Other than the GQP no longer has any values or morals, that is.
CNN —
New York Rep. George Santos doesn’t seem to be going anywhere. Despite being caught in many lies and local Republicans (specifically the Nassau County GOP) calling on him to resign, Santos still has the backing of House Speaker Kevin McCarthy.
The split between national and local Republicans may seem confusing. On a deeper examination, it makes a lot of sense.
McCarthy knows how precious his majority is. Republicans control just 222 seats in the House. Democrats are likely to control 213 seats, after a special election in Virginia next month. McCarthy’s Republicans hold the smallest majority for any first-time speaker in more than 90 years.
Additionally, many of those Republicans cannot be counted on by McCarthy. We saw last week that at least 20 Republicans weren’t, at first, willing to make him speaker.
Santos, though, is a vote McCarthy can count on. He voted for the California Republican on every one of the 15 speakership ballots in the longest speaker’s racesince before the Civil War.
If Santos is forced out, McCarthy would lose a clear ally.
Not only that, McCarthy would have no idea who might replace Santos. While any Republican replacement would unlikely be a hard-core conservative, that’s not a guarantee.
More importantly, there’s no guarantee that a Santos replacement would be a Republican.
McCarthy is likely looking at the same political statistics I am – the ones that tell us that Joe Biden would have beaten Donald Trump in Santos’ district (under its current lines) by 8 points. Hillary Clinton would have bested Trump by 5 points (under the district’s current lines).
McCarthy is also probably aware of Republican struggles in recent special House elections. Democrats have outperformed the 2020 presidential baseline in such elections since Roe v. Wade overturned. This was certainly what happened in two New York elections late last summer.
If Democrats came anywhere close to the 2020 presidential baseline in a special election in Santos’ district, they’d gain the seat.
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CNN —
New York Rep. George Santos doesn’t seem to be going anywhere. Despite being caught in many lies and local Republicans (specifically the Nassau County GOP) calling on him to resign, Santos still has the backing of House Speaker Kevin McCarthy.
The split between national and local Republicans may seem confusing. On a deeper examination, it makes a lot of sense.
McCarthy knows how precious his majority is. Republicans control just 222 seats in the House. Democrats are likely to control 213 seats, after a special election in Virginia next month. McCarthy’s Republicans hold the smallest majority for any first-time speaker in more than 90 years.
Additionally, many of those Republicans cannot be counted on by McCarthy. We saw last week that at least 20 Republicans weren’t, at first, willing to make him speaker.
Santos, though, is a vote McCarthy can count on. He voted for the California Republican on every one of the 15 speakership ballots in the longest speaker’s racesince before the Civil War.
If Santos is forced out, McCarthy would lose a clear ally.
Not only that, McCarthy would have no idea who might replace Santos. While any Republican replacement would unlikely be a hard-core conservative, that’s not a guarantee.
More importantly, there’s no guarantee that a Santos replacement would be a Republican.
McCarthy is likely looking at the same political statistics I am – the ones that tell us that Joe Biden would have beaten Donald Trump in Santos’ district (under its current lines) by 8 points. Hillary Clinton would have bested Trump by 5 points (under the district’s current lines).
McCarthy is also probably aware of Republican struggles in recent special House elections. Democrats have outperformed the 2020 presidential baseline in such elections since Roe v. Wade overturned. This was certainly what happened in two New York elections late last summer.
If Democrats came anywhere close to the 2020 presidential baseline in a special election in Santos’ district, they’d gain the seat.
Why Kevin McCarthy won't call on George Santos to resign | CNN Politics
New York Rep. George Santos doesn't seem to be going anywhere. Despite being caught in many lies and local Republicans (specifically the Nassau County GOP) calling on him to resign, Santos still has the backing of House Speaker Kevin McCarthy.
