Believe they're win versus Texas was at Texas.
Sort of surprised that Vegas has IOWA at a
12 point favorite.
GO HAWKS
Sort of surprised that Vegas has IOWA at a
12 point favorite.
GO HAWKS
Maryland is a dangerous team........
- Thread starter IowaNiceHawk
- Start date
I agree.... but so are we. Not sure they can stop what we are bringing. Two 6’5 TEs who run like deer.
Believe they're win versus Texas was at Texas.
Sort of surprised that Vegas has IOWA at a
12 point favorite.
GO HAWKS
It was at the Redskins stadium, FedEx field, so it was officially neutral but in Landover, MD.
Your point is still valid, though.
Last year Texas was ass. This year, the Big 12 is ass.
Not to say Maryland should be overlooked, but take away the run game, which we certainly can do, and they shouldn't have an answer.
Maryland beat Minnesota 42-13
Iowa beat Minnesota 48-31
the points scored is about the same, but the points against heavily favor the Terrapins.
imo, the key to beating Maryland is stopping their run.
the last 2 games, Iowa has faced pass happy teams and been successful...
the game before, Iowa faced a run first offense... and lost.
Maryland is a run first offense.
Maryland has 8 different players who have rushed for a touchdown.
Maryland has rushed for 1400+ yards in 6 games.
Maryland is in 3rd place in the Big Ten East... better than Penn State.
Maryland and Iowa have only played each other twice.
Maryland won in 2014 (38-31).
Ty Johnson averages 8.1 yards per carry
Anthony McFarland averages 8.9 yards per carry
Tyrrell Pigrome (backup QB) averages 6.3 yards per carry
the Iowa Hawkeyes only have 3 remaining Home Games.
(Maryland, Northwestern, Nebraska)
if Iowa loses this one, we're in big time trouble.
this is a big one.
Iowa beat Minnesota 48-31
the points scored is about the same, but the points against heavily favor the Terrapins.
imo, the key to beating Maryland is stopping their run.
the last 2 games, Iowa has faced pass happy teams and been successful...
the game before, Iowa faced a run first offense... and lost.
Maryland is a run first offense.
Maryland has 8 different players who have rushed for a touchdown.
Maryland has rushed for 1400+ yards in 6 games.
Maryland is in 3rd place in the Big Ten East... better than Penn State.
Maryland and Iowa have only played each other twice.
Maryland won in 2014 (38-31).
Ty Johnson averages 8.1 yards per carry
Anthony McFarland averages 8.9 yards per carry
Tyrrell Pigrome (backup QB) averages 6.3 yards per carry
the Iowa Hawkeyes only have 3 remaining Home Games.
(Maryland, Northwestern, Nebraska)
if Iowa loses this one, we're in big time trouble.
this is a big one.
Maryland has also already faced Minnesota and Rutgers at home....that might inflate your stats just a bit
I think Maryland will not be an easy game. However, don't forget that 14 of the points scored by Minny were given to them with possessions starting on our 3 and our 6.
I'm surprised to hear we're favored that much. I would have put this game as Iowa -4 or so. I'm guessing they just don't expect much action on Maryland.
Minnesota almost beat defending Big Ten Champion (Ohio State Buckeyes.)
and Maryland did beat the Big12 Leader (Texas Longhorns.)
plus...
Maryland lost to Rutgers last year...
this year Maryland destroyed Rutgers 34-7.
Yea Texas is likely over-rated. I do think they had a nice win against USC. But if Iowa state had their schedule and record I highly doubt they're in the top ten.
Maryland is maybe dangerous but they appear to be much more inconsistent than the Hawks. I could see the game going close but as long as Iowa keeps the turnovers in check I'm predicting it's much more likely Iowa stomps them and covers spread.
Maryland is maybe dangerous but they appear to be much more inconsistent than the Hawks. I could see the game going close but as long as Iowa keeps the turnovers in check I'm predicting it's much more likely Iowa stomps them and covers spread.
You sound scared. Show some confidence in YOUR team. Way to many glass half empty guys on this board
Maryland beat Texas but they also lost 35-14 at home to Temple 2 weeks later this year.
I totally disagree that the points allowed heavily favors Maryland. You seem to forget that they (Minny) scored their first TD almost exclusively picking on our true freshman corner making his first start (who got better as the game went on), then we gave them 2 bunny TD's on turnovers that they had to go a TOTAL of 9 yds. to get.!
Yeah, they'll get some rushing yards, but Iowa is one of the best at making teams one dimensional and Iowa will contain their 'big play' run game, get them playing from behind, and make them throw the ball, which they are horrible at. I suspect we'll have all 4 corners available and if he's 100% I expect OJ to start to shut down the run game (he's our best at that). We'll probably see Hesse slide inside at times just to 'hawk' the QB and if Welch struggles at all with the run, Jones can come in and put the hammer down. Jet plays are the ones that worry me the most, but I'm sure PP is already thinking about how we will defend those. I feel really comfortable about this game, as long as we don't turn it over like we have at times. Play the cleanest game of the year, and this isn't even close.
Their D is fast (I think they'll play 5 DB's in an attempt to stop our TE's) so we should see a lot of T. Young pounding Power plays and setting up play action. You beat speed by running 'at it'. Iowa 48-17.
Yeah they are dangerous. Maryland has plenty of talent, and "on paper" they've out-recruited us, getting more four stars virtually every year. Certainly I think our program is superior and we build better football players. But the Terps D is top 20 nationally in YPG, nothing to take lightly. Hawks need to bring the intensity for this one. To me there are no teams that we "should beat" except for the real dumpster fires. Maryland, Purdue, Indiana, NW, and Nebraska (they've shat away multiple games against decent teams) all have the requisite talent to win games. It comes down to some unknown ratio of the dreaded execution, coaching, and occasional luck.
The big spread may have something to do with Hawkeyes always covering this year? Signed, Jimmy the Greek
Jesus folks! We're not playing New England on Saturday, it's Maryland. This is the kind of game that we have to win and I believe we will. Maryland is talented but undisciplined. We are talented and disciplined.
Wisconsin's Taylor was always capable of breaking the big run too ... and yet playing their worst run D of the year ... the Hawks still held Taylor to his season low yard per carry. He ran for just over 100 yards ... but he didn't break any big-gainers.
I think that the Hawks are still angry at how poorly they played defensively against Wisconsin. I think that they're going to work hard to play better run D. While Maryland still might grind out yards on the ground ... what will the scoreboard look like if their average ypc is closer to 3.5 yards per carry? If that is the case ... then they're more likely to have to sustain long drives ... and that isn't something that they've demonstrated they can do with much consistency!
Furthermore, they contained Minnesota's passing attack by bracketing Tyler Johnson. The Gophers weren't able to force Maryland's LBs to have to be careful about both reading the run AND pass ... and that's not their fault given their limitations on the OL AND given the youth of their RBs. In contrast, Iowa's TEs and RBs will force Maryland's D to have to think long and hard about both stopping the run AND defending the pass.
Also, the Maryland D won't be facing true freshmen QBs like they saw against Rutgers and Minnesota. Nate Stanley is a highly effective trigger-man ... and he has a lot of different targets to choose between. Both Temple and Michigan were able to pass for a lot of yards against Maryland ... so their ought to definitely be opportunity to be had in the passing game.
I think that the Hawks are still angry at how poorly they played defensively against Wisconsin. I think that they're going to work hard to play better run D. While Maryland still might grind out yards on the ground ... what will the scoreboard look like if their average ypc is closer to 3.5 yards per carry? If that is the case ... then they're more likely to have to sustain long drives ... and that isn't something that they've demonstrated they can do with much consistency!
Furthermore, they contained Minnesota's passing attack by bracketing Tyler Johnson. The Gophers weren't able to force Maryland's LBs to have to be careful about both reading the run AND pass ... and that's not their fault given their limitations on the OL AND given the youth of their RBs. In contrast, Iowa's TEs and RBs will force Maryland's D to have to think long and hard about both stopping the run AND defending the pass.
Also, the Maryland D won't be facing true freshmen QBs like they saw against Rutgers and Minnesota. Nate Stanley is a highly effective trigger-man ... and he has a lot of different targets to choose between. Both Temple and Michigan were able to pass for a lot of yards against Maryland ... so their ought to definitely be opportunity to be had in the passing game.
I agree that the game is a important one. Furthermore, I agree that Maryland is talented. Lastly, I also agree that in no way, shape, or form should the Hawks overlook Maryland. If they do so ... they will regret it.
However, that said, I don't agree with your assessment concerning our common opponent of the Gophers. First off, there is a significant difference between playing the team AT their home versus at YOUR home. When you play at home ... you tend to know how the weather impacts the ball more. Furthermore, when you play at home ... you have the home crowd having your back. Thus, coaches tend to game plan things more conservatively when they're playing away from home versus AT home.
Secondly, as another poster stated ... turnovers gifted the Gophers 2 scores on 2 drives that totaled just 9 yards!
Lastly, the Hawks were forced to have 2 first-time starters at CB against the Gophers. That first game can often be the toughest for a young player ... because you've never prepped as a starter before. Furthermore, there are all the nerves ... and you haven't yet developed the confidence yet. Now, as we head into the Maryland game ... we already know that OJ is capable of giving us some snaps ... and he's excellent in run support. Furthermore, Hankins might be ready to return to action too. Thus, the CB situation is way different than it was before. Heck, even the LB situation is way different than before. I think that we're seeing each of the LBs continuing to improve and gain confidence through each and every game. Thus, I'd argue that Maryland will likely be seeing a much better Iowa D than the one the Gophers saw. Presumably Maryland will be better too ... however, how much better?
Texas moved the ball well on Maryland and threw it well, they just lost the turnover battle 3-0. We know that feeling.
In terms of scoring O, both Maryland and Iowa are nearly identical.
In terms of scoring D, Iowa allows around 16.5 points per game ... whereas Maryland allows around 23.3 points per game.
As a null hypothesis, suppose we suppose each D holds things to around their average. Then the implication would be that Maryland gets around 17 points whereas Iowa gets around 24 points. If you add in the fact that the home-field advantage can often count for as much around 7-points ... maybe that jacks Iowa up to around 31 points.
Maybe that puts the game at 31-17, Iowa?
I don't know ... predicting a spread of 14 points seems a little much. Particularly given that Iowa's best teams seem to focus better for away games rather than home games. I could, however, see a 10 point spread.
So maybe 27-17, Iowa seems a little more reasonable?
In terms of scoring D, Iowa allows around 16.5 points per game ... whereas Maryland allows around 23.3 points per game.
As a null hypothesis, suppose we suppose each D holds things to around their average. Then the implication would be that Maryland gets around 17 points whereas Iowa gets around 24 points. If you add in the fact that the home-field advantage can often count for as much around 7-points ... maybe that jacks Iowa up to around 31 points.
Maybe that puts the game at 31-17, Iowa?
I don't know ... predicting a spread of 14 points seems a little much. Particularly given that Iowa's best teams seem to focus better for away games rather than home games. I could, however, see a 10 point spread.
So maybe 27-17, Iowa seems a little more reasonable?
I would say they are talented but not as smart or as well coached. That's just my take on them.
