Which state will be first to pass a bill to outlaw gay marriage?

[soybean]

Texas? Florida? There are a few others in play as well, but one of them surely will, and soon...so a court case can be in front of this Supreme Court ASAP. The race is on. And speaking of race, will any state dare to pass laws against intercial marriage again? Come on Virginia, you can do it.

 

[Jerome Silberman]

That seems like something Missouri would do. My cynical brain tells me to watch out for Iowa as the dark horse.

 

[soybean]

That seems like something Missouri would do. My cynical brain tells me to watch out for Iowa as the dark horse.

Oklahoma is also a suspect.

 

[IACub]

I was thinking more of a Kentucky or Alabama or Mississippi. Missouri is a good bet. Iowa won't be first, Kim is too much of a follower.

 

[StormHawk42]

Don’t a lot of states already have DOMA-type laws on the books, they’ve just been invalidated by SCOTUS?

I suppose what will happen is some rogue county clerk like the one in Kentucky will have to refuse a license and then it’ll get the ball rolling.

 

[gohawks50]

Texas, the Republican party platform has already declared homosexuality abnormal.

 

[VodkaSam]

Texas, the Republican party platform has already declared homosexuality abnormal.

Yeah, Texas is my bet also.

 

[83Hawk]

The sky is falling! The sky is falling!

 

[ConvenientParking]

I was thinking more of a Kentucky or Alabama or Mississippi. Missouri is a good bet. Iowa won't be first, Kim is too much of a follower.

Iowa already banned gay marriage once before Reynolds was involved. That's how we got gay marriage. I think it's a slam dunk to ban again.

 

[StormHawk42]

The sky is falling! The sky is falling!

It’s not that far-fetched. Obergefell, like Roe, had some pretty flimsy legal reasoning within the opinion that opens it up to strict interpretation that everything belongs to the states. Obergefell had both sides arguing for the same outcome, which means there wasn’t a true “controversy”. That’s something that could be poked at if it is re-examined.

Not to mention 3 of the dissents are still on SCOTUS.

 

[soybean]

I was thinking more of a Kentucky or Alabama or Mississippi. Missouri is a good bet. Iowa won't be first, Kim is too much of a follower.

Good point.

 

[joelbc1]

Texas, the Republican party platform has already declared homosexuality abnormal.

There are serious business and economic ramifications for a state to do this...Those consequences have to be considered. Corporations will re-locate, if forced to because of this issue.

 

[tumorboy]

Oklahoma is also a suspect.

Speaking of Oklahoma they've passed so many abortion restrictions laws. Now some folks are confused which one is in force. Evidently they conflict with each other.

 

[kc78]

I'm going with Mississippi or Texas.

While Florida does some douchey things, there's actually fairly decent support for gay marriage statewide unlike those two which are outright hostile.

 

[tumorboy]

Awful lot of money in the PRIDE game now not sure if Texas would want to be seen as anti business.

 

[rchawk]

There are serious business and economic ramifications for a state to do this...Those consequences have to be considered. Corporations will re-locate, if forced to because of this issue.

If I was in the restaurant/hotel industries, which still haven't fully recovered from covid, I would not want to have gay marriages illegal in the state. That's lost money/taxes that a community could use.

 

[HawkMachine]

Texas, the Republican party platform has already declared homosexuality abnormal.

So you are saying homosexuality IS normal?

If you look up the definition of "normal", I would say homosexuality is not normal.

 

[Tom Paris]

The sky is falling! The sky is falling!

It kind of is but you wouldn’t notice with your head up your butt.

 

[soybean]

The sky is falling! The sky is falling!

Not for you, but, of course, that is all you care about.

 

[BelemNole]

The sky is falling! The sky is falling!

Remember when you said that Roe wouldn't get over turned? Pepperidge Farms remembers.

 

[Whiskeydeltadeltatango]

You could have atleast created odds.

 

[gohawks50]

So you are saying homosexuality IS normal?

If you look up the definition of "normal", I would say homosexuality is not normal.

It's not the "norm", but it is normal sexual behavior. It happens in nature as well.

 

[INXS83]

The sky is falling! The sky is falling!

Yep. Lib irrational fear. Just like the 25 year-old douche I saw walking alone in a park on a summer day wearing 2 masks.

 

[BlIIlken2]

Yep. Lib irrational fear. Just like the 25 year-old douche I saw walking alone in a park on a summer day wearing 2 masks.

How much did it hurt you?

 

[luvmyhawks]

How much did it hurt you?

About as much as a coach praying after a football game.

 

[bdg8]

Republicans in charge are being incredibly stupid right now. With everything regarding inflation, gas prices, etc, they were in a good position to gain some wins during next election.

But most people who are independents are not going to vote their way. Economic factors can change for better. But this abortion nonsense and if they start trying to get rid of gay marriage....there really won't be a choice to vote Republican.

But sure, cater your message to the vast minority of voters. Solid strategy

 

[HawkMachine]

Republicans in charge are being incredibly stupid right now. With everything regarding inflation, gas prices, etc, they were in a good position to gain some wins during next election.

But most people who are independents are not going to vote their way. Economic factors can change for better. But this abortion nonsense and if they start trying to get rid of gay marriage....there really won't be a choice to vote Republican.

But sure, cater your message to the vast minority of voters. Solid strategy

At the end of the day, the economy and how much people make and have in their bank account pretty much trumps (no pun intended) all, including abortion.

 

[tumorboy]

Republicans in charge are being incredibly stupid right now. With everything regarding inflation, gas prices, etc, they were in a good position to gain some wins during next election.

But most people who are independents are not going to vote their way. Economic factors can change for better. But this abortion nonsense and if they start trying to get rid of gay marriage....there really won't be a choice to vote Republican.

But sure, cater your message to the vast minority of voters. Solid strategy

They'll be fine in the House and most State Legislatures. Gerrymandering has removed accountability.

 

[tumorboy]

At the end of the day, the economy and how much people make and have in their bank account pretty much trumps (no pun intended) all, including abortion.

Start taking birth control away. And the amount a woman/families can earn will decrease dramatically.

 

[nu2u]

Yep. Lib irrational fear. Just like the 25 year-old douche I saw walking alone in a park on a summer day wearing 2 masks.

How can it be irrational when a sittiing member of the Supreme Court, Clarence Thomas, has explicity stated that other rights founded under the right to privacy and substantive due process should be re-examined based on the Dobb's ruling? That is nothing less than an invitation.

Its virtually certain that Federalist Society chapters in deep red states are coordinating with conservative law firm experts to draw up legal challenges right now.

 

[Greenway4Prez]

You could have atleast created odds.

I would go:

Texas +175
Missouri +225
Florida +300
Iowa +800

Deep red southern states would be somewhere in the Missouri-Florida range.

My dark horse pick is Wyoming +550

ETA: Others of note:
New York +50000
Illinois +50000
California +100000

 

[Whiskeydeltadeltatango]

I would go:

Texas +175
Missouri +225
Florida +300
Iowa +800

Deep red southern states would be somewhere in the Missouri-Florida range.

My dark horse pick is Wyoming +550

Dude just saved OPs thread.



Give me big money on WV and a little something something on the long odds of Kansas.

 

[Greenway4Prez]

Dude just saved OPs thread.



Give me big money on WV and a little something something on the long odds of Kansas.

Seriously, Circa or Southpointe could, and should, do this. I need something to keep my degenerate interests until football.

 

[nu2u]

My dark horse pick is Wyoming +550

Don't count out Kristi Noem and the SD House and Senate super majortiies to seize the lead.

 

[Whiskeydeltadeltatango]

Don't count out Kristi Noem and the SD House and Senate super majorties to seize the lead.

Bets a bet pal, no table talk until you place yours.

 

[Greenway4Prez]

Don't count out Kristi Noem and the SD House and Senate super majorties to seize the lead.

Big potential news from the transfer portal could push SD up for sure. Get the bet in now before it changes!

 

[kc78]

So you are saying homosexuality IS normal?

If you look up the definition of "normal", I would say homosexuality is not normal.

by that definition, redheads and left handed people are not normal either and should be outlawed.

 

[HawkMachine]

by that definition, redheads and left handed people are not normal either and should be outlawed.

Never said anything about being outlawed but thanks for putting words into my mouth.

 

[Tiny Hands Trump]

They'll come after contraception too. Many forms prevent a fertilized egg from implanting, and since conception is when life begins those forms of birth control are murder.

 

[joelbc1]

If I was in the restaurant/hotel industries, which still haven't fully recovered from covid, I would not want to have gay marriages illegal in the state. That's lost money/taxes that a community could use.

Corporations move their headquarters too….