To an extent you’re right, but it’s not that simple. Yes, at the time a quarterback is officially named the starter, it’s probably safe to assume he is most likely the best choice. However, that doesn’t account for which quarterbacks will better develop over time, as that is always an unknown. So, yes, while Kirk is going with whom he feels is the best option at the time, and just because in hindsight (e.g.) Brad Banks turned out to be much better than Kyle McCann, doesn’t necessarily mean he was in fact the better choice in 2001. We just don’t know how much Banks developed from 2001 to 2002.
I will also say, in defense of Ferentz seeming to be reluctant to change quarterbacks midway through the season, that a good reason for that is the playing field is not level, in that you’re asking a kid—who’s yet to see the field in college outside of garbage time—to come in and compete at a high level against defenses that are already in midseason form. For a quarterback with no starting experience whatsoever, that is a brutal, daunting task, especially when you consider how demanding the quarterback position is regardless of experience. So, yes, I understand why Kirk isn’t so quick just to throw in the backup because the starter is stinking up the joint. I mean, lol, look at all the games Stanley had his struggles and we were screaming for the backup—who was none other than Spencer Petras. I wonder how that would have turned out. 🤔
With all of that said, quarterback play has not been good overall for quite some time. It was pretty decent (with rare exception) in the 2000s. The 2010s and into the 2020s has been a much different story, though, where good play seems to be the exception. And I don’t think it’s as simple as Kirk “playing the wrong guy.” And I don’t think you can chalk it up to poor recruiting, either, as many of these guys came into the program somewhat heralded. I can’t speak to quarterback development, because obviously none of us are in the know (I will go out on a limb, though, and guess Brian Ferentz won’t move the needle), which then ultimately leads to the question of the offensive system itself. Is it “too complex”? Is it, as they say, the opposite of “quarterback friendly”? I don’t know. Hopefully, they are getting that figured out and adjusting accordingly.
Last, I will say in hindsight, and I emphasize hindsight, that starting Petras last season was a mistake. Was he “better” in practice than Padilla and Labas? Probably. Does that necessarily mean Petras was going to be better in actual games, especially as the season progressed? Honestly, I don’t think so. And this is where things get tricky. At some point, you have to figure out which players have higher ceilings and greater potential to have a more positive impact on the guys in the huddle. For instance, when Padilla came into the Northwestern game in relief of Petras, everything seemed to change—from the body language and energy of the other ten guys on offense to the actual plays being made. Now, did Padilla have his struggles that carried over into other games? Absolutely. But keep in mind all his opponents were in midseason form while Alex was still learning on the fly.
Ultimately, here’s the point: sometimes you have to go with the guy who has the best potential to elevate the team’s overall play and let him take his lumps early. While we will never know for sure, the Alex Padilla we saw against Illinois and Nebraska probably would have been much better and more consistent had he been the starter since week one. With Spencer Petras, we pretty much know what we’re going to get and what his ceiling is: he’s got a strong arm and is capable of throwing an accurate ball downfield but in general is erratic, wildly inaccurate, and lacks poise in the pocket while being terribly immobile. That is Petras in a nutshell and that is pretty much his ceiling and what you’re going to get with him. That is just not something that’s likely going to change regardless of how many terrific throws he makes in practice.
In short, if Joey Labas has the highest ceiling and greatest potential, that’s whom you need to go with on week one. The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again expecting different results. With Petras, we know the results. It’s about as obvious as obvious gets.