So, I've been working a little bit on a "prediction engine" for individual matches, as well as for duals (just 10 individual predictions compiled for a dual). I'm fairly happy with the way it's turned out so far.
That got me thinking about the re-write I've been wanting to do for the dual rankings. Currently, I just take the ranking of each of the 10 starters for a team, and that those values to get the team total. Then rank all teams. This produces [what I thought] to be some skewed results because of the differences weight-to-weight, and don't properly reflect a real-life scenario where, in a dual, it's just one wrestler against another.
So, this morning I re-wrote (created a new one) the dual ranking system to utilize the prediction engine.
I looped through every team, and pitted that team against every other team in D1 (76 total matches). For each match, each of the starters were run through the prediction engine for each weight. Even though this is a time-consuming process to run on a weekly basis, I feel it gives a better example of "dual" strength.
I can honestly say, I love this new ranking system, and I can't wait to place the "WrestleStat Prediction: " in wrestler and dual comparison pages for next season, as well as the weekly fantasy pick'em stuff.
Here are the results (sorry for the poorly formatted list here, Google Drive is blocked at my work, my image hosting provider says I'm out of the freebies, and I don't want to take the time to sign up for another image hosting website. If someone wants to throw this on their own image hosting site, let me know and I'll email it.)
Name DualRanking Wins Losses OriginalRank
Penn State 1 76 0 1
Oklahoma State 2 75 1 2
Ohio State 3 73 3 4
Cornell 4 72 4 7
Iowa 4 72 4 3
Missouri 6 71 5 6
Virginia Tech 6 71 5 5
Nebraska 8 69 7 9
North Carolina State 9 68 8 8
Lehigh 10 66 10 10
Michigan 11 65 11 11
Minnesota 12 63 13 13
Rutgers 12 63 13 12
Oklahoma 14 61 15 15
Iowa State 15 60 16 19
Oregon State 16 59 17 17
Illinois 17 57 19 14
Stanford 17 57 19 18
North Carolina 19 55 21 16
Wyoming 20 54 22 23
Kent State 21 53 23 22
Northern Iowa 22 52 24 26
Rider 23 51 25 31
Central Michigan 24 50 26 20
Edinboro 24 50 26 28
Arizona State 26 48 28 27
Ohio 26 48 28 24
Duke 28 47 29 34
Virginia 28 47 29 35
West Virginia 28 47 29 32
Wisconsin 28 47 29 21
American 32 45 31 33
South Dakota State 32 45 31 29
Pittsburgh 34 44 32 53
CSU Bakersfield 35 42 34 40
Purdue 35 42 34 39
That got me thinking about the re-write I've been wanting to do for the dual rankings. Currently, I just take the ranking of each of the 10 starters for a team, and that those values to get the team total. Then rank all teams. This produces [what I thought] to be some skewed results because of the differences weight-to-weight, and don't properly reflect a real-life scenario where, in a dual, it's just one wrestler against another.
So, this morning I re-wrote (created a new one) the dual ranking system to utilize the prediction engine.
I looped through every team, and pitted that team against every other team in D1 (76 total matches). For each match, each of the starters were run through the prediction engine for each weight. Even though this is a time-consuming process to run on a weekly basis, I feel it gives a better example of "dual" strength.
I can honestly say, I love this new ranking system, and I can't wait to place the "WrestleStat Prediction: " in wrestler and dual comparison pages for next season, as well as the weekly fantasy pick'em stuff.
Here are the results (sorry for the poorly formatted list here, Google Drive is blocked at my work, my image hosting provider says I'm out of the freebies, and I don't want to take the time to sign up for another image hosting website. If someone wants to throw this on their own image hosting site, let me know and I'll email it.)
Name DualRanking Wins Losses OriginalRank
Penn State 1 76 0 1
Oklahoma State 2 75 1 2
Ohio State 3 73 3 4
Cornell 4 72 4 7
Iowa 4 72 4 3
Missouri 6 71 5 6
Virginia Tech 6 71 5 5
Nebraska 8 69 7 9
North Carolina State 9 68 8 8
Lehigh 10 66 10 10
Michigan 11 65 11 11
Minnesota 12 63 13 13
Rutgers 12 63 13 12
Oklahoma 14 61 15 15
Iowa State 15 60 16 19
Oregon State 16 59 17 17
Illinois 17 57 19 14
Stanford 17 57 19 18
North Carolina 19 55 21 16
Wyoming 20 54 22 23
Kent State 21 53 23 22
Northern Iowa 22 52 24 26
Rider 23 51 25 31
Central Michigan 24 50 26 20
Edinboro 24 50 26 28
Arizona State 26 48 28 27
Ohio 26 48 28 24
Duke 28 47 29 34
Virginia 28 47 29 35
West Virginia 28 47 29 32
Wisconsin 28 47 29 21
American 32 45 31 33
South Dakota State 32 45 31 29
Pittsburgh 34 44 32 53
CSU Bakersfield 35 42 34 40
Purdue 35 42 34 39
