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Iowa baseball 2025

Jan 30, 2019
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After a disappointing season in 2024 we have a lot of holes to fill. My two biggest concerns would be starting pitching (and pitching in general) along with who will play shortstop. Obviously if we could get Oakie on campus or Cade back for one more year that would help. Outside of Aaron savery who does everyone think will fill the other two spots in the rotation and who will play short? I like our new pitching coach hire. Go hawks!
 
Bryson Walker has some really good summer league numbers. He's pitched 32 innings with 49 K's 0.56 ERA 0.66 WHIP, didn't have many innings at Houston. Could be a solid guy. Jacob Kisting has looked solid this summer, too.

Kooper Schulte I believe is a juco SS they're bringing in. I don't really know who else on the roster is a SS.
 
Bryson Walker has some really good summer league numbers. He's pitched 32 innings with 49 K's 0.56 ERA 0.66 WHIP, didn't have many innings at Houston. Could be a solid guy. Jacob Kisting has looked solid this summer, too.

Kooper Schulte I believe is a juco SS they're bringing in. I don't really know who else on the roster is a SS.
I looked up Schulte and I don’t want to diss the kid but his junior college numbers were pretty underwhelming. Thanks for the information on the pitchers!
 
It will be interesting to see if Oakie from Ankey ever makes it to campus being a top 50 prospect for this years draft. That would be a biggggg get
 
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It will be interesting to see if Oakie from Ankey ever makes it to campus being a top 50 prospect for this years draft. That would be a biggggg get

Interesting that Oakie did not get drafted in the first two rounds. Slot value for the first player drafted in the third round (75th overall) is just under $1.05M. Slot value falls below $1M for pick number 78. I don't pretend to have the faintest clue as to how much money it would take for Oakie to say "Meh ... I'll play at Iowa," just throwing slot values out there for consideration.
 
Joey has always been a better than average chance to play at Iowa than many have opined.

I had thought it was more likely Iowa got Joey to campus than get Cade back.

MLB.com listed Obermueller as its #214 overall prospect. Slot value just under $260K.

Given that he has two years of eligibility remaining, he doesn’t lose any negotiating leverage if he comes back for another year.

Do I think Obermueller can increase his draft prospects? Yes. Absolutely.

Do I think he can move up into 7 figure signing bonus? I think that may be a stretch.

I think his decision will be less about signing bonus/money and more about whether he enjoys the college game and is willing to pitch one more year at Iowa or whether he wants to start his professional career.

Selfishly, I’d love to see him pitching on weekends in ‘25 but wouldn’t be surprised if he decides that the time is right to start a pro career.

Also … the above is purely my speculation.
 
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Cross posting:

Brody will likely get 1st round draft money, and for all intents and purposes is a 1st round draft pick.

Preface my next comments with I want what's best for each individual.

I'm pretty surprised we haven't heard anything about Cade yet. Notwithstanding the projections, I really though Cade could be a first day pick.

I've already posted enough of my thoughts on Joey wanting to be, and being a Hawkeye.

Hoping the best for Marcus. He's going to need to grind, but he can do it.

Leaves us with Raider, Petey & Andy to consider. It actually leaves us with a couple of other current players that are draft eligible.

It would, if the NCAA had any sense, leave us portal opportunity for several in state players that are draft eligible.

It's pretty difficult to imagine Iowa's roster next year not changing with some additional departures after yesterday.
 
Interesting that Oakie did not get drafted in the first two rounds. Slot value for the first player drafted in the third round (75th overall) is just under $1.05M. Slot value falls below $1M for pick number 78. I don't pretend to have the faintest clue as to how much money it would take for Oakie to say "Meh ... I'll play at Iowa," just throwing slot values out there for consideration.
Could be a guy that a team goes quite a bit over slot for, but hopefully he ends up at Iowa.
 
Cross posting:

Brody will likely get 1st round draft money, and for all intents and purposes is a 1st round draft pick.

Rockies’ first pick, Condon, will command full slot money.

Rockies’ third pick (42nd overall) Thomas, may have been a bit of a stretch pick. MLB listed him as 60th overall prospect.

Rockies may be able to sign Thomas under slot money and use saved money to sign Brecht over slot.

Take it FWIW.
 
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Rockies’ first pick, Condon, will command full slot money.

Rockies’ third pick (42nd overall) Thomas, may have been a bit of a stretch pick. MLB listed him as 60th overall prospect.

Rockies may be able to sign Thomas under slot money and use saved money to sign Brecht over slot.

Take it FWIW.
I'll defer to you, I'm not dialed in to how MLB works. going off of what I'm hearing only.
 
MLB.com listed Obermueller as its #214 overall prospect. Slot value just under $260K.

Given that he has two years of eligibility remaining, he doesn’t lose any negotiating leverage if he comes back for another year.

Do I think Obermueller can increase his draft prospects? Yes. Absolutely.

Do I think he can move up into 7 figure signing bonus? I think that may be a stretch.

I think his decision will be less about signing bonus/money and more about whether he enjoys the college game and is willing to pitch one more year at Iowa or whether he wants to start his professional career.

Selfishly, I’d love to see him pitching on weekends in ‘25 but wouldn’t be surprised if he decides that the time is right to start a pro career.

Also … the above is purely my speculation.
FWIW, a couple of months ago I heard Obermueller say himself that he was undecided, but very open to returning. I took his comments as genuine, but, things can change too, so I really don't know what he is thinking currently.

I felt like after that explanation that he would likely be back unless he went pretty high in the draft. But...who knows. :) A couple of other observations...to the extent that I know him, he is a very high quality person, an Iowa native with roots in the region (he has family that farm in the Benton County area and he enjoys helping on the farm as his schedule allows, his dad is a former multi-year MLB pitcher who I am sure can provide a lot of good insight.

I hope he returns and kind of think that he will...but who can fault a 20 year old for leaving college with the type of guaranteed pro money that may be on the table.
 
I'll defer to you, I'm not dialed in to how MLB works. going off of what I'm hearing only.

Condon was projected as one of the top 3 picks, including some thinking he’d go 1-1. I just don’t see the Rockies being able to sign him under slot.

Thomas was more of a stretch. Given his projected draft position, I’d think he’d be more inclined to accept a bonus closer to pre-draft expectations. Rockies can use any saved money to go over slot on other picks.

Will be interesting to see how they draft today.

FWIW, the Rockies aren’t exactly renowned as an organization that develops pitcher well.

Here’s hoping that we see Brecht, Mazur, Dreyer, and Wallace all making it to the Show.

I’ll readily admit that I thought that the Pirates would draft Brecht with 37th pick and was disappointed to see them use the pick on a high school kid (58th overall ranked prospect) They must have liked what he brings to the table and figured that he wouldn’t be around today.
 
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FWIW, a couple of months ago I heard Obermueller say himself that he was undecided, but very open to returning. I took his comments as genuine, but, things can change too, so I really don't know what he is thinking currently.

I felt like after that explanation that he would likely be back unless he went pretty high in the draft. But...who knows. :) A couple of other observations...to the extent that I know him, he is a very high quality person, an Iowa native with roots in the region (he has family that farm in the Benton County area and he enjoys helping on the farm as his schedule allows, his dad is a former multi-year MLB pitcher who I am sure can provide a lot of good insight.

I hope he returns and kind of think that he will...but who can fault a 20 year old for leaving college with the type of guaranteed pro money that may be on the table.
I just need to quote and agree with this post. He is level headed and taking good advice.

I would say the same is true about Joey Oakie.

Brody did this throughout his career also.

Based on listening to agents and scouts, I would say taking advice from persons who have the player's best interest in mind, not the agent or scout's best interest in mind, is critical. I've cited three examples of young men taking good advice. I won't, but I could cite other examples of young men taking advice from what are essentially predators.
 
Cleveland takes Oakie with 84th overall pick. Analyst on MLB Network just said "I'm sure that this will be an over slot guy."

Analyst made an interesting observation, if Oakie was a "sandwich" pick and didn't sign, the drafting team receives an add'l pick in the next draft. No add'l picks if a player drafted in 3rd round doesn't sign . . . he then concluded "players drafted in the 3rd round will sign." Slot is $906K.

And . . . my beloved Pirates pass on another Iowa prospect on the pick immediately preceding the one where the Iowa prospect was nabbed. Damn.

EDIT:
 
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Sounds like he always intended to go to the MLB. Best guess is 1.5 to 2 million bonus.
 
Petersen (Round 8), Young (Round 9), and Morgan (Round 9) …

Obermueller, Nelson, and Tello remain undrafted.
 
Of the top 15 college players still available to be drafted, Obermueller is sitting at #13. Of MLB's top 250 prospects, 75 remain available (as I type this) - 60 are HS kids. Obermueller was ranked #214 out of 250 on that list.

EDIT: 9 of the first 10 players taken in 13th round have been college players.

EDIT 2: Starting to think that teams have concluded that Obermueller won't sign if drafted in these lower rounds. Really isn't any other explanation for why he hasn't been drafted. Their have been 391 picks so far. Obermueller is unquestionably a more talented prospect than that. As I type this, Florida picked UCLA's SS (ranked #138 overall) with the 394th pick. Has to be a "shot in the dark" pick.
 
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Read last night that Tello will be signing a UFA contract with the Phillies. One more hole to fill for the '25 season.

I haven't read anything on Nelson.

With 2 years of eligibility, Obermueller has some incentive to come back for one more year. I'd think that he'd need "better" than 19th round money from the Rangers to sign with them. But, again, I'm speculating.
 
Brody - Gone
Joey - Gone (and I thought we had a chance)
Cade (From what I hear they cant get to his number, so hopefully back. TBD)
Andy (Probably back. TBD)
Seegs (No idea. TBD)
Tello (Gone)
Petey (No idea. TBD)

I've been wrong way more than I've been right so far.
 
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