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****Purdue vs Iowa Game Thread****

Caesar’s Sportsbook offering a special on Iowa ML +150, limited to $25.

anecdotally, I’ve found they generally offer these partly as a token to Iowa fans but I also think most of the time they’re making a bit of a call on the likelihood of it happening… no idea who wins tonight, but Caesar’s seems happy to be exposed to Purdue.
 
That seems like a crazy low line. I know Vegas doesn't care who wins as long as they make money but they must be banking on that same dead feeling as whatever high school stadium that northwestern plays football at.
 
Won some nice cash on parlays early this week. Putting it all on Purdue for a nice win win evening.
 
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I can’t tell if the line is BEGGING you to bet on Purdue, or that their power rankings are still fairly flawed. I’m open to the possibility that Purdue just really isn’t THAT good.
The betting line and the power rankings have no relationship whatsoever. It's all about where the money moves it. It makes sense to me. The game in WL was close without Keegan. This game will be close with Keegan. Purdue is far from unbeatable and the game is at home. The Hawks have more than a puncher's chance for sure if they play well.
 
Since the 2019-2020 season, Iowa is 11-3 in Big Ten rematches in that same season. They are 6-1 in rematches at home.

Iowa is 3-0 against the spread (+2), when given at least 5 days rest before their last game.

This morning at 7:00am, 94% of bets were on Purdue to cover -2.5...the line still shifted in Iowa's direction to +2.0. 75% of the bets are still on Purdue to cover -2.0. Vegas is betting on the Hawks tonight! Not sure why, but I hope they are right!
 
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Since the 2019-2020 season, Iowa is 11-3 in Big Ten rematches in that same season. They are 6-1 in rematches at home.

Iowa is 3-0 against the spread (+2), when given at least 5 days rest before their last game.

This morning at 7:00am, 94% of bets were on Purdue to cover -2.5...the line still shifted in Iowa's direction to +2.0. 75% of the bets are still on Purdue to cover -2.0. Vegas is betting on the Hawks tonight! Not sure why, but I hope they are right!
Interesting data. Need the refs to call it tight tonight and/or shoot above 40% from deep.
 
Home dogs in the Big Ten, public on Purdue... I like Iowa… and not just as a fan
 
Why? He's playing with house money and either Hawks win or he wins money. Personally I'd lose my bet every time if the Hawks won every game, and I think a lot of people feel that way.
This..no different than if I’d have put the money towards tickets. (I live 5 hours away spare me the lecture.
 
Hope the folks who show up at Carver tonight bring their loud voices with them. Building an atmosphere before the game even starts would be nice. That used to happen all the time for a game like this. For the last several years I'm not sure it's happened at all. The brilliant sports promotions department needs to get together with the band, the dance squad, the cheerleaders, and everyone else they can find and come up with something to get the crowd on fire before the opening tip and then keep it going. The Hawkeyes deserve more than another sleepy audience in cavern-hawkeye arena.
 
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