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Would you rather...

PSU without hesitation. In the old days, it would have been the other way around.
 
winning the osu game instead of psu game, doesn't make getting to the champ game any easier
CFP? Odds are under 1% now I'd say.

For getting into the CFP, a loss earlier in the season is generally easier to overcome than a loss late in the season.

And I didn't just mean beating OSU would have CFP/Big10 Championship implications for us. I meant for other teams too. The season will be more shaken out at that point and upsets will have a bigger impact/draw more attention.
 
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I figure the CFP is an extremely long shot for Iowa unless we're undefeated. This year's schedule sets up nicely for a 1 loss bid if the loss comes early and we get some style points, but it would always have to be a case where there are no blue bloods that can make as good or better case for getting in. Iowa will always have to be either undefeated or 1 loss in a season where there aren't enough 0 or 1 loss name brand schools to select. That's just the way it is. The cards are stacked in favor of the big name schools, even with a playoff system.

All that being said, I guess tOSU since it's the later game and our conference schedule is reasonably difficult this year. Even so, I think we're less than 5% chance to make the playoff even if we win out from here.
 
It isn't likely to happen... hell, I'll just say it and you can all flip this back in my face if it does... NO CHANCE Iowa runs the table from here... but if they did run the table and end up 12-1 after winning the B1G championship game, they are in the playoff for sure. Consider Iowa would have beaten a likely top 10 Wisconsin at Camp Randall and likely has wins over a top 10 OSU (perhaps twice), a top 10 PSU at a neutral site, or a top 10 Michigan at a neutral site.

So, let's all agree right now if Iowa goes 12-1 they're in the CFP. But it ain't gonna happen anyway.
 
It isn't likely to happen... hell, I'll just say it and you can all flip this back in my face if it does... NO CHANCE Iowa runs the table from here... but if they did run the table and end up 12-1 after winning the B1G championship game, they are in the playoff for sure. Consider Iowa would have beaten a likely top 10 Wisconsin at Camp Randall and likely has wins over a top 10 OSU (perhaps twice), a top 10 PSU at a neutral site, or a top 10 Michigan at a neutral site.

So, let's all agree right now if Iowa goes 12-1 they're in the CFP. But it ain't gonna happen anyway.
Meh.
 
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I think I would have rather beat Penn St. but that's because I think PSU is better. I don't think we will be close to making the playoffs but a better bowl game could be in the mix with an OSU win now.
 
It isn't likely to happen... hell, I'll just say it and you can all flip this back in my face if it does... NO CHANCE Iowa runs the table from here... but if they did run the table and end up 12-1 after winning the B1G championship game, they are in the playoff for sure. Consider Iowa would have beaten a likely top 10 Wisconsin at Camp Randall and likely has wins over a top 10 OSU (perhaps twice), a top 10 PSU at a neutral site, or a top 10 Michigan at a neutral site.

So, let's all agree right now if Iowa goes 12-1 they're in the CFP. But it ain't gonna happen anyway.
I don't agree :D
It's possible but we'll likely need help from others inside & outside the b1g.
 
I figure the CFP is an extremely long shot for Iowa unless we're undefeated. This year's schedule sets up nicely for a 1 loss bid if the loss comes early and we get some style points, but it would always have to be a case where there are no blue bloods that can make as good or better case for getting in. Iowa will always have to be either undefeated or 1 loss in a season where there aren't enough 0 or 1 loss name brand schools to select. That's just the way it is. The cards are stacked in favor of the big name schools, even with a playoff system.

All that being said, I guess tOSU since it's the later game and our conference schedule is reasonably difficult this year. Even so, I think we're less than 5% chance to make the playoff even if we win out from here.
Agreed, then add how iowa has been embarrassed the last 3 bowls and the b1g has been embarrassed the last 2 cfp. It's not suppose to matter, but it'll certainly be on voters minds.
 
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