What’s the best seed we can get at this point and what do you think is the worst seed we can get? I know we have a couple big road games left and of course the B1G tournament…Any chance a 3 seed is in reach?
Highest and Lowest Seed….
- Thread starter BoiseHawk1
- Start date
Reread the entire question, then read your answer
OP asked (2) questions, I chose to answer the second...
Lack of a resume will limit iowa in terms of seeding. I’d say anything from 6-10 is likely. Hoping to avoid 8/9 but thinking that’s likely where we end up.
7 is the highest I’ve seen us all year and last 4 in is the lowest.
Remaining schedule, I think we go 3-1, which puts us at a 6 seed in BTT.
I think we will get to the finals.
I‘m projecting will be either a 5 or 6 seed in National Tournament and we make it to second weekend.
Remaining schedule, I think we go 3-1, which puts us at a 6 seed in BTT.
I think we will get to the finals.
I‘m projecting will be either a 5 or 6 seed in National Tournament and we make it to second weekend.
Several teams slotted in the places above us also had some really good wins last night. Like UConn beating Villanova...we just don't really have anything to match that to give us a comparable profile. I think we'll realistically stay at 7 or if we're lucky slide into 6 if a couple other teams fade badly. That'd be where we'd end up if the status quo holds and we beat @Nebraska, NW and any lower ranked team we may face in the BTT. In order to get something worthy of a 4, 5 or 6 there's going to have to be something really unanticipated, like knocking off Illinois in Champaign or beating one of the top teams in the BTT.
Ceiling is a 5 but reality is 7-9 IMO. Games are not viewed in a vacuum. The teams up the 5-6 range aren’t just going to magically fall off. We would literally have to win out plus win the BTT to get to 7 Q1 wins and a lot of teams already have those or will.
Aren't going to magically fall off.....you mean like MSU?
Most teams only have 3-4 games left before tournaments. Possible but not likely.
Iowa would have to go on a crazy run here at the end to get up to a 6 seed or better. The computers love Iowa, which is largely the reason Iowa is safely in rather than on the bubble. The resume/number of good wins is just not there. Agree that Iowa would probably have to win at Illinois, at Michigan and make some hay in the BTT as well.
If they win out and win the BTT they could earn a 2 seed.
Let’s say we beat NW, Neb, Mich, and lose to IL + make semis of the B1G tournament. Depending on how other teams do, I think that finish could place us as high as a 4/5 seed.
Let’s say we beat NW, Neb, Mich, and lose to IL + make semis of the B1G tournament. Depending on how other teams do, I think that finish could place us as high as a 4/5 seed.
Lots of basketball left. Win the next 4 and the B1G tournament and Iowa is a 3. Lose 3 of the next 4 and fail to win a game in the BTT and they're a 9.
According to the bball.notnothing simulator if Iowa wins out they are a 5 seed, finishing 1 game behind Ohio State for the 4 spot. Ohio State is at Illinois and Maryland then finishes with MSU and Michigan at home, the simulator has them finishing 3-1 with Illinois as the only loss. If Ohio State were to get upset in 1 of their other games then Iowa slides up to a 4 seed and then Ohio State moves to the 5 and they probably still face each other in the quarterfinals.
The worst seed if Iowa loses out is probably a 9, again using that same simulator. That would be a terrible draw and would put Iowa firmly on the bubble for a NCAA bid.
I think either a 5 or 6 seed is most likely.
The worst seed if Iowa loses out is probably a 9, again using that same simulator. That would be a terrible draw and would put Iowa firmly on the bubble for a NCAA bid.
I think either a 5 or 6 seed is most likely.
Right now Iowa is 18th in the NET. Even though Nebraska and NW are crappy teams, we can still improve our NET ranking because the NET includes margin of victory, offensive efficiency and defensive efficiency in those calculations as well. Look for Iowa to have the will to blow these 2 teams out of the buildings. A road win over Michigan would be a quad 1 as well as a road win over Illinois. Both tough matchups for us because of the bigs, but both could improve the net while losses wouldn't really drop us. Here is data from last year so you can see how the net rankings influenced seeds:
NET ranking Seed
9 5
10 8 (Loyola of Chicago)
11 5
12 6 (Texas Tech)
13 2
14 3
15 11 (UCLA, all Pac 12 teams were massively under-seeded because the Pac 12 was ranked so low)
16 6 (BYU)
17 3
18 3
19 5
20 4
21 4
22 3
23 9 (Wisconsin)
24 7
25 8
26 6
27 5
28 4
29 4
30 14
31 9
So looking at that, if Iowa kind of stays right around where they are and considering the B1G is in the top 3 of conference rank, you would think the floor would absolutely be a 7 although more likely a 6, and with a nice win or 2 like against Illinois and/or one in the conference tourney, a 4 could be achievable. I think if they win the B1G they could definitely get to a 3, but right now if I was betting I would say a 5 or a 6.
NET ranking Seed
9 5
10 8 (Loyola of Chicago)
11 5
12 6 (Texas Tech)
13 2
14 3
15 11 (UCLA, all Pac 12 teams were massively under-seeded because the Pac 12 was ranked so low)
16 6 (BYU)
17 3
18 3
19 5
20 4
21 4
22 3
23 9 (Wisconsin)
24 7
25 8
26 6
27 5
28 4
29 4
30 14
31 9
So looking at that, if Iowa kind of stays right around where they are and considering the B1G is in the top 3 of conference rank, you would think the floor would absolutely be a 7 although more likely a 6, and with a nice win or 2 like against Illinois and/or one in the conference tourney, a 4 could be achievable. I think if they win the B1G they could definitely get to a 3, but right now if I was betting I would say a 5 or a 6.
