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IowaLaw's 2023 Mid-Term Report Card: Offense

IowasLaw

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Nov 19, 2019
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Believe it or not, the season is already halfway over! If it seems like the Hawks have only had a few offensive series all year, it's because it's true (the Hawks rank 127th of 133 in time of possession). Zero off-season changes have led to a continuation of last year's offensive futility. Since Kirk doubled down on his OC, QBs coach, OL coach and WRs coach, we shouldn't have expected anything different. While the Hawks are 5-1, they could very well be the worst 5-1 team in the country and have survived based on having a MAC level schedule. So how are the position groups stacking up compared with the rest of the country?

Quarterback: F. The Hawkeye passing attack ranks 131st out of 133 D1 programs. The only teams worse are the 2 service academies who run a wishbone offense. Statistically, even Spencer Petras, college football's worst QB last year, would be an upgrade this year. While Hawk fans can make excuses with injuries, that just doesn't cut it in major college football. For example, lowly U of Arizona is playing their backup freshmen QB and he's completing 73% of his passes. Lowly Iowa State is playing their backup freshmen QB and he's completing 60% of his passes. Cade & Deac, in contrast, are completing just 45% of their mostly short passes. Iowa's completion % and yards per attempt rank last in the Power 5. It begs the question, if QB play consistently remains this bad year after year, who is coaching these guys (Cade & Deac are 4 star prospects as was Padilla last year)?

Running Backs: D+. The Hawkeyes, "known for their running game," rank just 108th out of 133 programs in rushing yards and 97th in yards per carry. Although Iowa has a relatively high profile RB in Johnson, he's been hurt much of the year. None of Iowa's backs rank in the top 100 in yards per game, total yards, or yards per carry. With Johnson back and Patterson coming, the Hawks have a good chance at improving their grade by year end.

Offensive Line: C-. The Hawkeye OL was atrocious last year. Staff picked up two grad transfers to improve the group and the returning starters guys were expected to get bigger, stronger, and better. Sadly, the transfers have been busts and the returning players haven't improved much. While the pass protection seems slightly better (Hawks rank 59th in sacks given up), the run game still gets stuffed at the line of scrimmage more often than not (Hawks rank 97th in yards per carry). As a result of the line play, the Hawks rank 131st on converting 3rd downs.

Wide Receivers: F. Given the number of stories written about Iowa's "improved" WR room in the offseason, this could be the most disappointing position group of all time at Iowa. As a reminder of just how bad things have become, take Nico Ragaini. Back in 2019 when the Hawks had WR threats like Smith-Marsette & Smith, it was actually Ragaini who led the team in catches with 46 catches for 440 yards. This year, Ragaini is on pace to finish with just 16 catches for 158 yards! You can't make this stuff up. What about those highly touted grad transfers? They have a combined 5 catches for 75 yards and 5 drops. Then there's media darling Vines, who has 9 drops to 7 receptions this year. By comparison with what other teams are doing, Missouri has a single WR who already has 54 receptions. The nation's 100th most productive WR has 24 catches. The ability to get open, which isn't difficult most places, eludes this group of WRs...and the ability to catch the ball is even worse.

Tight End: B+. Iowa's TEs were expected to be elite this year. Lachey is a potential 1st round draft pick and All was all Big 10 TE two years ago. Anything less than a stellar season would be a disappointment. Sadly, Lachey started fast but is out for the season. All has had his ups and downs with inopportune drops and fumbles, but appears to be trending in the right direction (that or he's all we have and is being targeted twice as much as a TE should). All has 19 receptions, which ranks 2nd among Big 10 TEs. However, by comparison, Georgia's all-American TE has 37 catches.

Kicker: A-. Stevens is irreplaceable. Like last year, he has been so incredibly consistent. He ranks 14th in field goals made, and 57th in field goal percentage, and has solid range from 50 yards+. In addition, Iowa is the only team in college football where the opponents have returned just 1 kick all season due to his booming leg.
 
Believe it or not, the season is already halfway over! If it seems like the Hawks have only had a few offensive series all year, it's because it's true (the Hawks rank 127th of 133 in time of possession). Zero off-season changes have led to a continuation of last year's offensive futility. Since Kirk doubled down on his OC, QBs coach, OL coach and WRs coach, we shouldn't have expected anything different. While the Hawks are 5-1, they could very well be the worst 5-1 team in the country and have survived based on having a MAC level schedule. So how are the position groups stacking up compared with the rest of the country?

Quarterback: F. The Hawkeye passing attack ranks 131st out of 133 D1 programs. The only teams worse are the 2 service academies who run a wishbone offense. Statistically, even Spencer Petras, college football's worst QB last year, would be an upgrade this year. While Hawk fans can make excuses with injuries, that just doesn't cut it in major college football. For example, lowly U of Arizona is playing their backup freshmen QB and he's completing 73% of his passes. Lowly Iowa State is playing their backup freshmen QB and he's completing 60% of his passes. Cade & Deac, in contrast, are completing just 45% of their mostly short passes. Iowa's completion % and yards per attempt rank last in the Power 5. It begs the question, if QB play consistently remains this bad year after year, who is coaching these guys (Cade & Deac are 4 star prospects as was Padilla last year)?

Running Backs: D+. The Hawkeyes, "known for their running game," rank just 108th out of 133 programs in rushing yards and 97th in yards per carry. Although Iowa has a relatively high profile RB in Johnson, he's been hurt much of the year. None of Iowa's backs rank in the top 100 in yards per game, total yards, or yards per carry. With Johnson back and Patterson coming, the Hawks have a good chance at improving their grade by year end.

Offensive Line: C-. The Hawkeye OL was atrocious last year. Staff picked up two grad transfers to improve the group and the returning starters guys were expected to get bigger, stronger, and better. Sadly, the transfers have been busts and the returning players haven't improved much. While the pass protection seems slightly better (Hawks rank 59th in sacks given up), the run game still gets stuffed at the line of scrimmage more often than not (Hawks rank 97th in yards per carry). As a result of the line play, the Hawks rank 131st on converting 3rd downs.

Wide Receivers: F. Given the number of stories written about Iowa's "improved" WR room in the offseason, this could be the most disappointing position group of all time at Iowa. As a reminder of just how bad things have become, take Nico Ragaini. Back in 2019 when the Hawks had WR threats like Smith-Marsette & Smith, it was actually Ragaini who led the team in catches with 46 catches for 440 yards. This year, Ragaini is on pace to finish with just 16 catches for 158 yards! You can't make this stuff up. What about those highly touted grad transfers? They have a combined 5 catches for 75 yards and 5 drops. Then there's media darling Vines, who has 9 drops to 7 receptions this year. By comparison with what other teams are doing, Missouri has a single WR who already has 54 receptions. The nation's 100th most productive WR has 24 catches. The ability to get open, which isn't difficult most places, eludes this group of WRs...and the ability to catch the ball is even worse.

Tight End: B+. Iowa's TEs were expected to be elite this year. Lachey is a potential 1st round draft pick and All was all Big 10 TE two years ago. Anything less than a stellar season would be a disappointment. Sadly, Lachey started fast but is out for the season. All has had his ups and downs with inopportune drops and fumbles, but appears to be trending in the right direction (that or he's all we have and is being targeted twice as much as a TE should). All has 19 receptions, which ranks 2nd among Big 10 TEs. However, by comparison, Georgia's all-American TE has 37 catches.

Kicker: A-. Stevens is irreplaceable. Like last year, he has been so incredibly consistent. He ranks 14th in field goals made, and 57th in field goal percentage, and has solid range from 50 yards+. In addition, Iowa is the only team in college football where the opponents have returned just 1 kick all season due to his booming leg.
Stevens is a C+. His blocked kick was low and headed left. His miss was ugly.
On the positive side his kickoffs have been great.
 
Lol…… that was a head scratcher for sure. When it says the run game gets stuffed at the LOS, what are the RB’s supposed to do?
Be more like Barry Sanders......because fans demand it.


Kinda like how we should return more kickoffs and punts that are "unreturnable" but we should return them anyways because fans think we should................
 
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Does anyone remember the press reports from the first fall of Spencer Petras’s first starting season?

They had asked the WR group, “what’s it like having Spencer throw you guys the ball?”

The very first reply.

“IT HURTS.” - Iowa WR


HAVE YOU EVER HEARD THIS BEFORE?

ANYWHERE?

THEY COACHED SPENCER TO DO THIS.

WHICH EXPLAINS THE ERRATIC THROWS.
 
I disagree. I don't think he is intentionally being told to throw fastballs.
I agree. It's a guy that's never learned how to use touch and isn't confident in his accuracy that throws fastballs at receivers 10 yards away. He throws darts because it's easier than throwing accurate balls that are more catchable.
 
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Stanley - Fastballs, inaccurate
Petras - Fastballs, inaccurate
Hill - Fastballs, inaccurate

Are you seeing a pattern?

Either they are coaching it this way or they are not coaching them not to do it.

Either way it is bad QB coaching.

The proof is in the pudding.

Petras, third year starter, Senior, also rated THE WORST QB IN COLLEGE FOOTBALL.
 
I agree. It's a guy that's never learned how to use touch and isn't confident in his accuracy that throws fastballs at receivers 10 yards away. He throws darts because it's easier than throwing accurate balls that are more catchable.

If this is true, then WHY THE HELL WAS HE RECRUITED????????????
 
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Stanley - Fastballs, inaccurate
Petras - Fastballs, inaccurate
Hill - Fastballs, inaccurate

Are you seeing a pattern?

Either they are coaching it this way or they are not coaching them not to do it.

Either way it is bad QB coaching.

The proof is in the pudding.

Petras, third year starter, Senior, also rated THE WORST QB IN COLLEGE FOOTBALL.
As crazy as it seems, QB play has actually taken a step back this year. Let that sink in for a moment.
 
I'm surprised we are as good as 108 out of 133 in the run game. My recollection is we've only had two games where we ran the ball effectively this season with Purdue being one of those two games.

The good news with Deacon is he is taking a lot of shots downfield and not taking a lot of sacks despite being slow footed. I think some of the missed overthrows he made were throws he was erring on the overthrow side on guys that were pretty closely defended. Petras wouldn't have attempted those throws and would have taken sacks or a late checkdown for no gain. That said, the Deacon needs to be a lot more accurate and if doesn't step it up soon, he's not the answer and time to move on to QB #3 whomever is on the roster.

The WR room needs to be cleared out and put in some walk ons that actually catch the ball.
 
OLine is a little high. Though better than last year's group of air blockers, putting them at a C- (slightly below average) is an insult to average OLines....
 
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Lol…… that was a head scratcher for sure. When it says the run game gets stuffed at the LOS, what are the RB’s supposed to do?
The numbers don't lie.

As the OP clearly states, the Hawk offensive line ranks 59th in the country in protecting their QBs. That's quite an accomplishment given how embarrassingly immobile Cade was all year and their 260lb backup isn't much quicker. 59th is not stellar, but it's the highest national rank of any unit on the offense. Couple the slightly above average pass blocking with the poor run blocking, you get a C- grade.

The RBs, on the other hand, came in as the strength of the team with loads of talent. Expectations were high. Kaleb Johnson, for example, was pre-season all Big 10 and was one of just 5 athletes nationwide to sign an NIL deal with Powerade. Despite his injury, he still leads the team in carries...but averages just 4.4 yards per carry (it would be less than 4 yards per carry if it weren't for a couple long runs). 4.4 yards per carry doesn't even rank among the top 20 of his own conference, let alone top 100 nationally. Johnson also has only has 1 catch all year, which is way below where he should be. The highly touted RB group doesn't deserve higher than a D+ when every team in the Big 10 has at least 1 better back, statistically (even Tyrone Tracey averages 6 yards per carry with 5 touchdowns).
 
The numbers don't lie.

As the OP clearly states, the Hawk offensive line ranks 59th in the country in protecting their QBs. That's quite an accomplishment given how embarrassingly immobile Cade was all year and their 260lb backup isn't much quicker. 59th is not stellar, but it's the highest national rank of any unit on the offense. Couple the slightly above average pass blocking with the poor run blocking, you get a C- grade.

The RBs, on the other hand, came in as the strength of the team with loads of talent. Expectations were high. Kaleb Johnson, for example, was pre-season all Big 10 and was one of just 5 athletes nationwide to sign an NIL deal with Powerade. Despite his injury, he still leads the team in carries...but averages just 4.4 yards per carry (it would be less than 4 yards per carry if it weren't for a couple long runs). 4.4 yards per carry doesn't even rank among the top 20 of his own conference, let alone top 100 nationally. Johnson also has only has 1 catch all year, which is way below where he should be. The highly touted RB group doesn't deserve higher than a D+ when every team in the Big 10 has at least 1 better back, statistically (even Tyrone Tracey averages 6 yards per carry with 5 touchdowns).

Opposing DC’s do not respect Iowa’s passing game.

Why the hell should they?
 
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The numbers don't lie.

As the OP clearly states, the Hawk offensive line ranks 59th in the country in protecting their QBs. That's quite an accomplishment given how embarrassingly immobile Cade was all year and their 260lb backup isn't much quicker. 59th is not stellar, but it's the highest national rank of any unit on the offense. Couple the slightly above average pass blocking with the poor run blocking, you get a C- grade.

The RBs, on the other hand, came in as the strength of the team with loads of talent. Expectations were high. Kaleb Johnson, for example, was pre-season all Big 10 and was one of just 5 athletes nationwide to sign an NIL deal with Powerade. Despite his injury, he still leads the team in carries...but averages just 4.4 yards per carry (it would be less than 4 yards per carry if it weren't for a couple long runs). 4.4 yards per carry doesn't even rank among the top 20 of his own conference, let alone top 100 nationally. Johnson also has only has 1 catch all year, which is way below where he should be. The highly touted RB group doesn't deserve higher than a D+ when every team in the Big 10 has at least 1 better back, statistically (even Tyrone Tracey averages 6 yards per carry with 5 touchdowns).
Numbers don't lie, but they can be wildly misinterpreted. With respect to the rb's, the holes haven't been there. That's not on the rb's.
 
Not sure if we have played a MAC level schedule, based on Kelley Ford Football power ratings:

We have beat the #57, 67, 86, and 117th rated teams at home.

We have beat the #47 team on the road

We have lost to the #5 rated team on the road.

Based on most deserved record, we have the #24 most deserved rank in the country, and number 20 in hardest record to achieve with only 66% that other teams in the top 25 would acheive our 5-1 record or better given our schedule.

Comparatively, for other 5-1 teams,

Missouri is 25th, 29th for achievement (which doesn't show past 30th)
Wyoming is 26th and 21st
Maryland is 27th, and 29th
Kentucky is 28th, and 28th
Miami of Ohio is 38th,
Fresno State is 48th
Toledo is 52nd
Ohio is 54th

I think we could take most all of the other 5-1 teams on this list.
 
I'm surprised we are as good as 108 out of 133 in the run game. My recollection is we've only had two games where we ran the ball effectively this season with Purdue being one of those two games.

The good news with Deacon is he is taking a lot of shots downfield and not taking a lot of sacks despite being slow footed. I think some of the missed overthrows he made were throws he was erring on the overthrow side on guys that were pretty closely defended. Petras wouldn't have attempted those throws and would have taken sacks or a late checkdown for no gain. That said, the Deacon needs to be a lot more accurate and if doesn't step it up soon, he's not the answer and time to move on to QB #3 whomever is on the roster.

The WR room needs to be cleared out and put in some walk ons that actually catch the ball.
We’ve lost like 14 receivers over the last 4 years and you now want us to play walk ons? Great idea. Our schemes suck. Get the receivers the ball in space and see what happens.
 
Numbers don't lie, but they can be wildly misinterpreted. With respect to the rb's, the holes haven't been there. That's not on the rb's.
To shrug your shoulders and say "the holes haven't been there" is a cop out excuse for the RBs. Like giving Brian a pass on his poor play calling and blaming it on execution.

The fact is, good backs make their own holes. Jaz Patterson had 90 yards on 10 carries against ISU. Johnson had 134 yards against Purdue. Williams had 145 yards against Western Michigan. That's 3 different 100 yard caliber backs. The holes are there, the backs are just woefully inconsistent and don't seem to break many tackles.
 
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To shrug your shoulders and say "the holes haven't been there" is a cop out excuse for the RBs. Like giving Brian a pass on his poor play calling and blaming it on execution.

The fact is, good backs make their own holes. Jaz Patterson had 90 yards on 10 carries against ISU. Johnson had 134 yards against Purdue. Williams had 145 yards against Western Michigan. That's 3 different 100 yard caliber backs. The holes are there, the backs are just woefully inconsistent and don't seem to break many tackles.
So you say holes don't matter and then provide data on what 3 of the backs can do with sufficient blocking 🤔. If you create the holes, the yards will come, unless you're Saquon Barkley. Then it doesn't matter as much.
 
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