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The Truth’s Bracketology

Sep 8, 2018
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This was updated through yesterday’s games with the exception of a couple of the 1 bid leagues that I adjusted. Things are still subject to change, especially on the 1 line. Iowa could end up anywhere between an 8-10. I thought I would be moving them down but all the teams competing with a Iowa, for the most part, lost as well. The bubble sucks. I wanted to go with a mid major like Belmont but when has the committee ever sided with a mid major over a power conference team?

East


1 Virginia
16 NC Central/N Dakota St


8 Iowa
9 UCF


5 Marquette
12 Murray St


4 Kansas St
13 Vermont


6 Cincinnati
11 Arizona St/St John’s


3 LSU
14 Georgia St


7 Louisville
10 Utah St


2 Michigan
15 Abilene Christian


West


1 North Carolina
16 Gardner Webb


8 Seton Hall
9 Oklahoma


5 Auburn
12 New Mexico St


4 Purdue
13 UC Irvine


6 Maryland
11 VCU


3 Texas Tech
14 N Kentucky


7 Buffalo
10 Florida


2 Gonzaga
15 Montana


South


1 Duke
16 Prairie View/Fairleigh Dickinson


8 Ole Miss
9 Minnesota


5 Virginia Tech
12 St Mary’s


4 Kansas
13 Yale


6 Iowa St
11 Temple/Alabama


3 Houston
14 Old Dominion


7 Nevada
10 Ohio St


2 Tennessee
15 Colgate


Midwest


1 Kentucky
16 Iona


8 Washington
9 Syracuse


5 Mississippi St
12 Liberty


4 Wisconsin
13 Northeastern


6 Villanova
11 TCU


3 Florida St
14 St Louis


7 Wofford
10 Baylor


2 Michigan St
15 Bradley
 
I’m working on my last bracket of the year right now. It’s really a guessing game when it comes to the last teams in the field. What does the committee value? Will that change over previous years because of NET? Did Oregon’s win last night knock ASU out because the PAC 12 is so bad they don’t deserve 3 bids? Does Indiana realistically have a chance because of their good wins and no Q3-Q4 losses? I’ve dogged some Bracketologists like Lunardi and Palm in the past but never again. This ain’t as easy as it looks once you start doing deep dives into resumes.
 
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