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*** Official New Degen Thread 🏦🏦🏦***

Emanuel Acho commented Monday that the Chiefs only had 4 guys that would start for the Eagles: Mahomes, Jones, Kelce, and Thuney. If there's one guy in the league that can win a game on his own it's 15 in red, but it seems like the line should be a little higher than it is.
Yeah, I think it should be in that 3.5 to 5 area. Ultimately I just can’t see KC’s defense slowing Philly down enough.
 
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I think with the statistical info out there the best stat to predict is rebounding. So...I'm trying it. Been parlaying them on Prize Picks. Two winning days so far. Day 1 I went 4-0. Yesterday I expanded and went 5-3.

TeamPACEOff Sht %Last 3HomeAwayDef Sht %Last 3HomeAwayDef RebLast 3Off RebLast 3
Philadelphia26711193714111323122720
San Antonio91819141730282930281767
Sacramento1239210256271513212621
Indiana124422282029191825301423
Portland27814142630281922281730
Washington151120178172218572314
Charlotte4292730212412617122511
Detroit7261223292924302927261217
Phoenix242221252014211222241875
Boston2013109186397342013
Toronto282813272313271616302941
Houston17301429251977259812
Orlando19173082615824615152115
Minnesota841774101014102052519
Atlanta13103216231917241113139
Utah161421016282525261616912
Looking for:
Poor shooting percentage teams against good rebounding teamsOVERS
Good Rebounding teams against bad rebounding teamsOVERS
Good Pace teams with poor shooting (possibly last three)OVERS
Good shooting teams matched up with slow PACE and even Rbd #sUNDERS
Skewed Home vs. Away figuresBOTH
A major uptick or downtick in Last 3 (Look for Injuries)BOTH
Players who are OUT to spread their Rbds to rest of teammatesOVERS
Players who are RETURNING to take Rbds away from teammatesUNDERS
Slow Paced Teams vs. good rebounding teamsUNDERS
Rebound Rate differential x Minutes played averageBOTH
 
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I think with the statistical info out there the best stat to predict is rebounding. So...I'm trying it. Been parlaying them on Prize Picks. Two winning days so far. Day 1 I went 4-0. Yesterday I expanded and went 5-3.

TeamPACEOff Sht %Last 3HomeAwayDef Sht %Last 3HomeAwayDef RebLast 3Off RebLast 3
Philadelphia26711193714111323122720
San Antonio91819141730282930281767
Sacramento1239210256271513212621
Indiana124422282029191825301423
Portland27814142630281922281730
Washington151120178172218572314
Charlotte4292730212412617122511
Detroit7261223292924302927261217
Phoenix242221252014211222241875
Boston2013109186397342013
Toronto282813272313271616302941
Houston17301429251977259812
Orlando19173082615824615152115
Minnesota841774101014102052519
Atlanta13103216231917241113139
Utah161421016282525261616912
Looking for:
Poor shooting percentage teams against good rebounding teamsOVERS
Good Rebounding teams against bad rebounding teamsOVERS
Good Pace teams with poor shooting (possibly last three)OVERS
Good shooting teams matched up with slow PACE and even Rbd #sUNDERS
Skewed Home vs. Away figuresBOTH
A major uptick or downtick in Last 3 (Look for Injuries)BOTH
Players who are OUT to spread their Rbds to rest of teammatesOVERS
Players who are RETURNING to take Rbds away from teammatesUNDERS
Slow Paced Teams vs. good rebounding teamsUNDERS
Rebound Rate differential x Minutes played averageBOTH
I’m too dumb to understand any systems just tell me your picks so I can tail and be rich
 
Single
@ +850
Open
All Bets To Stand
Jan 17 • 2023
Ticket ID: 5405029024
Result of NFL Championship Game: Chiefs to beat Eagles (Winner)NFL Championship Game Predictions 2022/2023

Wager: $227.46
Pot. Payout: $2,160.87



==============

made that bet last month. I've hedged with another bet, but if Chiefs win it will a nice day.
 
I’m too dumb to understand any systems just tell me your picks so I can tail and be rich
OVERS
Robert Williams 9
Jaylen Brown 6
Allergen Sengun 10
Paolo Banchero 6
Keegan Murray 5
Lomelo Ball 6

UNDERS
Chris Paul 4
DeAndre Ayton 10.5
Jalen Duren 10.5
Jeremi Grant 5
Robert Gafford 7.5
 
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OVERS
Robert Williams 9
Jaylen Brown 6
Allergen Sengun 10
Paolo Banchero 6
Keegan Murray 5
Lomelo Ball 6

UNDERS
Chris Paul 4
DeAndre Ayton 10.5
Jalen Duren 10.5
Jeremi Grant 5
Robert Gafford 7.5
Looking like 7-4. I wasn’t able to connect them on parlays tonight though. Had them matched poorly.
 
I've been on a pretty good run with CBB lately.

Probably need to start taking advantage of it more while I can before the garbage free for all of the tournament season.

Only miss on the day was Texas Southern losing as an 11.5 pt favorite.
 
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I've been on a pretty good run with CBB lately.

Probably need to start taking advantage of it more while I can before the garbage free for all of the tournament season.

Only miss on the day was Texas Southern losing as an 11.5 pt favorite.
I take that back. Gonzaga blows it after leading the entire game and gets run out of the gym by St. Mary's in OT..............BAU.

That's why we hedge our bets, kids. :)
 
I’ve been fairly inactive lately, but am crunching some MLB numbers over the last two seasons, looking at teams avoiding/going for 3 & 4-game sweeps. I’m comparing home vs. away, division/non-division foes, and win margin.

Most likely outcome is “fück it, don’t bet on baseball.”
 
I’m betting on some CBB tonight, haven’t done that in a while. Pretty chalky stuff, so I probably shouldn’t do this. Maybe it ends well? We shall see!

Utah State -2.5
Bama 1H -6
Penn State -4
West Virginia -3.5
FSU +3.5
 
I’m betting on some CBB tonight, haven’t done that in a while. Pretty chalky stuff, so I probably shouldn’t do this. Maybe it ends well? We shall see!

Utah State -2.5
Bama 1H -6
Penn State -4
West Virginia -3.5
FSU +3.5
2-3 on these, but 3-0 last night on:

Loyola Marymount +7.5
Purdue 1H -4.5
Arizona 1H -10

Nothing trips my trigger tonight.
 
I'm going all in on the Eagles to screw them over. F*** them and their fanbase.

Just need something to inch me over +100. I want to take the Hawks, but I recall when they tried to hand a bad Minnesota team the game in Minneapolis a year or two ago as well, and that was with a better team.........
 
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