This memo builds upon the initial findings of a Future Majority and America's Future Majority Fund survey of 3,519 registered voters (700+ sample size in each state) in the swing states Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and New Hampshire. The survey was conducted June 24-27, 2022 by Change Research and has a margin of error of 1.9%. As we shared in our previous memo, the political landscape in these critical states has improved since March for Democrats across several important measures: vote intensity, congressional generic, and direct head to heads between Democratic and Republican candidates.
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Couple bits:
Motivation to vote among Democrats has overtaken Republican enthusiasm. While trailing Republican motivation throughout most of 2022, now 92% of Democrats say they are extremely motivated to vote in November. 89% of Republican voters say they are extremely motivated to vote. This reflects a seven-point boost in Democrats' enthusiasm since March when Democrats' motivation was 85%.
Roe v. Wade
71% of voters say they are more motivated to vote by the decision by the U.S. Supreme Court to overturn Roe v. Wade. 91% of Democrats and 62% of Independents say they are "Much more motivated to vote." 45% of Republicans say they are "Much more motivated to vote."