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It Appears Trump's Confusing "Reciprocal" Tariff Numbers Came from ChatGPT?

NoleATL

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Jul 11, 2007
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Hey Google, Is this a Pepsi?

Where did these numbers come from? Apparently, an oversimplified calculation that several major AI chatbots happen to recommend.
Economist James Surowiecki quickly reverse-engineered a possible explanation for the tariff pricing. He found you could recreate each of the White House’s numbers by simply taking a given country’s trade deficit with the US and dividing it by their total exports to the US. Halve that number, and you get a ready-to-use “discounted reciprocal tariff.” The White House objected to this claim and published the formula it says that it used, but as Politico points out, the formula looks like a dressed-up version of Surowiecki’s method.


 
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Hey Google, Is this a Pepsi?

Where did these numbers come from? Apparently, an oversimplified calculation that several major AI chatbots happen to recommend.
Economist James Surowiecki quickly reverse-engineered a possible explanation for the tariff pricing. He found you could recreate each of the White House’s numbers by simply taking a given country’s trade deficit with the US and dividing it by their total exports to the US. Halve that number, and you get a ready-to-use “discounted reciprocal tariff.” The White House objected to this claim and published the formula it says that it used, but as Politico points out, the formula looks like a dressed-up version of Surowiecki’s method.


I had found 3 places yesterday, that all agreed they used the trade imbalance as the starting point and divided by 2 to calculate reciprocal - idiots, that is not the definition of reciprocal. It is clear Trump is using this as a way to try to gain tariff payments and claim this as an offset for his tax plan. We have already seen 9 republican House members have already broken away to vote with democrats. How many more will when they think republicans are on a sinking ship.
 
I had found 3 places yesterday, that all agreed they used the trade imbalance as the starting point and divided by 2 to calculate reciprocal - idiots, that is not the definition of reciprocal. It is clear Trump is using this as a way to try to gain tariff payments and claim this as an offset for his tax plan. We have already seen 9 republican House members have already broken away to vote with democrats. How many more will when they think republicans are on a sinking ship.
That’s because you’re too stupid to understand the formula.

It’s not just that. They also multiplied the denominator by 4 and then divided it by 4. They used Greek letters. It’s all very scientific.
 
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They need to DOGE the experienced mechanics that work on trump's aircraft.
 
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