- Sep 13, 2002
- 99,143
- 207,955
- 113
I'm always captivated by the Law of Unintended Consequences. This one is certainly interesting.
CONGRATS, ELON: DOGE’s attempts to dramatically reduce the size of the federal workforce may very well end up succeeding. But so far, it’s having something close to the opposite of its intended effect. Membership in the American Federation of Government Employees (AFGE), the largest federal employee union, skyrocketed in January, according to an internal document obtained by The Bulwark. The union grew by 8,693 members in January 2025, compared to 14,996 net new members in the prior twelve months. AFGE didn’t immediately reply to a request for comment, so it’s not clear if those numbers have changed and when, precisely, in January, it saw the biggest gains. But it seems obvious that a chunk of federal workers—either in anticipation of the Trump administration or in reaction to Musk’s “Fork in the Road” memos—chose to get worker protections rather than flee for the hills.
And, indeed, our old pal Marc Caputo reports this morning that about 20,000 federal workers have taken Musk’s don’t-call-it-a-buyout, accounting for about 1 percent of the federal workforce. That’s well below the 5–10 percent that DOGE was eyeing, though there are a few more days left to go.
One other sign that Musk isn’t yet getting what he wants: A reader passed along an email that the Commerce Department sent to employees yesterday notifying them that they’re now allowed access to the Voluntary Early Retirement Authority program as part of DOGE buyouts—a sweetener to get more people to leave.
CONGRATS, ELON: DOGE’s attempts to dramatically reduce the size of the federal workforce may very well end up succeeding. But so far, it’s having something close to the opposite of its intended effect. Membership in the American Federation of Government Employees (AFGE), the largest federal employee union, skyrocketed in January, according to an internal document obtained by The Bulwark. The union grew by 8,693 members in January 2025, compared to 14,996 net new members in the prior twelve months. AFGE didn’t immediately reply to a request for comment, so it’s not clear if those numbers have changed and when, precisely, in January, it saw the biggest gains. But it seems obvious that a chunk of federal workers—either in anticipation of the Trump administration or in reaction to Musk’s “Fork in the Road” memos—chose to get worker protections rather than flee for the hills.
And, indeed, our old pal Marc Caputo reports this morning that about 20,000 federal workers have taken Musk’s don’t-call-it-a-buyout, accounting for about 1 percent of the federal workforce. That’s well below the 5–10 percent that DOGE was eyeing, though there are a few more days left to go.
One other sign that Musk isn’t yet getting what he wants: A reader passed along an email that the Commerce Department sent to employees yesterday notifying them that they’re now allowed access to the Voluntary Early Retirement Authority program as part of DOGE buyouts—a sweetener to get more people to leave.