A simply remarkable stat...

[Zooropa_NCR]

Is a team's record not the most important metric there is?

What does or did that record lead to ?

Iowa will be left out of big10 conference championship and the playoffs

 

[Garzatough85]

Whats amazing is he did this with Cade as QB for most of the season . Imagine what it would be had Sullivan started the entire year.

Let’s be clear; KJ is the reason and Cade was the beneficiary!

 

[eyesofhawk]

What does or did that record lead to ?

Iowa will be left out of big10 conference championship and the playoffs

What has the offensive improvement lead to?

A worse record.

The offense has never been as important as the record. And fans that have given Iowa a hard time have been out of line from the start.

Similarly, the fans that are happier with a better offense and a worse record can be done without

 

[Hawkeye Marching Band]

2017 was BF’s best year and was probably heavily influenced by KOK.

Can’t remember exactly when KOK retired, but it seems like the wheels fell off for BF afterwards.

O’Keefe retired after the 2021 season, which is when “the wheels fell off.”

 

[hawkandroll]

What has the offensive improvement lead to?

A worse record.

The offense has never been as important as the record. And fans that have given Iowa a hard time have been out of line from the start.

Similarly, the fans that are happier with a better offense and a worse record can be done without

 

[thunderstruck1]

You don’t understand what that means. It means that it strips out the effects of scheduling and relative strengths of opponents. You're trying to equalize everything that might impact raw numbers like yardage and points and be left with only true offensive performance.

You are correct, I do not understand. You said it strips out the strength of opponents and then you said it factors it in now you say again it strips it out. Forgive me for not understanding. All I am saying is you can not in any formula or metric leave out the strength of opponent and thus scheduling.

 

[jonesy5960]

You are correct, I do not understand. You said it strips out the strength of opponents and then you said it factors it in now you say again it strips it out. Forgive me for not understanding. All I am saying is you can not in any formula or metric leave out the strength of opponent and thus scheduling.

I'm trying to be patient but your reading skills and incorrect quotes are testing me.

This..
You said it strips out the strength of opponents
Is not this..
"it strips out the effects of scheduling and relative strengths of opponents"
Or this..
"strip out the influence of things that have nothing to do with the unit in question like strength of the opponent or relative strength of other units."

In no way shape or form am I suggesting that you can ignore the stength of opposing defenses or anything that impacts raw stats. You must strip out the influence of these extemporaneous factors in order to more accurately assess the matter at hand, which in this case is offensive efficiency.

In short, we agree.

 

[MAXIMUSHAWKEYE]

What has the offensive improvement lead to?

A worse record.

The offense has never been as important as the record. And fans that have given Iowa a hard time have been out of line from the start.

Similarly, the fans that are happier with a better offense and a worse record can be done without

Yeah, like I really wish we still had BFs offense to go with this defense. We would be 4-5 or worse with that offense.

 

[BirdistheWord]

Akrum Wadley Johnson and Sullivan. Gamers. KF not a fan of gamers.

Wadley was an asshat, there is a reason he had an NFL opportunity and did not even make a practice squad with that physical talent.

 

[TXHCHawk]

Yes. Wins matter most.

Yes. Our offense is better.

Yes. We had more wins last year, with a worse offense.

Yes. Our defense is worse than last year.

Yes. Offense, defense, and special teams matter.

 

[jonesy5960]

Yes. Wins matter most.

Yes. Our offense is better.

Yes. We had more wins last year, with a worse offense.

Yes. Our defense is worse than last year.

Yes. Offense, defense, and special teams matter.

6-3.

Offense doesn't matter.

Signed,

eyesofhawk.

P.S. Run. The. Ball.

 

[Easthawk1062]

This is why I couldn't fathom anyone continuing to defend Brian as OC or give excuses for the offensive performance. They were just an objectively poorly coached unit. Play calling and lack of a cohesive offensive scheme were bad enough, but the way the offensive unit just failed to work together was something to behold. Every week there were missed assignments, oline not getting off the ball at the same time, bad routes, etc. etc. etc. Some of that can be on the players, but I think we're seeing an offense that actually works together and understands what is going on this year. It feels like they are just more fundamentally sound across the board.

I remember a few folks on here saying it was all mainly execution and the OL also saying “it’s our players skill level” when people would say you can scheme up better to get WRs open and in space. Maybe not being so predictable helps guys execute, and the OL out and motion, etc. has helped guys get open. Weird concept.

 

[Dr. Phil Seuss]

I'm all about the metrics when it comes to evaluating offensive and defensive performance and efficiency. They strip out the influence of things that have nothing to do with the unit in question like strength of the opponent or relative strength of other units. My favored efficiency metric is BCF tools.

In 2023 Iowa had the 121st ranked offense in BCF Tools. As of today, they are ranked 35th, an improvement of 86 spots which is best in the country. Indiana has a similar improvement of 80 spots. Kudos to Tim Lester for an incredible job done to date during his first year at the helm, and I would argue that the offense is performing at a much higher level today than it has for the rest of the year.

But that's not the most remarkable stat. The last time Iowa had an offensive efficiency ranking this high was in 2017 when it was ranked exactly 35 as well. Coincidentally, that was also Brian's first year as OC. Offensive efficiency dropped every year thereafter until reaching rock bottom during his last 2 with far and away the worst efficiency numbers since these metrics were created in 2007.

BCF Toys - 2024 OFEI Ratings

www.bcftoys.com

Imagine if they canned Brian after ‘22, hired this guy, and had him with last year’s Defense.

In Kirk We Trust!

 

[Dr. Phil Seuss]

I think we would've started a little slow at first, because for all his faults, Cade has more familiarity with the roster. But I do think we would've come around offensively a lot quicker given what Lester seems to be allowed to do with the offense.

I still don't know how much different our record would be. Probably 7-2 instead of 6-3.

I still think that MSU game was just a perfect storm of issues on both sides. We still need to "see" the defense carry this dominance through multiple games and against mobile dual threat QBs, which is what we're gonna get in the final 3 games........

I’d bet a lot that Iowa is 8-1 if Sullivan is the guy from start of camp. McNamara was horrendous against Iowa State and they were right there with Sparty with no offense at all.

 

[jonesy5960]

Imagine if they canned Brian after ‘22, hired this guy, and had him with last year’s Defense.

In Kirk We Trust!

Yeah. Kirk ****ed that up, much like he played the wrong QB during the first half of the year. He kept Brian because he's his son, and he's loathe to fire anyone in the first place. Fans might not like it, but that one is completely understandable given the dynamics and Kirk is hardly the first HC to make that mistake.

I don't know why he played Cade but it didn't have anything to do with being their best chance to win. That much has become obvious over the last few games. Kirk has always been slow to change QB's, but i believe this is more than that. Cade was purchased with NIL dollars and Kirk might be concerned that benching him would be seen as a failure of him being a good steward of those dollars. In addition there was this narrative out there that Cade was mistreated by Michigan and that Iowa wasn't going to do the same after his injuries. Kirk might have even made some personal commitment that Cade would be QB1 as long as he was healthy. In any case, Cade being QB1 had nothing to do with production and if I was a conspiracy theorist, Cade's "injury" might be more about saving face than saving his health. Who knows?