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My 2025 WBB Top 32 Commit Classes by Composite Rankings - Iowa #8

HawksGoneWild1

HB All-State
Sep 25, 2024
753
1,997
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Now that #1 ranked player (Chavez) committed to OK, I can post My 2025 WBB Top 32 Commit Classes by Composite Rankings.

The purpose of this project is to use a simple formula to calculate all player scores to take out as much bias as possible.

Got tired of looking at ESPN's Rankings that looked liked they devalued us compared to other teams that look lower than us with player rankings.

Had a problem properly evaluating player rankings from one site to another. It was frustrating trying to get a good handle on some players. Ex: Layla Hays was ranked #24 on one site and not rated on another site of 100 players. Makes you scratch your head.

Decided to figure the avg between all sites for a composite ranking for each player and then sort on the composite ranking for best rated players on a team. Then gave an uniformed weighted score or value to each player called 'Rank Score'. Now these teams can be sorted based on their sum of 'Rank Score' for all their players to find their ranking against all other teams.

The same small formula drives every players 'Rank Score' which is based on their Avg Rank score. The higher up the Avg Rank for a player the higher their Rank Score. Meaning the lower your Avg Rank, it "exponentially" reduces their Rank Score.

All player Rank Scores are added up for each team to arrive at their 'Composite Rank/Sum'. Teams were then sorted in descending order for their end Class of 2025 Ranking.

Iowa's incoming Class of 2025 with headliner Addie Deal ends up at #8.

There will be at lease 8 additional postings to get all 32 team details listed (could only get ~4 teams to a post). 32 teams are listed because I found at least 4 Top 25 list that had these teams listed on them.



Each grid contains the following columns:
Player Team Rank, Name, 8 Ranking Sites (1 col ea), MISC, LOW, Avg Rank and Rank Score

Key - 8 Ranking Sites Column Abbr:
ASGR = ASGR Basketball
PN = Prospect Nation
JRAS = Jr All Star
ESPN
TSB = Top Spot Basketball
247S = 247 Sports
BSBB = Blue Star Basketball
ON3 = On3

MISC = A special ranking column created to handle special cases. This acts like a 9th ranking site for the Avg Ranking column.
1) A player that's NOT ranked on any site. 207 was lowest ranked player from all sites. Ranking #208 was used as lowest ranking for those players with no ranking found and their Rank Score wil be 0.
2) Players rated higher than their current ranking. This happens a lot to injured players when they were rated higher and then after the injury their ranking went down to non-playing time.

LOW = Lowest ranking from all 9 possible rankings (including MISC column).

Avg Rank = Composite player ranking across all ranking sites (including MISC column).
Rank Score = Weighted score of the 'Avg Rank' column. There are big differences between a #1 rated player, a #40 player, a #75 player and a #150 rated player. Thus, a simple uniformed player 'Rank Score' formula was used in this calculation to take out as much bias as possible. That formula is: (208-Avg Rank)^5.44



This is NOT a perfect system. However, it's the best way I could figure out how to compare a team against other teams (eg only having one highly player vs another team having 4 moderate rated players).

I'm open to suggestions to make the rankings better or more fair.

EDIT: (4/8/25) Discovered Brandie Harrod decommitted from Auburn after a coaching change. She committed to Kansas State. Kansas State now moves up from #16 to #12.

My 2025 WBB Top 32 Commit Classes by Composite Rankings List
1​
LSU
2​
Tennessee
3​
Stanford
4​
Oklahoma
5​
South Carolina
6​
Kansas
7​
UNC
8
Iowa
9​
Cincinnati
10​
UCLA
11​
USC
12​
Kansan St
13​
Illinois
14​
Miss St
15​
Washington
16​
Georgia
17​
Texas
18​
Uconn
19​
Duke
20​
Notre Dame
21​
Alabama
22​
Michigan
23​
Utah
24​
California
25​
Oregon
26​
Miami
27​
Kentucky
28​
Indiana
29​
NC St
30​
Michigan St
31​
Maryland
32​
Creighton
 
Last edited:
Rk'25-'26 LSUASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
ZaKiyah Johnson
8​
4​
6​
13​
8​
12​
19​
4​
4​
9.25​
3.183E+12​
2​
Grace Knox
5​
15​
13​
6​
17​
11​
6​
13​
5​
10.75​
3.054E+12​
3​
Divine Bourrage
13​
9​
20​
12​
7​
8​
7​
7​
10.86​
3.045E+12​
4​
Bella Hines
23​
26​
33​
30​
41​
23​
24​
23​
28.57​
1.825E+12​
AVG
9.75​
14.86​
#1Composite Rank/Sum
1.111E+13​
Rk'25-'26 TennesseeASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Deniya Prawl
30​
10​
16​
14​
7​
6​
15​
6​
14.00​
2.790E+12​
2​
Mia Pauldo
25​
18​
10​
11​
10​
16​
26​
14​
10​
16.25​
2.619E+12​
3​
Jaida Civil
20​
19​
38​
32​
35​
13​
13​
26.17​
1.962E+12​
4​
Lauren Hurst
35​
82​
42​
42​
50​
47​
35​
49.67​
9.240E+11​
5​
Mya Pauldo
86​
54​
56​
56​
29​
49​
29​
55.00​
7.669E+11​
AVG
18.60​
32.22​
#2Composite Rank/Sum
9.061E+12​
Rk'25-'26 StanfordASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Hailee Swain
16​
5​
21​
9​
8​
7​
10​
5​
10.86​
3.045E+12​
2​
Lara Somfai
2​
14​
16​
40​
2​
18.00​
2.491E+12​
3​
Alexandra Eschmeyer
28​
37​
31​
31​
33​
34​
28​
32.33​
1.626E+12​
4​
Carly Amborn
70​
69​
68​
18​
18​
56.25​
7.334E+11​
5​
Nora Ezike
42​
49​
77​
84​
75​
39​
39​
61.00​
6.169E+11​
AVG
18.40​
35.69​
#3Composite Rank/Sum
8.513E+12​
Rk'25-'26 OklahomaASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Aaliyah Chavez
1​
1​
2​
1​
1​
1​
3​
1​
1​
1.38​
3.932E+12​
2​
Keziah Lofton
50​
23​
15​
50​
9​
34​
11​
17​
9​
26.13​
1.964E+12​
3​
Brooklyn Stewart
147​
50​
82​
62​
58​
50​
79.80​
2.930E+11​
AVG
20.00​
35.77​
#4Composite Rank/Sum
6.189E+12​
 
Rk'25-'26 South CarolinaASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Agot Makeer
5​
7​
5​
4​
4​
5​
4​
5.00​
3.571E+12​
2​
Ayla McDowell
7​
29​
27​
22​
53​
27​
15​
23​
7​
25.38​
2.009E+12​
AVG
5.50​
15.19​
#5Composite Rank/Sum
5.579E+12​
Rk'25-'26 KansasASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Jaliya Davis
15​
25​
18​
17​
34​
24​
24​
22​
15​
22.38​
2.195E+12​
2​
Keeley Parks
33​
20​
19​
29​
19​
17​
27​
24​
17​
23.50​
2.123E+12​
3​
Libby Fandel
97​
51​
44​
45​
32​
32​
53.80​
8.002E+11​
4​
Tatyonna Brown
208​
208​
208.00​
0.000E+00​
AVG
68.00​
76.92​
#6Composite Rank/Sum
5.118E+12​
Rk'25-'26 UNCASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Nyla Brooks
21​
28​
12​
20​
21​
5​
19​
5​
18.00​
2.491E+12​
2​
Taliyah Henderson
19​
24​
24​
23​
20​
30​
19​
23.33​
2.134E+12​
3​
Taissa Queiroz
63​
84​
76​
63​
74.33​
3.678E+11​
AVG
29.00​
38.56​
#7Composite Rank/Sum
4.993E+12​
Rk'25-'26 IowaASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Addie Deal
17​
8​
22​
18​
5​
9​
25​
14​
2​
2​
13.33​
2.843E+12​
2​
Layla Hays
24​
51​
49​
70​
62​
21​
21​
46.17​
1.041E+12​
3​
Journey Houston
40​
31​
61​
85​
24​
79​
43​
19​
19​
47.75​
9.865E+11​
AVG
14.00​
35.75​
#8Composite Rank/Sum
4.870E+12​
 
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Rk'25-'26 CincinnatiASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Dee Alexander
6​
13​
4​
8​
2​
15​
28​
9​
2​
10.63​
3.065E+12​
2​
Caliyah DeVillasee
64​
68​
66​
57​
40​
44​
40​
56.50​
7.268E+11​
3​
Kali Barrett
123​
123​
123.00​
3.134E+10​
4​
Paige Whitted
183​
183​
183.00​
4.025E+07​
5​
Joya Crawford
190​
190​
190.00​
6.740E+06​
AVG
107.60​
112.63​
#9Composite Rank/Sum
3.823E+12​
Rk'25-'26 UCLAASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Sienna Betts
4​
3​
1​
2​
4​
2​
1​
3​
1​
2.50​
3.817E+12​
2​
Lena Bilic
208​
208​
208.00​
0.000E+00​
AVG
104.50​
105.25​
#10Composite Rank/Sum
3.817E+12​
Rk'25-'26 USCASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Jazzy Davidson
3​
2​
3​
3​
3​
3​
2​
2​
2​
2.63​
3.804E+12​
AVG
2.00​
2.63​
#11Composite Rank/Sum
3.804E+12​
Rk'25-'26 Kansas StASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Jordan Speiser
62​
14​
17​
10​
36​
19​
29​
18​
10​
25.63​
1.994E+12​
2​
Aniya Foy
39​
41​
53​
46​
21​
52​
42​
21​
42.00​
1.195E+12​
3​
Brandie Harrod
87​
38​
83​
59​
38​
66.75​
4.965E+11​
4​
Gina Garcia Safont
208​
208​
208.00​
0.000E+00​
AVG
69.25​
85.59​
#12Composite Rank/Sum
3.685E+12​
 
Last edited:
Rk'25-'26 IllinoisASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Destiny Jackson
59​
39​
28​
25​
51​
28​
20​
20​
35.71​
1.463E+12​
2​
Manuella Fernandes
22​
45​
61​
22​
42.67​
1.169E+12​
3​
Cearah Parchment
72​
64​
40​
46​
40​
55.50​
7.533E+11​
4​
Naomi Benson
89​
98​
69​
69​
85.33​
2.305E+11​
5​
Erica Finney
208​
208​
208.00​
0.000E+00​
AVG
84.75​
97.88​
#13Composite Rank/Sum
3.616E+12​
Rk'25-'26 Miss StASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Madison Francis
10​
21​
8​
39​
16​
26​
9​
20​
8​
18.63​
2.447E+12​
2​
Jaylah Lampley
26​
76​
72​
38​
28​
66​
48​
26​
50.57​
8.956E+11​
3​
Nataliyah Gray
91​
95​
91​
93.00​
1.623E+11​
AVG
41.67​
54.07​
#14Composite Rank/Sum
3.505E+12​
Rk'25-'26 WashingtonASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Brynn McGaughy
12​
17​
25​
21​
22​
16​
12​
18.83​
2.432E+12​
2​
Bryn Martin
43​
67​
30​
68​
62​
64​
30​
55.67​
7.489E+11​
3​
Nina Cain
93​
89​
95​
71​
70​
70​
83.60​
2.488E+11​
4​
Sienna Harvey
208​
208​
208.00​
0.000E+00​
AVG
80.00​
91.53​
#15Composite Rank/Sum
3.430E+12​
Rk'25-'26 GeorgiaASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Zhen Craft
27​
16​
23​
64​
11​
41​
12​
11​
27.71​
1.873E+12​
2​
Aubrey Beckham
55​
55​
47​
49​
59​
38​
38​
50.50​
8.979E+11​
3​
Meghan Yarnevich
85​
86​
81​
54​
54​
76.50​
3.365E+11​
4​
Jocelyn Faison
79​
79​
79.00​
3.031E+11​
5​
Harrissoum Coulibaly
208​
208​
208.00​
0.000E+00​
AVG
113.67​
121.17​
#16Composite Rank/Sum
3.410E+12​
 
Last edited:
Rk'25-'26 TexasASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Aaliyah Crump
9​
12​
7​
5​
20​
5​
13​
8​
5​
9.88​
3.129E+12​
AVG
5.00​
9.88​
#17Composite Rank/Sum
3.129E+12​
Rk'25-'26 UConnASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Kelis Fisher
18​
22​
37​
27​
18​
16​
21​
16​
22.71​
2.173E+12​
2​
Gandy Malou-Mamel
31​
79​
73​
74​
45​
31​
60.40​
6.307E+11​
3​
Blanca Quinonez
208​
208​
208.00​
0.000E+00​
AVG
85.00​
97.04​
#18Composite Rank/Sum
2.804E+12​
Rk'25-'26 DukeASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Emilee Skinner
29​
6​
9​
7​
10​
31​
5​
5​
13.86​
2.801E+12​
AVG
5.00​
13.86​
#19Composite Rank/Sum
2.801E+12​
Rk'25-'26 Notre DameASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Leah Macy
34​
11​
11​
19​
13​
14​
4​
15​
4​
15.13​
2.703E+12​
AVG
4.00​
15.13​
#20Composite Rank/Sum
2.703E+12​
 
Rk'25-'26 AlabamaASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Lourdes Da Silva Costa
44​
50​
51​
44​
48.33​
9.671E+11​
2​
Ace Austin
74​
44​
52​
55​
39​
39​
52.80​
8.288E+11​
3​
Joy Egbuna
56​
97​
37​
37​
63.33​
5.655E+11​
4​
Tianna Chambers
94​
94​
73​
73​
87.00​
2.140E+11​
AVG
48.25​
62.87​
#21Composite Rank/Sum
2.575E+12​
Rk'25-'26 MichiganASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
McKenzie Mathurin
41​
33​
35​
37​
35​
37​
33​
36.33​
1.434E+12​
2​
Ciara Byars
81​
36​
32​
65​
32​
53.50​
8.087E+11​
3​
Jessica Fields
76​
77​
89​
99​
76​
85.25​
2.314E+11​
AVG
47.00​
58.36​
#22Composite Rank/Sum
2.474E+12​
Rk'25-'26 UtahASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Leonna Sneed
82​
32​
44​
26​
56​
30​
46​
26​
45.14​
1.077E+12​
2​
Avery Hjelmstad
54​
53​
46​
47​
36​
36​
47.20​
1.005E+12​
3​
Ella Todd
92​
88​
66​
66​
82.00​
2.667E+11​
AVG
42.67​
58.11​
#23Composite Rank/Sum
2.349E+12​
Rk'25-'26 CaliforniaASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Aliyahna Morris
66​
30​
26​
24​
23​
25​
23​
32.33​
1.626E+12​
2​
Isis Johnson Musah
71​
71​
71.00​
4.205E+11​
3​
Taylor Barnes
145​
98​
93​
72​
72​
102.00​
1.042E+11​
4​
Grace McCallop
166​
83​
83​
124.50​
2.844E+10​
AVG
62.25​
82.46​
#24Composite Rank/Sum
2.179E+12​
 
Rk'25-'26 OregonASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Janiyah Williams
51​
34​
57​
53​
6​
37​
21​
6​
37.00​
1.404E+12​
2​
Sara Barhoum
68​
57​
90​
63​
57​
69.50​
4.462E+11​
AVG
57.00​
69.50​
#25Composite Rank/Sum
1.851E+12​
Rk'25-'26 MiamiASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Danielle Osho
65​
71​
39​
54​
65​
39​
58.80​
6.688E+11​
2​
Soma Okolo
52​
76​
52​
64.00​
5.514E+11​
3​
Camille Williams
112​
36​
36​
74.00​
3.728E+11​
4​
Meredith Tipper
100​
87​
93​
87​
93.33​
1.597E+11​
5​
Natalie Wetzel
130​
79​
79​
104.50​
9.147E+10​
AVG
67.33​
90.61​
#26Composite Rank/Sum
1.844E+12​
Rk'25-'26 KentuckyASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Kaelyn Carroll
47​
42​
59​
15​
18​
32​
14​
14​
32.43​
1.621E+12​
AVG
14.00​
32.43​
#27Composite Rank/Sum
1.621E+12​
Rk'25-'26 IndianaASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Maya Makalusky
45​
43​
34​
35​
59​
57​
34​
45.50​
1.064E+12​
2​
Nevaeh Caffey
83​
62​
67​
67​
62​
69.75​
4.418E+11​
AVG
48.00​
57.63​
#28Composite Rank/Sum
1.506E+12​
 
Rk'25-'26 NC StASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Adelaide Jernigan
36​
46​
78​
66​
55​
36​
56.20​
7.347E+11​
2​
Destiny Lunan
53​
72​
65​
60​
73​
53​
64.60​
5.390E+11​
AVG
44.50​
60.40​
#29Composite Rank/Sum
1.274E+12​
Rk'25-'26 Michigan StASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Jordan Ode
88​
35​
29​
33​
98​
51​
29​
55.67​
7.489E+11​
2​
Amy Terrian
117​
58​
89​
53​
53​
79.25​
2.999E+11​
3​
Anna Terrian
124​
73​
73​
98.50​
1.243E+11​
AVG
51.67​
77.81​
#30Composite Rank/Sum
1.173E+12​
Rk'25-'26 MarylandASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Rainey Welson
80​
63​
34​
64​
29​
23​
23​
48.83​
9.508E+11​
2​
Addi Mack
106​
55​
100​
100​
55​
90.25​
1.845E+11​
AVG
39.00​
69.54​
#31Composite Rank/Sum
1.135E+12​
Rk'25-'26 CreightonASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Ava Zediker
129​
47​
70​
69​
63​
68​
47​
74.33​
3.678E+11​
2​
Neleigh Gessert
109​
60​
91​
82​
54​
54​
79.20​
3.006E+11​
3​
Kendall McGee
122​
49​
49​
85.50​
2.288E+11​
4​
Norah Gessert
158​
92​
91​
91​
113.67​
5.523E+10​
5​
Avery Cooper
131​
131​
131.00​
1.830E+10​
AVG
111.00​
122.33​
#32Composite Rank/Sum
9.707E+11​
 
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Sure looks like you're cooking the books on the Iowa players with their "Misc" ranking.
As well as giving rankings of 208 to foreign players.
 
Last edited:
Sure looks like you're cooking the books on the Iowa players with their "Misc" ranking.

Just my attempt to uncook the books.

Addie Deal rated #2:

Layla Hays rated #21:

Journey Houston rated #19:


I did ask hawkbuck about Journey's injury and rankings fall back in November of last year. Here is his reply:
Journey fell in the rankings because she simply did not play this past summer while rehabbing from her knee injury. Rankings are subjective, in nature, and if not seen, the fall was expected. Journey is a kid who gives max effort, relies on deceptive quickness and shear determination to impact the game. Her offensive skills, as it pertains to shooting, overall, were and will continue to be a work in progress. She certainly could have used another summer on the club circuit with her Attack team that would have further developed her skills, but it just didn't happen for circumstances out of her control. Journey, because of this setback, may not (with hesitation) be the impact player we hoped she would be as a freshman. But, this kid has the motor, the drive, determination to be great that every coach would want in a player. She will rebound and run the floor at a high level. She will guard and she knows her strengths. Getting her to be a double digit scorer at the next level, if that is what she needs to be, will the question yet to be answered.

I also stated in my original post:
MISC = A special ranking column created to handle special cases. This acts like a 9th ranking site for the Avg Ranking column.
1) A player that's NOT ranked on any site. 207 was lowest ranked player from all sites. Ranking #208 was used as lowest ranking for those players with no ranking found and their Rank Score wil be 0.
2) Players rated higher than their current ranking. This happens a lot to injured players when they were rated higher and then after the injury their ranking went down to non-playing time.

That being said, all of our players were injured at some point over their junior years. Believe they are now playing at the same level or better than their prior higher ranking.

Not trying to cook the books. Just happened to notice our commit's rankings as I was researching other events on the forum and made a note that their rankings were at a higher point than currently stated now.

As far as I can tell, the ranking sites could be cooking the books on us by possibly using injuries to devalue us. So there's more than one way to look at this.

Just reran the #s without the MISC column filled in and we would still be slotted at #8.
Rk'25-'26 IowaASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Addie Deal
17​
8​
22​
18​
5​
9​
25​
14​
5​
14.75​
2.732E+12​
2​
Layla Hays
24​
51​
49​
70​
62​
24​
51.20​
8.764E+11​
3​
Journey Houston
40​
31​
61​
85​
24​
79​
43​
24​
51.86​
8.566E+11​
AVG
17.67​
39.27​
#8Composite Rank/Sum
4.465E+12​
 
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This is awesome, thanks for doing this! Would you consider a sort of retrospective-based weighting to the individual sites based on their on-court success So, the more accurate and reliable recruiting sites weigh higher when applying it to future rankings.

I don't know the best way of doing it but I think one could use All American 1st team to - Honorable Mention - there's your top 25. Then, use first and second team all conference honors to round out the top 100. Obviously if one wanted to expand further they could but that isn't totally necessary. Compare the *real* top 100 to the 100 of the sites. Only problem is that does produce errors temporally they are not equal. Top 100 is just one class, real top 100 is multiple.

The rankers can't see everyone everywhere and be at all places at all times. So, they only get credit for true positives (i.e. hit rate), and don't have deductions for false negatives (e.g. not in the top 100 but player ended up 3rd team all-american. Recruiters aren't deducted accuracy points for false positives (rated them 50th but they never started a single game). Injuries are a big confounding variable in this analysis but removing false positives as a contributor would mostly remove that confounder. This somewhat takes care of the different classes issue. Since we are only giving credit for true positives then the sites only get credit for saying someone is top 100 and them actually playing early.

For simplicity and time one could just group 10-15 players in tiers and assign accuracy that way which would also take out any need for further inspection and bias along the spectrum.

I haven't thought it through but using this method could also determine what I call essentially is group think ranking bias. This bias could be applied intra or inter-recruit rankings since they are independent. Example: two sites may have the same 100 recruits in the top 100 but completely flip flopped. Alternatively, two sites could only have 50% of the same recruits in the top 100 but for the ones that do they have the exact same rank.

This way, you could quickly identify trends between the sites and relate that back to accuracy and potentially weighting. Lastly, you may be able to take out some sites entirely. If there's a couple sites who look like they are basically mirror clones of site A then why keep including them in the results? It's more leg work with no pay-off. Just weight Site A a little bit more.

I like the previous 5 years because A) it's essentially a whole class and B) these sites have some dynamicity to them with different people determining the rankings or the same person getting better/worse over time.

What do you think? If someone has a different/better idea I'm all ears. I think I have a few ways to automate these processes through excel/coding so it wouldn't be a time sink on my end. Would be an interesting base line to add each consecutive year to the data. I wrote this across 4-5 separate instances so apologies if it lacks a coherent train of thought.
 
Last edited:
Just my attempt to uncook the books.

Addie Deal rated #2:

Layla Hays rated #21:

Journey Houston rated #19:


I did ask hawkbuck about Journey's injury and rankings fall back in November of last year. Here is his reply:


I also stated in my original post:
MISC = A special ranking column created to handle special cases. This acts like a 9th ranking site for the Avg Ranking column.
1) A player that's NOT ranked on any site. 207 was lowest ranked player from all sites. Ranking #208 was used as lowest ranking for those players with no ranking found and their Rank Score wil be 0.
2) Players rated higher than their current ranking. This happens a lot to injured players when they were rated higher and then after the injury their ranking went down to non-playing time.

That being said, all of our players were injured at some point over their junior years. Believe they are now playing at the same level or better than their prior higher ranking.

Not trying to cook the books. Just happened to pick our commit's rankings as I was researching other events on the forum and made a note that their rankings were at a higher point than currently stated now.

As far as I can tell, the ranking sites could be cooking the books on us by possibly using injuries to devalue us. So there's more than one way to look at this.

Just reran the #s without the MISC column filled in and we would still be slotted at #8.
Rk'25-'26 IowaASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1​
Addie Deal
17​
8​
22​
18​
5​
9​
25​
14​
5​
14.75​
2.732E+12​
2​
Layla Hays
24​
51​
49​
70​
62​
24​
51.20​
8.764E+11​
3​
Journey Houston
40​
31​
61​
85​
24​
79​
43​
24​
51.86​
8.566E+11​
AVG
17.67​
39.27​
#8Composite Rank/Sum
4.465E+12​
Dude! Thank you for all the hard work. Interesting to see where Iowas recruiting "misses" ended up ranked, and committed. If we could have landed anyone of them ( Skinner, Speiser, McC, etc) this class could have been more special. Obviously!
 
ESPN usually has a post-McDonald’s AA game update to their rankings. Will be interesting to see if there is movement with Hays and Houston.
Ya im interested too. I've seen hays slid down a little. She was in the 50s at a time.

Journey put up some nice stats when the girl on her team going to lsu got hurt.

Well see
 
How can you rank a team #11 with only one recruit? Just curious.

Well, I did state this.
Rank Score = Weighted score of the 'Avg Rank' column. There are big differences between a #1 rated player, a #40 player, a #75 player and a #150 rated player.

I forgot to add the following into my original post and I did a edit to put it in now.
Thus, a simple uniformed player 'Rank Score' formula was used in this calculation to take out as much bias as possible. That formula is: (208-Avg Rank)^5.44

TLDR - That's just how the exponential formula placed a value/score on them and how it gave less weight to lower rated players. I had different teams pegged to be below certain teams throughout the list. To get the top teams, middle teams and lower teams to come into their spots it's just how other teams in between them fell into place and I can live with that. See the other rankings below of why I can live with it.

USC was #11 in my list. If you noticed her avg rank was 2.63 across 8 rating services. If you're ranked 2.63, then you're most likely a TOP McD All-American. You're value is considerably higher than a #20, it's going to be much higher than #40 and it's going to be way higher than #80. This means you need to use a rating system that exponentially decreases a player's score the lower they are ranked.
Rk'25-'26 USCASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1Jazzy Davidson3233332222.633.804E+12

These McDAA players are going to bring more to the table and make other players around them better than non-McDAAs. This is why you have UConn and South Carolina stacked with these type of players. These are CC and JuJu type players. Hard to tell who will excel and who will just show up. If these type of players go down, it can devastate your team (eg USC this year).

Once you start getting players around say ~40ish, they can start to be a bust or not as advertised. AJ Edijer #39 out of high school. It doesn't mean a #11 player can't be a bust. You're just dealing with odds of something happening here. These players have a highly decreased value/score tied to them than McDAAs. You start getting near 80ish rated and you have bench players on very good teams.

Anyways, this is just the way the formula worked out to get LSU #1, TN #2 and Stanford #3. Think my first 6 come very close to a match others with this one simple formula.

Here's USC at #5 on National Signing Day for women's college basketball in 2024 on Nov 13, 2024. This came out 2 days later to eval those signings. USC only had Jazzy Davidson at that time. You can see us at #9 had 3 players and a McD All-American also. They valued 1 McD All-American over our 1 McD All-American + 2 other players, Also, Journey Houston was rated at #19 when she committed. Both Houston and Hays avg ~50 on signing day. You see they didn't give much value to these #50 rated players of ours.



Here's USC at #15. So I'm not so far off. As you can tell it's very subjective. I wanted to take that bias out as much as possible. By: 1) Calcing a player's avg rank from multiple services. 2) Using a formula that then adds up those avg ranked scores to see where the chips may fall.
This is a link to jrallstar.com rankings:

So it's not total nutwaggery if that's what you're thinking.
 
Well, I did state this.
Rank Score = Weighted score of the 'Avg Rank' column. There are big differences between a #1 rated player, a #40 player, a #75 player and a #150 rated player.

I forgot to add the following into my original post and I did a edit to put it in now.
Thus, a simple uniformed player 'Rank Score' formula was used in this calculation to take out as much bias as possible. That formula is: (208-Avg Rank)^5.44

TLDR - That's just how the exponential formula placed a value/score on them and how it gave less weight to lower rated players. I had different teams pegged to be below certain teams throughout the list. To get the top teams, middle teams and lower teams to come into their spots it's just how other teams in between them fell into place and I can live with that. See the other rankings below of why I can live with it.

USC was #11 in my list. If you noticed her avg rank was 2.63 across 8 rating services. If you're ranked 2.63, then you're most likely a TOP McD All-American. You're value is considerably higher than a #20, it's going to be much higher than #40 and it's going to be way higher than #80. This means you need to use a rating system that exponentially decreases a player's score the lower they are ranked.
Rk'25-'26 USCASGRPNJRASESPNTSB247SBSBBON3MISCLOWAvg RankRank Score
1Jazzy Davidson3233332222.633.804E+12

These McDAA players are going to bring more to the table and make other players around them better than non-McDAAs. This is why you have UConn and South Carolina stacked with these type of players. These are CC and JuJu type players. Hard to tell who will excel and who will just show up. If these type of players go down, it can devastate your team (eg USC this year).

Once you start getting players around say ~40ish, they can start to be a bust or not as advertised. AJ Edijer #39 out of high school. It doesn't mean a #11 player can't be a bust. You're just dealing with odds of something happening here. These players have a highly decreased value/score tied to them than McDAAs. You start getting near 80ish rated and you have bench players on very good teams.

Anyways, this is just the way the formula worked out to get LSU #1, TN #2 and Stanford #3. Think my first 6 come very close to a match others with this one simple formula.

Here's USC at #5 on National Signing Day for women's college basketball in 2024 on Nov 13, 2024. This came out 2 days later to eval those signings. USC only had Jazzy Davidson at that time. You can see us at #9 had 3 players and a McD All-American also. They valued 1 McD All-American over our 1 McD All-American + 2 other players, Also, Journey Houston was rated at #19 when she committed. Both Houston and Hays avg ~50 on signing day. You see they didn't give much value to these #50 rated players of ours.



Here's USC at #15. So I'm not so far off. As you can tell it's very subjective. I wanted to take that bias out as much as possible. By: 1) Calcing a player's avg rank from multiple services. 2) Using a formula that then adds up those avg ranked scores to see where the chips may fall.
This is a link to jrallstar.com rankings:

So it's not total nutwaggery if that's what you're thinking.
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