Just think what the RPI would be without those last two BAD midweek losses, probably low 50s...yeah, not sure we will play that game. UIC is RPI#186...
***Official RPI thread*** (added Value)
- Thread starter ICWestfan
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Iowa / UCLA magic number is 3. UCLA has 6 B1G games remaining. As I understand it, any combination of Iowa wins ad UCLA losses that total 3 means Iowa is regular season B1G Champions.
My premises is B1G regular season champ is in NCAA no matter what they do in B1G Tournament.
My premises is B1G regular season champ is in NCAA no matter what they do in B1G Tournament.
Would Iowa own tiebreaker advantage if they end up tied with UCLA?
Oregon and USC are also still in B1G regular season championship mix. Oregon must sweep Iowa to have a chance.
UCLA(17-7) finishes at Illinois and home with Northwestern
OREGON(16-8) finishes home with Washington and at Iowa
USC(16-8) finishes home with Michigan State and at Washington
If Iowa gets swept by Oregon Iowa would need UCLA to go 4-2 for us to tie for title and Oregon/USC to go 5-1 to tie us for title
If we get just 1 win from Oregon they are mathematically OUT
If we get 2 wins from Oregon that puts USC mathematically OUT and leaves UCLA having to sweep to even tie for title
If we get 3 wins it's over, outright champions
I'm pretty sure about the magic number for Iowa / UCAL being 3. I'm borrowing he rest, but it makes sense.
Someone much smarter than me probably knows factually.
OREGON(16-8) finishes home with Washington and at Iowa
USC(16-8) finishes home with Michigan State and at Washington
If Iowa gets swept by Oregon Iowa would need UCLA to go 4-2 for us to tie for title and Oregon/USC to go 5-1 to tie us for title
If we get just 1 win from Oregon they are mathematically OUT
If we get 2 wins from Oregon that puts USC mathematically OUT and leaves UCLA having to sweep to even tie for title
If we get 3 wins it's over, outright champions
I'm pretty sure about the magic number for Iowa / UCAL being 3. I'm borrowing he rest, but it makes sense.
Someone much smarter than me probably knows factually.
Ok. Missed connecting flight back to DSM and stuck in a hotel in PHX until tomorrow a.m. Gave me some time to look up tiebreakers.
First tiebreaker is head-to-head. No head-to-head involving Iowa/UCLA.
Second tiebreaker is record against common B1G opponents (I presume in conference play).
Common opponents:
Nebraska (UCLA 3-0; Iowa 2-1)
Indana (UCLA 2-1; Iowa 3-0)
Washington (UCLA 2-1; Iowa 1-2)
Oregon (UCLA 1-2; Iowa yet to play)
Northwestern (UCLA yet to play; Iowa 2-1)
As of today, UCLA is 8-4 against common opponents with 3 games left against Northwestern; Iowa is 8-4 against common opponents with 3 games left against Oregon. Definite advantage to UCLA. A couple of really unfortunate losses for Iowa in common opponent games. The Sunday loss to NW and this Friday and Saturday's games were there for the taking when getting outstanding pitching.
Third tiebreaker looks to which team has the highest winning percentage against the next highest team in the standings. As of right now, that would be Oregon. Let's say Iowa goes 2-1 against Oregon and ends up tied with UCLA for the best record, Iowa would win the third tiebreaker due to a better winning percentage against Oregon. (This assumes that UCLA goes 2-1 against Northwestern; if there is a tie and UCLA sweeps Northwestern with Iowa going 2-1 against Oregon; UCLA wins second tiebreaker). The next common opponent in the standings would likely be Washington. Indiana trails Washington by three games right now. That's a lot of ground to make up but . . . Washington still has to play USC and Oregon. They could drop in the standings.
Definite advantage to UCLA for seeding purposes. We really need Iowa to beat the orange and black team in Des Moines over the weekend but we need to root for the blue and orange in Champaign next weekend. Illini embarrassed on the road in NJ this weekend. Here's hoping they come out with vengeance on their minds.
I'd also add that the tiebreaker is for tournament seeding purposes. If Iowa and UCLA end up tied for the best record in the B1G, I believe they both claim the crown as 2025 "regular season champions."
At risk of being a "downer," don't forget the Selection Committee's treatment of second place Rutgers in 2022. 44-15 overall record; 17-7 in B1G play; runner-up in B1G tournament; 43 RPI. Left out of tournament.
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iowa is currently sitting at #66 RPI. If they had won against WIU and ISU, they'd be sitting at #53. I debated a buddy of mine earlier today. He thinks Iowa needs to go 4-2 against Oregon and OSU to get a tournament bid. I think 3-3 so long as they end up no worse than a tie for the regular season title and make it to the weekend of the B1G. I'm thinking the B1G gets 4 teams this year . . . have to hope there are very few (if any) bid stealers.
RPI (Live) 2022 College Baseball | WarrenNolan.com
2022 College Baseball RPI (Rating Percentage Index) Updated in REAL-TIME for Every Team at the Completion of Every Game.
Rutgers Baseball left out of NCAA Tournament as historic season ends
The Scarlet Knights fell just short of its first bid since 2007.
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iowa is currently sitting at #66 RPI. If they had won against WIU and ISU, they'd be sitting at #53. I debated a buddy of mine earlier today. He thinks Iowa needs to go 4-2 against Oregon and OSU to get a tournament bid. I think 3-3 so long as they end up no worse than a tie for the regular season title and make it to the weekend of the B1G. I'm thinking the B1G gets 4 teams this year . . . have to hope there are very few (if any) bid stealers.
What an absolute gut punch that was for Rutgers, thank you, I remember it well...44 wins, #43 RPI and no tourney? Yikes, not a good look and I assume they were in Top 3 of reg. season big ten conf. standings..
Indeed..Rutgers finished in 2nd place, 1.5 games back of first place..now that was an absolute jobbing not including them, not sure what the field looked like but that almost looks like a hosting resume to me, not a 'leave out of field' resume. I'll be sweating a bit if we are in the 50s RPI wise and somehow in 2nd place...let's just take this out of the committee's hands like we did 2 years ago!
Yea, lost in the RPI talk is that the new format for the BTT favors us a lot. We’ve already clinched top 4, Cade starts the pool play game against the game 1 winner. Midweek pitching rotation against the loser of game 1, Sav in the semifinal and Reece in the final. We will have the edge on paper in every game.
Nice! I didn't realize the format change...thanks. The way we've been throwing confident we can do some damage there.
100%, sure the “field” has better odds collectively, but there’s a whole body of work now that tells me Iowa has the best pitching in the Big Ten. In Omaha, Iowa is the favorite.
The B1G Conference Tournament is formatted with 12 participants (4 pods of 3 teams).
There is a max of 4 games that Iowa would have to play to win the B1G Tournament.
From last October:
With 3 conference games to go for IOWA, the Hawkeyes have a 2.5 game lead over 2nd place UCLA.
.................................................Games
..................................................Back
1. IOWA......(32-15, 21-6)............--
2. UCLA.....(34-13, 17-7)..........2.5
Conference Games remaining:
3 for IOWA:
3: vs Oregon..................(33-13, 16-8)
6 for UCLA:
3: at Illinois..................(26-19, 12-12)
3: vs Northwestern...(21-24, 10-14)
.................................................Games
..................................................Back
1. IOWA......(32-15, 21-6)............--
2. UCLA.....(34-13, 17-7)..........2.5
Conference Games remaining:
3 for IOWA:
3: vs Oregon..................(33-13, 16-8)
6 for UCLA:
3: at Illinois..................(26-19, 12-12)
3: vs Northwestern...(21-24, 10-14)
UPDATE:
Iowa (32-15) has won 8 of their last 9 series.
Iowa has 6 games left in the regular season: 3 conference & 3 nonconference (Oregon State).
Just win, baby, and things will take care of themselves.
An update on those 15 very important games at the end of Iowa's schedule:
Let's win 10 (or more) of these 15 games:
3-0: at Michigan................(27-17)...April 18-20
3-0: vs Indiana..................(23-21)...April 25-27
1-2: at Washington...........(24-21)...May 2-4
0-0: vs Oregon State......(32-10)...May 9-11
0-0: vs Oregon..................(30-12)...May 15-17
7-2: Our Record for these last 5 Series
==============================
B1G Tournament: Tues May 20-Sun May 25
Link to Iowa's Baseball Schedule:
Iowa (32-15) has won 8 of their last 9 series.
Iowa has 6 games left in the regular season: 3 conference & 3 nonconference (Oregon State).
Just win, baby, and things will take care of themselves.
An update on those 15 very important games at the end of Iowa's schedule:
Let's win 10 (or more) of these 15 games:
3-0: at Michigan................(27-17)...April 18-20
3-0: vs Indiana..................(23-21)...April 25-27
1-2: at Washington...........(24-21)...May 2-4
0-0: vs Oregon State......(32-10)...May 9-11
0-0: vs Oregon..................(30-12)...May 15-17
7-2: Our Record for these last 5 Series
==============================
B1G Tournament: Tues May 20-Sun May 25
Link to Iowa's Baseball Schedule:
Huge series where 2 out of 3 wouldn't be bad (as the song goes).
The 15 very important games (and how they did) at the end of Iowa's schedule:
Let's win 10 (or more) of these 15 games:
3-0: at Michigan................(27-17)...April 18-20
3-0: vs Indiana..................(23-21)...April 25-27
1-2: at Washington...........(24-21)...May 2-4
0-0: vs Oregon State......(32-10)...May 9-11
0-0: vs Oregon..................(30-12)...May 15-17
7-2: Our Record for these last 5 Series
==============================
The 15 very important games (and how they did) at the end of Iowa's schedule:
Let's win 10 (or more) of these 15 games:
3-0: at Michigan................(27-17)...April 18-20
3-0: vs Indiana..................(23-21)...April 25-27
1-2: at Washington...........(24-21)...May 2-4
0-0: vs Oregon State......(32-10)...May 9-11
0-0: vs Oregon..................(30-12)...May 15-17
7-2: Our Record for these last 5 Series
==============================
I hope we can win the last 2 series & go at least 4-2. It won't be easy but we need to make a statement to the Selection Committee before the B1G Tournament
Yep, Baseball America still has us firmly in the field as a 3 seed yet took special mention of our RPI in their write up with "a solid chance to get into the 50's RPI wise." I think the fact that we are leading the B10 is carrying some great weight right now and a P4 champ being left out of field would be a dangerous precedent.
Excellent write up, just win the darn B10 and give that committee no choice!
