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Things Break Perfectly for Trump

broth87

HB Heisman
May 21, 2004
9,199
525
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Super Tuesday actually played out perfectly for Trump. Cruz winning Texas and Oklahoma is actually a blessing in disguise because it means he's staying in the race. Kasich and Carson are refusing to give up and are going to continue to hang around. The end result is that Marco Rubio is screwed. Rubio could beat Trump if he could just get it a one on one situation. If Cruz has gone winless tonight including in Texas, he would've had to seriously reevaluate his candidacy and might well have dropped out of the race. That would've made things very interesting between Rubio and Trump. But with the way things are and everyone staying in, Trump keeps his loyal faction and the rest divvy up what's left which means Trump continues to win.
One thing I think should be noted from Super Tuesday, and I don't think this race is over quite yet even though Trump basically switched the tracks to more of a general election focus last night, but even though Trump won a lot last night, he underperformed compared to a lot of polling numbers and a lot of states were closer than predicted. I think the last debate and some of the stuff coming out by both Rubio and Cruz against Trump recently might have stung him a little and it will be curious to see how much more they can impact him in the next two weeks.
Would really love to see Rubio and Trump head to head but I'm convinced Trump has deals with both Carson and Kasich keeping them in the race. The promise of cabinet positions our some high profile role? Carson as the top medical official in the country? Kasich in some cabinet role? Christie as Attorney General? These guys have been promised something to be doing what they're doing.
 
Rubio's issue is himself. He has no charisma. Hillary has the same problem, but at least her opponent shares this problem.
That's not a fair statement at all about Rubio. If he had no charisma, then last minute vote decided wouldn't be picking him at an almost 40% clip. People are buying a fake set of goods with Trump out of anger and disgust, and the same is happening on the Democrat side with Bernie Sanders. Trump is an absolute wild card and no one knows what he'll do or stand for in office. It's just as likely that he's playing the Republican crowd for votes and could push a very liberal agenda as it is that he's a legitimate conservative. His views on healthcare and the individual mandate and single payer system, his support of Planned Parenthood (which I actually stand with Trump on even though I'm conservative), his views on Israel, all are very liberal. And he hasn't answered any policy questions yet for anyone to know what he'll push if he gets into office. He got owned in the last debate primarily by Rubio but also by Cruz, and he looked particularly bad when they passed him to present some policy ideas and he had no answer. Being the loudest voice in the room and shouting down any critique won't play well or look good at all when he's finally one on one in a debate whether that's against Rubio or Cruz, or in the general election against Hillary.
 
That's not a fair statement at all about Rubio. If he had no charisma, then last minute vote decided wouldn't be picking him at an almost 40% clip. People are buying a fake set of goods with Trump out of anger and disgust, and the same is happening on the Democrat side with Bernie Sanders. Trump is an absolute wild card and no one knows what he'll do or stand for in office. It's just as likely that he's playing the Republican crowd for votes and could push a very liberal agenda as it is that he's a legitimate conservative. His views on healthcare and the individual mandate and single payer system, his support of Planned Parenthood (which I actually stand with Trump on even though I'm conservative), his views on Israel, all are very liberal. And he hasn't answered any policy questions yet for anyone to know what he'll push if he gets into office. He got owned in the last debate primarily by Rubio but also by Cruz, and he looked particularly bad when they passed him to present some policy ideas and he had no answer. Being the loudest voice in the room and shouting down any critique won't play well or look good at all when he's finally one on one in a debate whether that's against Rubio or Cruz, or in the general election against Hillary.

Bernie Sanders isn't that similar to Trump at all. Everyone knows what Bernie Sanders stands for. The question is more or less if he could actually get anything passed. But Sanders has been extremely consistent on his views.

Now his votes may come from a lot of people with anger and disgust but while Trump is selling his personality, Sanders is actually selling a political agenda.
 
Maybe some other candidates winning some states will enable the Republicans to stop Trump at the convention. The convention is shaping up to be must see TV.
 
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