Lot of baseball to be played yet. Still series against Nebraska, Maryland, UC Irvine, all of who are Top 60 RPI teams. Plus MSU and Ohio State, plus the mid-week games. Iowa would need to really string some wins together to get an at-large NCAA bid. But they aren't just in hope and prayer mode either.
Agreed. But the window is closing fast.
FWIW . . . these are B1G baseball records against top 50 RPI teams with breakdown of record vs. Top 25 and record vs. #26-#50.:
1. Nebraska - RPI of 37; (4-7) - (2-5/2-2)
2. Indiana - RPI of 23; (5-5) - (0-4/5-1)
3. Michigan - RPI of 65; (1-4) - (1-3/0-1)
4. Iowa - RPI of 83; (6-7) - (3-3/3-4)
5. Maryland - RPI of 62; (3-11) - (3-10/0-1)
6. Northwestern - RPI of 84; (2-7) - (1-5/1-2)
7. Rutgers - RPI of 154; (0-3) - (0-3/0-0)
8. Minnesota - RPI of 77; (4-11) - (0-4/4-7)
9. Purdue - RPI of 174; (1-10) - (0-1/1-9)
10. Ohio State - RPI of 163; (0-1) - (0-0/0-1)
11. Illinois - RPI of 21; (5-3) - (0-0/5-3)
12. Penn State - RPI of 179; (1-5) - (1-2/0-3)
13. Michigan State - RPI of 182; (0-13) - (0-0/0-13)
As it stands, Iowa is tied with Maryland for the most wins against teams rated in the RPI top 25 with 3. Iowa has more wins than teams in the RPI top 50 than any other B1G team. Only Indiana and Illinois have a better winning percentage than Iowa against teams that are in the RPI top 25.
Taking the series against Nebraska would be very helpful. Having Maryland sneak into the top 50 RPI before we play them would be a good development. Same for the Anteaters . . .
Currently at 20-14 with 20 to play. Take series against Nebby, Maryland and UC Irvine and RPI will respond. Going to take that plus a very good, deep showing in the B1G tournament for an at-large to be in play. Likely need to take out Nebby, Indiana, Illinois, Maryland or Michigan to be taken seriously. Winning 32-34 games in regular season and advancing to B1G final four may get them into some discussion but I'm thinking that it would take a championship game appearance to become a serious at-large contender.
EDIT . . FWIW, Iowa's RPI Top 50 opponents have been Okie State (2-1); Evansville (1-2); Indiana (0-3); Illinois (3-0); Illinois State (0-1)