Lithuania has been blocking shipments to Kaliningrad on the grounds that EU sanctions require them to do so.
Russia is rattling sabers and pointing to signed agreements guaranteeing a certain minimum level of access.
At the moment, it looks like the EU may back down.
But if they don't back down, what happens if Russia decides to enforce their agreements? Suppose, for example, Russia and/or Belarus send in troops to commandeer a corridor to Kaliningrad?
Lithuania is in NATO. They could and likely would invoke Article 5. That doesn't require US troops in direct fighting with Russians. But it could head that way.
What should we do?
What would we do?
My bet is that the EU carves out an exception to their sanctions rather than watch Russia carve out a chunk of Lithuania. But that's just my guess.
Russia is rattling sabers and pointing to signed agreements guaranteeing a certain minimum level of access.
At the moment, it looks like the EU may back down.
But if they don't back down, what happens if Russia decides to enforce their agreements? Suppose, for example, Russia and/or Belarus send in troops to commandeer a corridor to Kaliningrad?
Lithuania is in NATO. They could and likely would invoke Article 5. That doesn't require US troops in direct fighting with Russians. But it could head that way.
What should we do?
What would we do?
My bet is that the EU carves out an exception to their sanctions rather than watch Russia carve out a chunk of Lithuania. But that's just my guess.
‘The Russians could come any time’: fear at Suwałki Gap on EU border
Sixty-mile strip on edge of Poland and Lithuania is seen as vulnerable due to its position between Russian exclave of Kaliningrad and Belarus
www.theguardian.com