*** Official New Degen Thread 🏦🏦🏦***

EagleHawk

HR All-American
Jan 16, 2002
3,989
2,082
113
If this guy didn't put any money on the 49ers last night, he's a complete idiot.

A Chiefs fan had a chance to cash out a $10 parlay for $23,000 but risked it all on the Rams for the chance to win $74,000. It didn't turn out well for him.

If you put down a $10 bet and had a 50-50 chance to win $74,000 but a 100 percent ability to take home $23,000, which would you choose?

That's a question Chiefs fan Taylor Denney had to answer on Sunday night after the Chiefs beat the Buccaneers and all but one of the picks in his parlay remained.

He chose the first option, putting all his faith in the Los Angeles Rams to beat the San Francisco 49ers and make him $74,702.67 richer.

 

FAUlty Gator

HR Legend
Oct 27, 2017
30,507
34,818
113
Football Outsiders has released their stats, so @FAUlty Gator better be hard at work with his analysis stuff! From what I remember, I was able to put together a couple MASSIVE mismatches from looking over the stats, neither of these are a surprise:

Can’t wait to see what Coach Faulty comes up with!
Just a taste before I apply the lines and such. Ignore the numbers between games. Just used them to help sort the table.

A/H ORV OPV DRV DPV Lean
Nebraska 1 21 113 79 114
Rutgers 2 62 78 12 55
3
Houston 4 33 93 62 56
Memphis 5 77 103 62 102
6
Colorado St 7 115 131 78 73
Nevada 8 80 100 89 69
9
UNLV 10 46 102 51 55 SJ TTU
San Jose St 11 103 110 66 79
12
Michigan 13 8 75 50 26
Indiana 14 117 49 52 42
15
Akron 16 52 120 77 92
Ohio 17 82 75 78 75
18
Tulsa 19 48 110 90 89
Navy 20 117 69 18 18
21
Ball State 22 93 3 83 117 Ball State TTO
Central Mich 23 107 47 26 94
24
Toledo 25 80 56 39 90
N Illinois 26 77 31 78 79
27
Kent State 28 45 90 59 90
Miami (OH) 29 71 105 49 88
30
Middle Tenn 31 106 67 40 22
UAB 32 88 108 56 54
33
W Kentucky 34 63 34 40 41
TX-San Ant 35 56 60 44 92
36
Connecticut 37 88 66 94 48
Florida Intl 38 37 18 73 46
39
TX El Paso 40 47 79 67 73
LA Tech 41 123 65 96 96
42
Wyoming 43 64 37 87 67 Wyoming
New Mexico 44 104 128 112 36
45
App State 46 53 49 44 29
Texas State 47 84 68 68 69
48
S Mississippi 49 101 68 84 19
Troy 50 82 97 75 51
51
BYU 52 91 47 102 56
Notre Dame 53 51 85 95 22
54
Texas A&M 55 68 92 100 110
Alabama 56 39 41 10 14 Bama
57 TAM TT Under
Missouri 58 82 71 22 71
Florida 59 30 17 106 82
60
Auburn 61 83 95 74 50
Georgia 62 21 25 30 101 UGA
63
S Carolina 64 49 72 86 104
Kentucky 65 91 127 68 111
66
Arkansas 67 40 80 99 9
Miss State 68 60 38 79 60
69
Mississippi 70 40 26 78 41
Vanderbilt 71 53 44 59 102
72
Oregon 73 15 4 57 78 Oregon
Arizona 74 52 26 118 76
75
Washington 76 51 12 67 29 Wash TT O
Arizona St 77 63 115 112 125
78
Oregon St 79 59 9 81 115 OVER
Stanford 80 89 121 125 91
81
Utah 82 41 15 67 54 OVER
UCLA 83 10 18 76 58
84
Wash State 85 63 73 49 19
USC 86 2 68 80 10 USC
87
Kansas St 88 48 56 97 44
Iowa State 89 92 63 41 84
90
TX Christian 91 51 60 72 68
Kansas 92 58 13 78 38
93
Texas Tech 94 79 89 52 42
Oklahoma St 95 78 12 9 65
96
Army 97 39 76 115 49
Wake Forest 98 97 100 52 79
99
Liberty 100 84 111 43 28
U Mass 101 92 73 106 110
102
Wisconsin 103 56 98 69 56
Northwestern 104 108 22 91 67
105
Purdue 106 67 24 39 93 Purdue
Maryland 107 48 49 92 93
108
Ohio State 109 25 13 17 49
Michigan St 110 68 28 58 71
111
Clemson 112 41 58 49 75 BC Under TT
Boston Col 113 109 120 28 76
114
Duke 115 38 33 33 77
GA Tech 116 94 115 92 20 GT TT Under
117
N Carolina 118 73 52 113 89
Miami (FL) 119 40 52 43 29
120
Florida St 121 116 55 90 102
NC State 122 58 35 18 102
123
VA Tech 124 119 23 33 67 Under
Pittsburgh 125 54 92 34 26
126
Louisville 127 62 66 49 18
Virginia 128 43 77 82 26
129
Air Force 130 13 113 45 128 Utah St
Utah State 131 83 28 37 93
132
Fresno St 133 55 62 86 30
Boise State 134 55 59 53 28
135
E Carolina 136 109 36 48 86
Tulane 137 60 69 60 95
138
S Florida 139 44 31 68 107
Cincinnati 140 54 93 30 10
141
E Michigan 142 18 92 101 126
W Michigan 143 108 99 67 60
144
Buffalo 145 88 65 64 89
Bowling Grn 146 99 28 125 29
147
GA Southern 148 75 87 93 69
Georgia State 149 49 62 97 86
150
James Mad 151 62 50 2 18 JMU
Arkansas St 152 115 93 29 27 Under

Coastal Car 154 37 44 44 48
LA Monroe 155 71 102 35 71
156
Texas 157 81 66 38 83
Oklahoma 158 16 90 72 43
159
Tennessee 160 39 79 22 94
LSU 161 22 113 40 30
162
Iowa 163 107 113 55 48
Illinois 164 80 80 6 40
165
Hawaii 166 89 59 129 126
San Diego St 169 84 79 87 92 SDSU TTO
 

FAUlty Gator

HR Legend
Oct 27, 2017
30,507
34,818
113
And here we go. Leaving time for adjustments, injuries, weather and other changes, of course. But this is the early system picks.
@Greenway4Prez

GAMELeanLineUnits
Aub/ UGAUGA-29.55
JMU/ Ark StUNDER565
TAM/ BamaBama-244
Oregon/ ArizOregon-74
AF/ Utah StUtah St104
UNLV/ San Jose stSJ TTU303
Utah/ UCLAOVER653
Purdue/ MarylandPurdue33
JMU/ Ark St.JMU-10.53
Ball St./ CMUBall State TTO282
Wyoming/ NMWyoming-3.52
TAM/ BamaTAM TT Under132
Wash/ ASUWash TT O362
BC/ ClemsonBC Under TT132
VT/ PittUNDER442
Oregon St./ StanfordOVER551
 

Greenway4Prez

HR Legend
Jan 10, 2005
23,770
16,615
113
I really should take a class or watch videos on Microsoft Excel (I know the basics), because I would love to adjust these ratings for opponents. As the season goes on they’ll certainly even out, but it’s such a short season so I feel like schedule strength might really mess with some of these numbers when they’re first released.

That being said, it’s such an awesome system, and thank you again for putting all of this together!
 

FAUlty Gator

HR Legend
Oct 27, 2017
30,507
34,818
113
And just for Fun I did an NFL one using Pass and Run DVOA Offense and Defense. I think I will use this more for Draft Kings and lineups than I will games but who knows!?!?

These are rankings so lower the number the better.

Games
OFFOFFDefDef
PassRunPassRun
DVOADVOADVOADVOALEAN
IND3032272
DEN1726620
NYG1972321OVER GB/ NYG
GB145928
PIT26181215Under Pitt TTO
BUF53119
LAC6301118OVER LAC/ CLE
CLE1131830
CHI32111524OVER Chi/ Min
MIN15102027
DET1242432
NE2811031
SEA383219NO
NO2491313
MIA220314Under MIA/ NYJ
NYJ23212914
ATL1821726
TB1029317
TEN922268Jax
WAS2727306Ten/ TTU
SF162441
CAR31161910Car TTU
DAL1312525
LAR2219253
CIN202887Under CIN/ BAL
BAL1151422
LV21132216
KC717215
PHI46223Philly
ARI25142811Phi Over TT
JAX825712JAX
HOU29231629
 

Derekd3408

HR Legend
Feb 10, 2011
16,687
25,787
113
Might go with 1Q no TD +170. I've had success with betting no TD in a quarter this year and it's always decent + money. Looked back through the acct and I'm 3-0 on those +$572. A friend got me on them last year and I know I finished +$700 for the year. Probably playing with fire now.
6vy5lz.jpg
6vy5p7.jpg
6vy5rw.jpg
 

Greenway4Prez

HR Legend
Jan 10, 2005
23,770
16,615
113
I’m waffling. I was looking at SJSU’s efficiency numbers and I think they’re getting docked big time by playing FCS Portland State in week 1.

However…UNLV generates a good pass rush and SJSU gives up sacks.

OK, I’m in. The Rebels are disruptive. Let’s roll!
 

Greenway4Prez

HR Legend
Jan 10, 2005
23,770
16,615
113
Alright! Here’s what I’m on tomorrow!

Iowa/Illinois UNDER 36.5
Michigan 1H -13.5
Tenn/LSU U64.5
TCU -7 (sorry Kansas, you’ve already been a rock star for me, and I will always appreciate you! But I think this is the week the shoe drops)
Wisconsin 1H -6.5
Va Tech TT UNDER 13.5
OSU TT OVER 45.5
Duke -3.5
Utah St. +10.5
JMU/Arkansas St. UNDER 55.5
App St. 1H -10.5
UTEP +3
aTm TT UNDER 12.5
Oregon TT OVER 41.5
Oregon St. -5

Good luck everyone!
 

FAUlty Gator

HR Legend
Oct 27, 2017
30,507
34,818
113
And here we go. Leaving time for adjustments, injuries, weather and other changes, of course. But this is the early system picks.
@Greenway4Prez

GAMELeanLineUnits
Aub/ UGAUGA-29.55
JMU/ Ark StUNDER565
TAM/ BamaBama-244
Oregon/ ArizOregon-74
AF/ Utah StUtah St104
UNLV/ San Jose stSJ TTU303
Utah/ UCLAOVER653
Purdue/ MarylandPurdue33
JMU/ Ark St.JMU-10.53
Ball St./ CMUBall State TTO282
Wyoming/ NMWyoming-3.52
TAM/ BamaTAM TT Under132
Wash/ ASUWash TT O362
BC/ ClemsonBC Under TT132
VT/ PittUNDER442
Oregon St./ StanfordOVER551

10-4 total record.

Bama game was a no play due to backup QB and probably will be going forward until Young is healthy.

5 unit games- 1-1
4 unit games- 2-0
3 unit games - 3-1
2 unit games- 3-2
1 unit games- 1-0

Week 1 Net- +17units
 
Last edited:

Greenway4Prez

HR Legend
Jan 10, 2005
23,770
16,615
113
10-4 total record.

Bama game was a no play due to backup QB and probably will be going forward until Young is healthy.

5 unit games- 1-1
4 unit games- 2-0
3 unit games - 3-1
2 unit games- 3-2
1 unit games- 1-0

Week 1 Net- +17units
I need to trust the system. I picked three losers and my brain is just all scrambled right now.
 
Feb 25, 2008
53,360
26,683
113
Had a nice little rebound last night and today after some early typical good teams losing to bad teams for no real reason (other than to keep me from winning money....) on Saturday.

Probably would've won less today had the Packers decided that being up 17-7 was just too much to handle against the mighty Giants, as I wouldn't have made as many bets chasing the $10 4 leg parlay I lost...........because of the Packers.

Also, had to sweat out the final drive of that Bengals-Ravens game. Rooting for both teams to score to cover the Over 35.5 portion of my parlay was fun....
 

Latest posts