*** Official New Degen Thread 🏦🏦🏦***

Greenway4Prez

HR Legend
Jan 10, 2005
23,807
16,689
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I posted this in another thread. It probably fits better here.

Read the book "Then One Day" by Chris Andrews, Forty years of bookmaking in Nevada.
Presently he runs the book at South Point in Vegas.
The stories in there are fantastic.
I am absolutely on it. That sounds awesome, thank you!

While I have you all on the line…here’s my galaxy-brained longshot CFB futures play. This team is ranked in the pre-season top 25. They are top 15 in various power rankings. They are coming off a 10-3 season in which they went undefeated against PAC 12 opponents. They are not a P5 team, but will be playing teams from three P5 conferences, and Notre Dame. They have the most returning production in all of FBS football. Their O/U for RSW is 8.5. Normally, that resume would put you in the +2000 to +7500 range. But the BYU Cougars are +50000 to win the national championship. Do I really think they can do it? God no. Hell no. But with their schedule, they will be this year’s Cincy if they run the table. If they’re 11-1 with their lone loss at Oregon or in Vegas vs. Notre Dame, they will be in the mix for a playoff birth, because the Big 12 and PAC 12 champions could very well have two losses.

.25 units at 500:1 on BYU. If they get there, we can hedge (which will admittedly be tricky) and lock in a pretty sweet profit. If their brutal schedule proves to be too much, then we lose a little money.
 

An Iowa fan

HR MVP
Dec 12, 2019
1,840
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I am absolutely on it. That sounds awesome, thank you!

While I have you all on the line…here’s my galaxy-brained longshot CFB futures play. This team is ranked in the pre-season top 25. They are top 15 in various power rankings. They are coming off a 10-3 season in which they went undefeated against PAC 12 opponents. They are not a P5 team, but will be playing teams from three P5 conferences, and Notre Dame. They have the most returning production in all of FBS football. Their O/U for RSW is 8.5. Normally, that resume would put you in the +2000 to +7500 range. But the BYU Cougars are +50000 to win the national championship. Do I really think they can do it? God no. Hell no. But with their schedule, they will be this year’s Cincy if they run the table. If they’re 11-1 with their lone loss at Oregon or in Vegas vs. Notre Dame, they will be in the mix for a playoff birth, because the Big 12 and PAC 12 champions could very well have two losses.

.25 units at 500:1 on BYU. If they get there, we can hedge (which will admittedly be tricky) and lock in a pretty sweet profit. If their brutal schedule proves to be too much, then we lose a little money.
If they beat Dixie State does the count as a win regarding RSW?
 

CJ Beat Hard

HR Heisman
Dec 15, 2016
7,382
14,003
113
I am absolutely on it. That sounds awesome, thank you!

While I have you all on the line…here’s my galaxy-brained longshot CFB futures play. This team is ranked in the pre-season top 25. They are top 15 in various power rankings. They are coming off a 10-3 season in which they went undefeated against PAC 12 opponents. They are not a P5 team, but will be playing teams from three P5 conferences, and Notre Dame. They have the most returning production in all of FBS football. Their O/U for RSW is 8.5. Normally, that resume would put you in the +2000 to +7500 range. But the BYU Cougars are +50000 to win the national championship. Do I really think they can do it? God no. Hell no. But with their schedule, they will be this year’s Cincy if they run the table. If they’re 11-1 with their lone loss at Oregon or in Vegas vs. Notre Dame, they will be in the mix for a playoff birth, because the Big 12 and PAC 12 champions could very well have two losses.

.25 units at 500:1 on BYU. If they get there, we can hedge (which will admittedly be tricky) and lock in a pretty sweet profit. If their brutal schedule proves to be too much, then we lose a little money.
Well I didnt take your champs bet but did hit them on the over
 
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An Iowa fan

HR MVP
Dec 12, 2019
1,840
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Earlier this week I bet Dolphins @+2. I bet Chargers ML. I don't remember the odds.

I have the RedSox ML right now and they lead in the 8th 3-2. I have been betting Michael Wacha whenever he pitches. Has been working.
 

An Iowa fan

HR MVP
Dec 12, 2019
1,840
1,662
113
Earlier this week I bet Dolphins @+2. I bet Chargers ML. I don't remember the odds.

I have the RedSox ML right now and they lead in the 8th 3-2. I have been betting Michael Wacha whenever he pitches. Has been working.
Dolphin coaching staff must have been taught game management at the Mickey Mouse School of Football.
 

An Iowa fan

HR MVP
Dec 12, 2019
1,840
1,662
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NFL future bets. Again, not large bets but something to follow during the season.

Bears under 6 1/2 wins @-150
Falcons under 5 wins @-145
Jets over 5 1/2 wins @ -175 ------ darn injuries already, probably going to lose this one
Colts to make playoffs @-160
Colts to win AFC South @ @-115
Titans NOT to make the playoffs @ +110
Ravens to win division @ +190
Ravens to make the playoffs @ -140
Packers to win division @ -180
Giants to make the playoffs @ +250
I got off the Jets to win over 5.5. Chickened out.
 

Greenway4Prez

HR Legend
Jan 10, 2005
23,807
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Alright….final CFB RSW totals! I had 26 on a list of heavy leans, then trimmed 10 off. Of those, I’ve isolated the 11 I feel best about, and several more that will be smaller bets. I haven’t looked at odds from various books for ANY of these, so it’s entirely possible that one or more may not get bet on.

Vandy O2.5
NC St. O8.5
Kansas St O6.5
Utah O 8.5
USC U9.5
Oregon St. O 5.5
UCF O8.5
BYU O8.5
Army O8.5
AFA O8.5
Nevada U4.5

Tier 2:
Illinois O4.5
Texas U8.5
Kansas O2.5
Utah St. O6.5
Hawaii U4.5
Memphis U7.5

I chickened out on Iowa. Getting bad vibes about the health of the WR room, and I don’t trust that our passing game will be presentable.
 

An Iowa fan

HR MVP
Dec 12, 2019
1,840
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Do you guys try to middle a bet much? On July 5 I took New Mexico State @ +12 against Nevada. Small bet. There was a guy on VSIN recommending it at the time.
Well, it has been bet down to +8.5. I don't usually mess with something like this, but started thinking about taking Nevada @ -8.5.
 

gojojo

HR Heisman
Jul 24, 2001
9,878
8,817
113
Do you guys try to middle a bet much? On July 5 I took New Mexico State @ +12 against Nevada. Small bet. There was a guy on VSIN recommending it at the time.
Well, it has been bet down to +8.5. I don't usually mess with something like this, but started thinking about taking Nevada @ -8.5.
That's a big drop. Seems like a good bet but you could wait and hope NMST gets the first score and then jump on the Wolfpack.

I like to bet in game middles.
 

Greenway4Prez

HR Legend
Jan 10, 2005
23,807
16,689
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Slim pickings this weekend for college football, but still it is college football finally.
I disagree!! Vehemently!! Well, with the first part. Amen to the second.

I locked in Vandy at -6.5, but have seen it at 8.5 recently. Other covers I like

Illinois
Utah St. 1H
NMSU (big regret not jumping on it early, might put this in a teaser)

Also like Wyoming TT UNDER
 
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An Iowa fan

HR MVP
Dec 12, 2019
1,840
1,662
113
I disagree!! Vehemently!! Well, with the first part. Amen to the second.

I locked in Vandy at -6.5, but have seen it at 8.5 recently. Other covers I like

Illinois
Utah St. 1H
NMSU (big regret not jumping on it early, might put this in a teaser)

Also like Wyoming TT UNDER
I don’t have TT yet on Caesars APP.
 

CJ Beat Hard

HR Heisman
Dec 15, 2016
7,382
14,003
113
Purdue RSW over 7.5 +120.

Wins against Indiana northwestern Illinois FAU Syracuse Indiana State

Just gotta win 2 from Iowa Maryland Minnesota Penn State Nebraska Wisconsin seems doable to me.

Thoughts?
 

Greenway4Prez

HR Legend
Jan 10, 2005
23,807
16,689
113
Purdue RSW over 7.5 +120.

Wins against Indiana northwestern Illinois FAU Syracuse Indiana State

Just gotta win 2 from Iowa Maryland Minnesota Penn State Nebraska Wisconsin seems doable to me.

Thoughts?
I see the B1G West the same as I see the SEC West (except for Bama); a clusterfrick where several teams could go anywhere from 5-7 to 9-3.

Your reasoning is sound. But Brohm has yet to show that he can consistently win. And Purdue lost a LOT from last year’s team. When I do my RSW bets, I want 1.5 games of clearance either way to feel comfortable making the bet.
 

Greenway4Prez

HR Legend
Jan 10, 2005
23,807
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Also, I really hope @FAUlty Gator gets in this thread this season with his line-play based picks. Those were pretty damn awesome! I know he’s busy with an undefeated team right now, but surely he can find time for his old pals here in the Degen thread!
 

FAUlty Gator

HR Legend
Oct 27, 2017
30,553
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Also, I really hope @FAUlty Gator gets in this thread this season with his line-play based picks. Those were pretty damn awesome! I know he’s busy with an undefeated team right now, but surely he can find time for his old pals here in the Degen thread!
I'll be cranking up the college system in about week 3 or 4 after we get some decent Data.
 

FAUlty Gator

HR Legend
Oct 27, 2017
30,553
34,928
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Also, I really hope @FAUlty Gator gets in this thread this season with his line-play based picks. Those were pretty damn awesome! I know he’s busy with an undefeated team right now, but surely he can find time for his old pals here in the Degen thread!
Don't forget about this!

My NFL UNDER system last year started out something like 17-2, if you recall. Jump on it early.
 

hawkeyez

HR Heisman
Oct 21, 2002
5,385
2,737
113
Don't forget about this!

My NFL UNDER system last year started out something like 17-2, if you recall. Jump on it early.

Are any rookie QB's slated to start week 1? IRC, Pickett is the only possibility (barring an injury).

It looks like Flacco will likely start week 1 for the Jets, but is he any worse than Zach Wilson?
 

FAUlty Gator

HR Legend
Oct 27, 2017
30,553
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Are any rookie QB's slated to start week 1? IRC, Pickett is the only possibility (barring an injury).

It looks like Flacco will likely start week 1 for the Jets, but is he any worse than Zach Wilson?
I think the Saints/ Falcons game looks like a quality Under.

Also…
Pitt/ Cincy
Cleveland/ Carolina
Bal/ Jets
Jax/ WAS

I think SF/ Bears is a good OVER week 1.

@Greenway4Prez
 

An Iowa fan

HR MVP
Dec 12, 2019
1,840
1,662
113
I was in Vegas the third week of June. When going into different casinos and then sports books, I like make a couple of bets ( not big money). If I win I don't always get back to the book before I have to fly home. So I mail the winning tickets and follow their directions.
Well, I am having a little trouble getting my winners cashed and a check sent by Resorts World. This is just a little heads up. Every other casino I have received checks for my winners.
Well, I sent them pictures of the two winning tickets. I had made copies before I mailed them.They acknowledge they are legit. I just received an email saying a check has been cut and will be mailed to me today.
Weekend is starting out ok.
 

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