From the Oklahoma State side,
125 - Picc has only lost once this year, but he hasn't looked right. So many matches against guys he should beat where he has given up takedowns, gotten ridden, etc. He keeps finding a way to win, though. The match against Moody on Sunday was a good example. He got out to a lead, then looked completely dead, took multiple stall calls in the second, Moody got within one, then Picc found a takedown, cradle, fall. I have a hard time seeing this version of Picc hanging with Spencer.
133 - The Reece Witcraft show is must see tv, even though it doesn't always work out for him. This should be a fun match to watch because neither guy likes to stand around and wait. Witcraft will need multiple big moves or a fall to win because DeSanto is going to score a lot. If Reece stays in the match into the third, I'll be impressed.
141 - I'm not sure Hone beat out Gfeller so much as he gave Smith the option to sit Kaden without a huge drop-off. There still is a drop-off though. Hone will wrestle hard and can stay in the match with almost anyone. That said, Murin is the better wrestler and should earn the decision.
149 - Having a healthy Boo has been one of my favorite developments of the season. He is excellent in all three positions and has been able to blow open matches this season against quality competition by getting turns. Lewallen's one loss was to Brock Mauller. In that one, Boo got in repeatedly, but could not handle Mauller's strength, only finishing once and giving up a counter takedown that forced OT. This match could be a snoozer as Boo has often been cautious early against stronger opposition, knowing he is very good on the mat. This has all the makings of a one takedown or overtime battle.
157 - Sheets is much improved, but he still makes too many mistakes to beat the top guys at this weight. He is capable of scoring on Young, but I expect the Hawkeye to have the better of it. Every now and then Sheets gets going on top and breaks a match open with nearfall against a wrestler who could otherwise hang with/beat him, but that seems like a longshot in this one.
165 - An excellent test for Wittlake who continues to improve and impress. His offense has really come on since early in the year and you can see his confidence building. I'm interested to see if he can get anything going in the face of Marinelli's physicality. I fear he won't be able to, though this is a good time to measure where you are as a RS freshman.
174 - Joe Smith can wrestle three periods this year which is a vast improvement over last year. That said, he hasn't faced anyone who can really push the pace against him other than Steiert and that match was a disaster. If Joe's tank is decent, I expect him to lose by a couple as he has been a little sloppy, missing chances to score that he used to convert. If it isn't, well...
184 - Montalvo is improving and he has started to get a little edge to him. That could lead to some fun in CHA. Anthony has won a few big matches lately by riding the dog out of people and he has big move potential. He also has a little Sheets in him where he'll just make a silly mistake and hand the opponent a takedown. I'm certain he'll be competitive with whoever he faces.
197 - Geer is not wrestling well, but his ability to score gives him a puncher's chance. That said, his defense has been very poor. Every time Woodley got a hand to Dakota's leg on Sunday, the Sooner scored. Geer likely needs 3-4 takedowns to win this match. It isn't impossible, but it would be a surprise.
HWT - The only way this match is going to be at all interesting is if OSU rolls out Brock Martin, the football player who has been in the room since after Christmas break. I can't imagine he gets run out in Carver for his first match and I'm not sure it would change the outcome. Cass by fall.
