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US House of Representatives margin update.

tumorboy

HB Legend
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Sep 24, 2002
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3 races to call. But in reality just two. The ones in California where ballot curing takes place until around December 4th. Both of those races are extremely close. Think they’ll be split. So projection count of 221 to 214. But Trump has appointed some reps and they have or will need to resign. At least two so far. Which a special election will be needed and probably not seat them until May.
Johnson will have a 3 or 5 seat majority for awhile. Hopefully spending Hawks such as Perry from Texas will feel embolden.
 
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3 races to call. But in reality just two. The ones in California where ballot curing takes place until around December 4th. Both of those races are extremely close. Think they’ll be split. So projection count of 221 to 214. But Trump has appointed some reps and they have or will need to resign. At least two so far. Which a special election will be needed and probably not seat them until May.
Johnson will have a 3 or 5 seat majority for awhile. Hopefully spending Hawks such as Perry from Texas will feel embolden.
There's still a close to 50/50 chance the Dems pick up California 13, it wouldn't be a shock. 220-215 (which would mean a D + 2 pickup for you Maga landslide idiots) will make the House very very difficult for the Republicans to run.
 
There's still a close to 50/50 chance the Dems pick up California 13, it wouldn't be a shock. 220-215 (which would mean a D + 2 pickup for you Maga landslide idiots) will make the House very very difficult for the Republicans to run.
That would be 218 to 215 until May sometime . Unless I’ve missed another appointment.
 
Good. Now the craziest lunatics in the GOP caucus will have outsized leverage and put the lunacy on display full time.
Maybe.

I think Trump will get the nuts in line at least early in the administration.

Eventually they'll go off the reservation but I think they stay in line at least early...first year or so.
 
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Maybe.

I think Trump will get the nuts in line at least early in the administration.

Eventually they'll go off the reservation but I think they stay in line at least early...first year or so.
The spending hawks have zero excuses this time. Perry and company have more leverage than ever.
 
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Maybe.

I think Trump will get the nuts in line at least early in the administration.

Eventually they'll go off the reservation but I think they stay in line at least early...first year or so.
I like your thinking. MTG and Laurent Boebert will now buckle down and be responsible legislators. Paul Gosar won't post memes fantasizing about killing other House members.
 
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I like your thinking. MTG and Laurent Boebert will now buckle down and be responsible legislators. Paul Gosar won't post memes fantasizing about killing other House members.
Weird interpretation of what I posted.

I think they'll be in lockstep for the most part passing what Trump wants to be passed. At least at the beginning...

I don't think we'll see a motion to vacate on Johnson this time around....unless Trump wants one.
 
There's still a close to 50/50 chance the Dems pick up California 13, it wouldn't be a shock. 220-215 (which would mean a D + 2 pickup for you Maga landslide idiots) will make the House very very difficult for the Republicans to run.
Dim cheat is in full force!!
 
Semi-serious question: what does everyone think the odds are that Johnson is the speaker for the next two years?
Who cares? We the people have an agenda and a mandate to execute it! In two years, the leftist riff raff who have spent four years ****ing America over won’t recognize her!!
 
Gray takes the lead in CA-13! If it holds a 220-215 house, and a probable 217-215 split at least until special elections for the 3 Republicans leaving Congress either because they're Matt Gaetz or joining the Trump admininstration.

Even a possible flip of control prior to the 26 elections depending on attrition per both parties.
 
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Gray takes the lead in CA-13! If it holds a 220-215 house, and a probable 217-215 split at least until special elections for the 3 Republicans leaving Congress either because they're Matt Gaetz or joining the Trump admininstration.

Even a possible flip of control prior to the 26 elections depending on attrition per both parties.

I hope the people responsible for this farce are brought to justice.

Democrats have been rigging elections far too long.
 
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Holy crap! The crazy leader is going to keep his crazy mini-me gang “in line?!?!?”

Their crazy is inspired by him.
In regards to passing what he wants. There won’t be a motion to vacate or other shenanigans that will interfere with that.

That’s what I was referring to but poorly worded.
 
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