It's Kirk's offense and Brian is somehow just a victim in all of this? This tool uses all of those arcane metrics and the relative strength of the opponents to measure the efficiency of an offense, which I think we can all agree provides a more holistic view of Iowa offensive performance vs total yards or points scored. Kirk's offensive philosophy will never produce a top 20 scoring offense regardless of how efficient they are. This measure takes that slower complementary pace and the opposing defenses into account.
Here are the offensive efficiency rankings out of 130 teams since 2007 when this measure began. Five years of O'Keefe and then five years of Davis precede Brian who took over the offense in 2017. Obviously this year is still in process but given that we are 5 games in it will be close to where the rankings end up.
2007 96
2008 33
2009 80
2010 24
2011 29 O'Keefe avg 52
2012 99
2013 66
2014 63
2015 38
2016 57 Davis avg 65
2017 44
2018 41
2019 53
2020 64
2021 90
2022 96 Brian avg 65
Purely looking at averages, O'Keefe looks like his 5 years at the end of his tenure produced the most efficient offenses although there were huge variations producing 2 of the worst along with the 3 best.
Davis and Brian have the same averages but the over the course of their tenure the trends are/were moving in opposite directions. Davis only truly bad year was his first year which was the worst in the last 16 years. Hard to place all of the blame for that on him. Subsequent years were quite a bit better. Brian's best years on the other hand were his first 2 years. Again, hard to give him all the credit for that. The trend has been downward every year since to where we are today with two of the worst 4 years in the last 16 years. This is also the worst 2 year stretch in the past 16 years with an average of 93, the previous worst being 82 during Davis first 2 years.
I think it's important to recognize that although Kirk's offenses have been uninspiring for the most part, years like the last 2 are outliers and 2 consecutive years like this are historically bad, even for a Kirk offense. There is always hope, but hope is not a strategy, and it's hard to see significant improvements in the near term without significant organizational changes given the trend lines in place today.
BCF Toys - 2022 OFEI Ratings
www.bcftoys.com
Here are the offensive efficiency rankings out of 130 teams since 2007 when this measure began. Five years of O'Keefe and then five years of Davis precede Brian who took over the offense in 2017. Obviously this year is still in process but given that we are 5 games in it will be close to where the rankings end up.
2007 96
2008 33
2009 80
2010 24
2011 29 O'Keefe avg 52
2012 99
2013 66
2014 63
2015 38
2016 57 Davis avg 65
2017 44
2018 41
2019 53
2020 64
2021 90
2022 96 Brian avg 65
Purely looking at averages, O'Keefe looks like his 5 years at the end of his tenure produced the most efficient offenses although there were huge variations producing 2 of the worst along with the 3 best.
Davis and Brian have the same averages but the over the course of their tenure the trends are/were moving in opposite directions. Davis only truly bad year was his first year which was the worst in the last 16 years. Hard to place all of the blame for that on him. Subsequent years were quite a bit better. Brian's best years on the other hand were his first 2 years. Again, hard to give him all the credit for that. The trend has been downward every year since to where we are today with two of the worst 4 years in the last 16 years. This is also the worst 2 year stretch in the past 16 years with an average of 93, the previous worst being 82 during Davis first 2 years.
I think it's important to recognize that although Kirk's offenses have been uninspiring for the most part, years like the last 2 are outliers and 2 consecutive years like this are historically bad, even for a Kirk offense. There is always hope, but hope is not a strategy, and it's hard to see significant improvements in the near term without significant organizational changes given the trend lines in place today.