the FT line.

For the first time in a long time Fran, IMO, won't have a guy that can get to the FT line when he wants. He had Marble who was excellent at it and White who was maybe even better. I don't see a guy on the roster (unless it is a newbie) with that skill set. This seems like the biggest deal to me as FT shooting can cover up a team shooting cold spell.

This team is going to shoot it better from deep, no doubt in my mind about that, but will they shoot so much better to make up for the loss of FT production, I'm not so sure. My guess is Fran has Moss pegged as his next great "get to the line" guy and bc of that he will play a lot...getting to the line frequently is part of Fran's system.

 

[jerbob36]

I don't think we go 0-5 against Maryland, MSU, and Indiana, but I don't see 2 wins there.
1-4 most likely with 2-3 the high end.

 

[perryhawk]

Sorry for the other thread, not sure why it posted. Anywho, here are your official pessimistic predictions for the coming season.

• Gardner-Webb W 1-0
• Coppin State W 2-0
• @ Marquette L 2-1
• Dayton* L 2-2
• Monmouth W 3-2
• Florida State W 4-2
• UMKC W 5-2
• Western Illinois W 6-2
• @Iowa State L 6-3
• Drake* W 7-3
• Tennessee Tech W 8-3
• Michigan State L 8-4 (maybe someday....) (0-1)
• @ Purdue L 8-5 (0-2)
• Nebraska W 9-5 (1-2)
• @ Michigan State L 9-6 (1-3)
• Michigan W 10-6 (2-3)
• @Rutgers W 11-6 (3-3)
• Purdue W 12-6 (4-3)
• @Maryland L 12-7 (4-4)
• Northwestern W 13-7 (5-4)
• Penn State W 14-7 (6-4)
• @Illinois L 14-8 (6-5)
• @Indiana L 14-9 (6-6)
• Minnesota W 15-9 (7-6)
• @Penn State W 16-9 (8-6)
• Wisconsin W 17-9 (9-6)
• @Ohio State L 17-10 (9-7)
• Indiana W 18-10 (10-7)
• @Michigan L 18-11 (10-8)

There you go. Not so pessimistic?

Ya know....I think this is realistic on the low end. This could be the record and so I can accept that prediction as a legit call (not just trying to be negative) but I think we beat both Marquette and Dayton......I also think we have a shot at Iowa State. We will be going in as a heavy underdog and they may still be adjusting to their new coach and system.........and that is what I like about Hansenhawks prediction....I can see where we could be quite a bit better and he already has us at 18 wins.

 

[freemanbrenner]

There will be teams that get lots of hype in the pre season that underchachieve. Last year it was nebraska and minnesota. I could see indiana underachieving and also maryland. Maybe purdue too, I know they are big but defending away from the basket could be a challenge for them.

 

[soybean]

The Dayton game is a big one for building a resume, and I like our chances. I also like getting MSU at the beginning of the B1G schedule, when Izzo hasn't yet got them on a roll. No easy games on the B1G schedule, so it will be very hard to match last year's finish in conference, unless there are teams with injuries again. Hawks need to stay healthy and have a couple of the newbies step up quickly. Too early to really assess the Hawks or the competition, but I think 10-8 or 11-7 are most likely.

This.