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Way Too Early BTT Seeds

hawkeye ball

HR All-American
Dec 2, 2006
4,232
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1. Michigan State
2. Purdue
3. Michigan
4. Maryland
5. Iowa
6. Minnesota
7. Wisconsin
8. Nebraska
9. Ohio State
10. Indiana
11. Illinois
12. Penn State
13. Northwestern
14. Rutgers
 
If I had to take a stab at it

MSU
Michigan
Purdue
Maryland
Wisconsin
Iowa
Nebraska
Indiana
Minnesota
Ohio St
NW
Rutgers
Illinois
Penn St
 
damn it, i'm doing it to myself.

Ok, here's best case:

Big 10 Standings

1. Iowa (17 - 3) Defeated Michigan State and Michigan based on round-robin record.
2. Michigan State (17 - 3) Defeated Michigan and lost to Iowa based on round-robin record.
3. Michigan (17 - 3) Lost to Iowa and Michigan State based on round-robin record.
4. Purdue (15 - 5)
5. Maryland (14 - 6)
6. Wisconsin (13 - 7)
7. Nebraska (8 - 12) Defeated Ohio State based on head-to-head record.
8. Ohio State (8 - 12) Lost to Nebraska based on head-to-head record.
9. Indiana (7 - 13)
10. Northwestern (6 - 14) Defeated Minnesota based on head-to-head record.
11. Minnesota (6 - 14) Lost to Northwestern based on head-to-head record.
12. Illinois (5 - 15)
13. Penn State (4 - 16)
14. Rutgers (3 - 17)

and possible worse case:

Big 10 Standings

1. Michigan (18 - 2) Defeated Michigan State based on record against #4 teams.
2. Michigan State (18 - 2) Lost to Michigan based on record against #4 teams.
3. Purdue (15 - 5)
4. Wisconsin (14 - 6) Defeated Maryland based on record against #1 teams.
5. Maryland (14 - 6) Lost to Wisconsin based on record against #1 teams.
6. Nebraska (9 - 11) Defeated Iowa and Ohio State based on round-robin record.
7. Iowa (9 - 11) Defeated Ohio State and lost to Nebraska based on round-robin record.
8. Ohio State (9 - 11) Lost to Nebraska and Iowa based on round-robin record.
9. Indiana (8 - 12)
10. Minnesota (7 - 13)
11. Northwestern (6 - 14)
12. Illinois (5 - 15)
13. Penn State (4 - 16) Defeated Rutgers based on head-to-head record.
14. Rutgers (4 - 16) Lost to Penn State based on head-to-head record.
 
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This next 4-game stretch will determine whether the Hawks will be in the dreaded 8-9 game [10th/11th, at worst] or be seeded anywhere from 3rd to 7th by the end of the regular season - assuming they win all the games they'll be favored in after this minefield.

4-0 likely means not having to start BTT play until the final set of byes; Quarterfinal Friday.
3-1 probably puts them (at worst) in the 5th or 6th seed
2-2 might net anywhere from 6th to 9th
1-3 will possibly strand them anywhere from 7th to 10th
0-4 could mean actually having to start BTT play in the very 1st round on Wednesday [11th seed], if luck goes a bit bad in rest of schedule
 
This next 4-game stretch will determine whether the Hawks will be in the dreaded 8-9 game [10th/11th, at worst] or be seeded anywhere from 3rd to 7th by the end of the regular season - assuming they win all the games they'll be favored in after this minefield.

4-0 likely means not having to start BTT play until the final set of byes; Quarterfinal Friday.
3-1 probably puts them (at worst) in the 5th or 6th seed
2-2 might net anywhere from 6th to 9th
1-3 will possibly strand them anywhere from 7th to 10th
0-4 could mean actually having to start BTT play in the very 1st round on Wednesday [11th seed], if luck goes a bit bad in rest of schedule

I put us going 0-4 in the next 4 and then winning remaining home games with no road wins and that puts Iowa at:

Big 10 Standings

1. Michigan State (20 - 0)
2. Michigan (17 - 3)
3. Purdue (15 - 5)
4. Maryland (13 - 7)
5. Nebraska (12 - 8) Defeated Wisconsin based on head-to-head record.
6. Wisconsin (12 - 8) Lost to Nebraska based on head-to-head record.
7. Iowa (10 - 10) Defeated Indiana based on record against #4 teams.
8. Indiana (10 - 10) Lost to Iowa based on record against #4 teams.
9. Ohio State (8 - 12) Defeated Northwestern based on record against #5 teams.
10. Northwestern (8 - 12) Lost to Ohio State based on record against #5 teams.
11. Minnesota (7 - 13)
12. Illinois (3 - 17) Defeated Penn State based on record against #11 teams.
13. Penn State (3 - 17) Lost to Illinois based on record against #11 teams.
14. Rutgers (2 - 18)
 
Does anyone have projections for the 2020 season, or should we just wait until it happens...just like this years!
 
1-26 Update:

1. Michigan State
2. Purdue
3. Michigan
4. Wisconsin
5. Iowa
6. Maryland
7. Ohio State
8. Minnesota
9. Illinois
10. Nebraska
11. Indiana
12. Northwestern
13. Rutgers
14. Penn State
 
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