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“Exponential change is mind bending.”

Figure It Out What GIF by CBC
 
What actually happens in solar is that the companies do good in areas that haven't been marketed too hard yet. After a bit of time, they run out of leads. After a bit more time, they start doing other things to make ends meet. Then they either shut down or focus on other areas to make money because they can't get enough leads to survive and their salespeople starve. I understand that most here don't want to hear that, but it's the truth.
 
Well when you really only have ONE decade of installations to compare with almost nothing before that, it does blow small minds

40 years =/= a decade.

In 1973, ‘Solar One’, the world’s first solar powered residence was built by the University of Delaware. In 1981, the first solar powered aircraft named The Solar Challenger was built by Paul MacCready.

image of solar one solar panels on a home


(’Solar One’, source – University of Delaware)

1982 witnessed the first megawatt scale commercial power plant in California, despite of high installation costs. Following this, more commercial solar plants started appearing on the map, such as the one in Pellworm, Germany in 1983. Since then, the graph has never ceased to climb, leading to a cumulative installed capacity of over 500GW by 2018, as solar panel installation companies had higher installation experience than nations did in the past.

 
When most people think of solar they are thinking single home installation on a roof. Just made a driving trip down to Vegas and thought for a moment that I saw a mirage in the desert. I quickly realized it was commercal solar arrays for as far as my eyes could see.
 
Well when you really only have ONE decade of installations to compare with almost nothing before that, it does blow small minds
That isn't the interesting comparison

The next 10x is equivalent to multiplying the world’s entire fleet of nuclear reactors by 8 in less than the time it typically takes to build just a single one of them.

Global nuclear production is about 10% of total.
If the next decade sees an 80% increase in power generation just from solar, that seems like a good thing.

Read about the expectations on AI power consumption in the next decade. It needs to come from somewhere.
 
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