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National homicide rate surged by 30% in Trump's final year in office

Menace Sockeyes

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Sep 2, 2010
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Highest increase on record. The effects of his horrendous pandemic response, and the tax scam that shifted the burden off the wealthiest and into the backs of the middle and working class. Thank God enough Americans saw the light in time and spared us four more years of devolving into a failed state...

 
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I guess all those taxes caused minorities in large liberal run cities to start shooting each other.
Large inequalities between the richest 20% and the poorest 20% drive violent crimes. This is something everyone who studies this, from Jordan Peterson to Rutger Bergman, acknowledges. The Trump taxes and his pandemic failure both exacerbated this. You are either ignorant (par for the course) or are intentionally playing dumb.
 
Large inequalities between the richest 20% and the poorest 20% drive violent crimes. This is something everyone who studies this, from Jordan Peterson to Rutger Bergman, acknowledges. The Trump taxes and his pandemic failure both exacerbated this. You are either ignorant (par for the course) or are intentionally playing dumb
Or you are just a partisan ideologue. Nothing in your posting history suggests differently.
 
You didn't back the data point up with any facts. You connected talking points from a party to a data point. Congratulations are like any political hack on television.
Are you saying Jordan Peterson is wrong in saying inequalities between the richest 20% and the poorest 20% drive violent crimes? Are you confusing facts with data? I can provide that. Now you are also allowed data to counter this. Not sure if you knew.
 
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Highest increase on record. The effects of his horrendous pandemic response, and the tax scam that shifted the burden off the wealthiest and into the backs of the middle and working class. Thank God enough Americans saw the light in time and spared us four more years of devolving into a failed state...

I think Trump is a joke, but pinning that on him is ridiculous. Correlation doesn’t necessarily mean causation.

Seriously. This is Trump-chump level circular reasoning.
 
Highest increase on record. The effects of his horrendous pandemic response, and the tax scam that shifted the burden off the wealthiest and into the backs of the middle and working class. Thank God enough Americans saw the light in time and spared us four more years of devolving into a failed state...

Because there are no Governors? Yeah Lightfoot's got nothing to do with that. Or were there riots and insurrections during his last year that maybe we should have a commission on? And maybe you've forgotten, we are 50 states, yes some definitely are failing in crime.
 
Are you saying Jordan Peterson is wrong in saying inequalities between the richest 20% and the poorest 20% drive violent crimes? Are you confusing facts with data? I can provide that. Now you are also allowed data to counter this. Not sure if you knew.

I think I remember something about that from a while back. And it's specifically where people of vastly different wealth are in close proximity to each other. (so big cities... where you see more crime) Maybe I can find a link.
 
Correlation doesn’t necessarily mean causation.

Seriously. This is Trump-chump level circular reasoning.
While the first part is certainly correct, I provided a causality argument. As far as the circular reasoning goes, what do you attribute this spike to, and how did Trump help or hurt this causal link?
 
I agree with @BlackNGoldBleeder on this. Trump was a horrible horrible president for a multitude of reasons.

That said connecting national murder rate with the president is kind of a stretch. You could potentially connect a few things he did witht he increase but there isn't any solid connection that you can drew based on the numbers.
 
Quick question. Which Republican led cities were part of the top cities with high murder rate?

like 95% of the high crime cities are in Democrat run states with Democrat mayors
 
While the first part is certainly correct, I provided a causality argument. As far as the circular reasoning goes, what do you attribute this spike to, and how did Trump help or hurt this causal link?
What policies did Trump enact or fail to enact that would have directly (or indirectly) affected the violent crime rate? Would that have been felt right away or over time?

More times than not, trends do not occur in a vacuum. And the reality is you are probably observing a spurious relationship. One could easily assert violent crime progressed after football players started kneeling during the national anthem, claiming it encouraged lawlessness and violent behavior.

Here’s a rather ridiculous example of circular reasoning and spurious relationships but it was an actual case study. Researchers discovered that violence occurred most in areas where large quantities of ice cream were consumed. If employing circular reasoning, one could conclude eating ice cream causes people to be violent. However, that would be incorrect and a spurious relationship being observed, because in actuality heat tends to make people more aggressive and people tend to eat ice cream more when it’s hot. See what I mean?

So, if we wanted to go that route, maybe we should look at global warming patterns and see if there’s a connection to climate change and more aggressive behavior. How do you pinpoint one cause, spurious or not, as incontrovertible proof of a trend like human behavior? You can’t. It’s impossible. That’s my point.
 
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What policies did Trump enact or fail to enact that would have directly (or indirectly) affected the violent crime rate? Would that have been felt right away or over time?

More times than not, trends do not occur in a vacuum. And the reality is you are probably observing a spurious relationship. One could easily assert violent crime progressed after football players started kneeling during the national anthem, claiming it encouraged lawlessness and violent behavior.

Here’s a rather ridiculous example of circular reasoning and spurious relationships but it was an actual case study. Researchers discovered that violence occurred most in areas where large quantities of ice cream were consumed. If employing circular reasoning, one could conclude eating ice cream causes people to be violent. However, that would be incorrect and a spurious relationship being observed, because in actuality heat tends to make people more aggressive and people tend to eat ice cream more when it’s hot. See what I mean?

So, if we wanted to go that route, maybe we should look at global warming patterns and see if there’s a connection to climate change and more aggressive behavior. How do you pinpoint one cause, spurious or not, as incontrovertible proof of a trend like human behavior? You can’t. It’s impossible. That’s my point.

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Quick question. Which Republican led cities were part of the top cities with high murder rate?

like 95% of the high crime cities are in Democrat run states with Democrat mayors

Violent crime rates in pretty much every large Republican city have risen since 2019. Omaha, Fort Worth, Mesa, Jacksonville, Fresno, Oklahoma City, etc. It’s cute that you try to pin it all on Democrats, though.
 
Are you saying Jordan Peterson is wrong in saying inequalities between the richest 20% and the poorest 20% drive violent crimes? Are you confusing facts with data? I can provide that. Now you are also allowed data to counter this. Not sure if you knew.
I've said this before and I'll say it again...more than half the time race is the scape goat to the real, underlying issue which is between the haves and the have nots. Social standing is a bigger issue than race, IMO. ...sure race most certainly created much of the social inequality for black Americans, but skin color is not immune to poverty--it affects way too many people in this country. --end result? Violence.

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We are in luck. With the adults in charge the numbers for 2021 are only up 9.9% over last year


Murder is still up in 2021​

The evidence from big cities suggests murder is still up in 2021 relative to 2020, although the increase is not nearly as big. My collection of data from 87 cities with publicly available year-to-date data shows murder up by 9.9
 
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We are in luck. With the adults in charge the numbers for 2021 are only up 9.9% over last year


Murder is still up in 2021​

The evidence from big cities suggests murder is still up in 2021 relative to 2020, although the increase is not nearly as big. My collection of data from 87 cities with publicly available year-to-date data shows murder up by 9.9
The Trump trend will take a while to reverse.
 
Highest increase on record. The effects of his horrendous pandemic response, and the tax scam that shifted the burden off the wealthiest and into the backs of the middle and working class. Thank God enough Americans saw the light in time and spared us four more years of devolving into a failed state...

So, those of us with a pulse have known ,for quite some time, the drug trade has been a major factor in violent crime in this country. It would have been decent of you to at least think outside of the Trump box you are in. Drug use and drug related violent crime rose significantly during 2020 along with opioid abuse and other heavy drugs. Now, this is not direct causation, but it shows how 5 seconds of effort can help paint a much broader picture of the very complicated issue you wish to attribute to one bad man.

 
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There are more people of color now than ever.
There are more murders now than ever.

More people of color = More murders
 
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