Purdue Line

[cecilB]

I do not bet....never understood it from my days as a Hawk as good teams (which we were and are) believe they can win every game. Anyway, a guy in my office does and said the line has moved from whatever it was -3.5/3ish to -2.5, to now -1 Purdue.

Does this mean the Vegas money is flooding in on Iowa?

 

[EpenesaEpenesa]

Still seeing Purdue -2.5

 

[Nagarunja]

yes

 

[ichawk24]

You can see a Vegas history of the line here:

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college.../iowa-@-purdue.cfm/date/11-03-18/time/1530#BT

Opened at 2.5, quickly went down to 1, then went back up to 3 where it has stayed at 3/2.5 since then.

My reading is that the professional betters jumped in early and bet on Iowa, then the line floated back to 3.

Sagarin favors Iowa by 4 or 5. Other computer rankings are similar. ESPN FPI gives Iowa a 52% chance to win.

Iowa is a good value bet this weekend.

 

[Hawk_4shur]

Does this mean the Vegas money is flooding in on Iowa?

I don't know about "flooding", but Vegas is all money driven. They don't predict who is going to win, they predict who bettors think is going to win.

 

[Kaiser_Soze]

Surprised it has not moved more in Iowa's direction considering that Rondale Moore has apparently not practiced this week and Brohm has said he is a game time decision. Even if he plays you wonder how healthy is he.

 

[GoUIowa]

Surprised it has not moved more in Iowa's direction considering that Rondale Moore has apparently not practiced this week and Brohm has said he is a game time decision. Even if he plays you wonder how healthy is he.

Because there are questions out there about Stanley’s health, also.

 

[Nitwit]

And what is up with MSU being favored by just a few points at Maryland. Do betters think that the coach finally getting fired will energize the program?

 

[ichawk24]

Sagarin and other computer models favor MSU by a similar amount, around 3 pts.

Michigan State has pedestrian base metrics (yards per play, points per play, etc.). Dantonio is great at winning fist fights.

 

[JStandefer]

I like Nebraska and the points this week

 

[H4wkfan4life]

I like Nebraska and the points this week

I don't.
I think they are gonna get destroyed! OSU is gonna come out angry and they had 2 weeks to get ready.