Sitting at 8 now. I have to think Gabriel will be back, which is important. I think Kansas will be just fine with Bean or Daniels.
*** Official New Degen Thread 🏦🏦🏦***
- Thread starter Greenway4Prez
- Start date
I hit a nice $200 SGP on the 49ers game...then proceeded to give most of it back on SNF 
Thoughts on tonight’s game?
I’m leaning pretty heavily towards a SGT of:
KC -0.5
OVER 44.5
I’m leaning pretty heavily towards a SGT of:
KC -0.5
OVER 44.5
Can you tease it less? I'd be happy with KC -5.5 and over 47.5.
In their last 3 meetings, KC is 3-0 with the average score being 41-18.
Yeah, I can get -3 OVER 45.5 at -109
Lost my +1152 Anytime TD parlay of Chubb, Henry, Diggs, and Jefferson.I hit a nice $200 SGP on the 49ers game...then proceeded to give most of it back on SNF
Jefferson had 12 catches, 154 yds........Zero TDs.
Stupid Bears not letting him score a TD.
Hopefully, you went through with it.
I got royally f***ed as always. Stupid Raiders not kicking the XP and extending the game. How many bets have been lost over the years because of dumbass coaching decisions?........
I ended up taking Chiefs -3 and OVER 45.5. Oh well!
I’ve done really well with teasers so far, and this week’s slate is ripe with possibilities.
I’ve gotta think the Arizona/Washington game is sending @FAUlty Gator ‘s system into a seizure on that OVER.
Clemson/FSU (sorry Noles) appears to be a mismatch as well.
Clemson/FSU (sorry Noles) appears to be a mismatch as well.
| Lean | Units |
| Temple TTU 11 | 5 |
| UNDER Minnesota Game 39 | 5 |
| AF -10 | 4 |
| Georgia TTO 49 | 3 |
| ODU TTU 23 | 3 |
| JMU -12.5 | 3 |
| UNDER Bama Game 66.5 | 2 |
| Florida -2.5 | 2 |
| NM St.+6.5 | 2 |
| UNDER USC Game 64.5 | 2 |
| OVER Utah St. 45.5 | 2 |
| North Texas -6.5 | 1 |
| ORV | OPV | DRV | DPV | Line | Lean | Units | |
| Temple | 124 | 21 | 57 | 4 | 46.0 | Temple TTU 11 | 5 |
| UCF | 39 | 74 | 30 | 66 | -23.5 | ||
| Alabama | 42 | 60 | 12 | 21 | -7.0 | UNDER 66.5 | 2 |
| Tennessee | 33 | 57 | 22 | 66 | 66.5 | ||
| Vanderbilt | 61 | 27 | 55 | 116 | 58.5 | ||
| Georgia | 14 | 25 | 29 | 118 | -38.0 | Georgia TTO 49 | 3 |
| LSU | 29 | 118 | 56 | 42 | 52.0 | Florida -2.5 | 2 |
| Florida | 22 | 17 | 88 | 60 | -2.5 | ||
| Minnesota | 7 | 22 | 46 | 65 | -6.5 | UNDER 39 | 5 |
| Illinois | 82 | 63 | 6 | 25 | 39.0 | ||
| Old Dominion | 121 | 83 | 89 | 26 | 56.5 | ODU TTU 23 | 3 |
| Coastal Carolina | 34 | 40 | 35 | 35 | -12.5 | ||
| James Madison | 54 | 33 | 4 | 5 | -12.5 | JMU -12.5 | 3 |
| Georgia Southern | 57 | 2 | 118 | 114 | 67.0 | ||
| New Mexico | 96 | 130 | 103 | 41 | -6.5 | NM St.+6.5 | 2 |
| New Mexico State | 67 | 14 | 111 | 80 | 37.5 | ||
| USC | 10 | 63 | 84 | 7 | 64.5 | UNDER 64.5 | 2 |
| Utah | 32 | 21 | 72 | 46 | -3.0 | ||
| Louisiana Tech | 121 | 69 | 102 | 112 | 68.0 | North Texas -6.5 | 1 |
| North Texas | 70 | 28 | 122 | 106 | -6.5 | ||
| Utah State | 82 | 27 | 52 | 99 | -11.0 | OVER 45.5 | 2 |
| Colorado State | 102 | 130 | 60 | 83 | 45.5 | ||
| Air Force | 10 | 92 | 42 | 125 | -10.0 | AF -10 | 4 |
| UNLV | 65 | 109 | 75 | 33 | 50.0 |
Thanks @FAUlty Gator!
I appreciate that you quoted this post:
Also, I’m on the UNDER 46.5 in tonight’s ULL/Marshall game.
I appreciate that you quoted this post:
Also, I’m on the UNDER 46.5 in tonight’s ULL/Marshall game.
The offensive numbers (both the line play figures that FAUlty uses, and efficiency metrics) are pretty poor overall for both teams. Marshall might be able to run the ball, which means more running clock. ULL has a backup QB going tonight, who averaged 3.2 YPA last week.
Both teams are excellent in TO margin, so I don’t expect a lot of short field scoring opportunities.
Not gonna lie, I was sweatin’ when Marshall put together a 2-minute drive to cut it to 23-13, but the worry was for naught.
@FAUlty Gator can we get the NFL breakdown for this week?
| OFF | OFF | Def | Def | |||||
| Pass | Run | Pass | Run | |||||
| DVOA | DVOA | DVOA | DVOA | Line | LEAN | |||
| WAS | 28 | 31 | 29 | 6 | -1 | |||
| CHI | 30 | 20 | 15 | 25 | 38 | |||
| SF | 11 | 21 | 5 | 1 | -5.5 | |||
| ATL | 18 | 2 | 20 | 27 | 44.5 | UNDER 44.5 | *** | |
| NE | 26 | 11 | 8 | 28 | 43 | OVER 43 | * | |
| CLE | 10 | 1 | 16 | 32 | -2.5 | |||
| NYJ | 15 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 45.5 | OVER 45.5 | * | |
| GB | 13 | 3 | 11 | 30 | -7.5 | |||
| JAX | 9 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 42 | |||
| IND | 32 | 32 | 21 | 2 | -1.5 | |||
| MIN | 14 | 10 | 26 | 23 | -3.5 | MIN -3.5 | *** | |
| MIA | 5 | 15 | 32 | 7 | 46 | |||
| CIN | 22 | 28 | 7 | 11 | -2 | UNDER 43 | ** | |
| NO | 27 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 43 | |||
| BAL | 2 | 13 | 10 | 26 | -6 | OVER 45 | ***** | |
| NYG | 15 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 45 | |||
| TB | 8 | 29 | 1 | 14 | -8.5 | |||
| PIT | 24 | 26 | 18 | 17 | 44 | |||
| CAR | 31 | 17 | 22 | 16 | 42 | |||
| LAR | 25 | 25 | 17 | 5 | -10 | |||
| ARI | 23 | 16 | 28 | 11 | -2.5 | |||
| SEA | 1 | 12 | 31 | 24 | 50.5 | SEA +2.5 | **** | |
| BUF | 3 | 30 | 6 | 3 | -3 | |||
| KC | 4 | 19 | 19 | 8 | 54 | |||
| DEN | 21 | 23 | 2 | 15 | 45.5 | |||
| LAC | 6 | 24 | 12 | 22 | -4.5 | |||
| DAL | 17 | 9 | 4 | 18 | 42 | |||
| PHI | 7 | 5 | 3 | 20 | -6 |
So tonight....2 bad offenses, 2 decent defenses, and 40 degrees weather. That screams under, but is 38 too low?
Perhaps the @Derekd3408 "No 1st Quarter TD" special is in play?
The Bears are 2-0 at home and the Potatoes are 0-2 on the road this season.
Chicago also hadn't allowed a 2nd half TD this year.............until they ran into Kirk Cousins.
It's +152 so some decent value there. I'm still debating on taking it. My gut says stay away.
Effin a.......of all the bets I placed on the game, you'd think I'd remember to place that one......of course not.
You're all welcome, btw.
I forgot as well and ended up getting in live at +115. Was absolutley sure the streak was over.Effin a.......of all the bets I placed on the game, you'd think I'd remember to place that one......of course not.
You're all welcome, btw.
Free monies! 🤑🤑🤑
Note to future self: when you know a game is going to be ugly, don't put together SGPs that require offense.
I’m on SMU -12.5 tonight, gentlemen.
This week’s CFB card might be crazy. Which is scary. But if I go 22-0, that would be nice.
This week’s CFB card might be crazy. Which is scary. But if I go 22-0, that would be nice.
I bet over six goals in the TB-Columbus match. Five goals were scored in the first period. I better win this bet.
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