So here is the situation. As has been stated, games against non-D1 teams do not count for calculating RPI and overall record in the eyes of the NCAA when it comes to the tournament.
Iowa's schedule is turning out to be one of the toughest in recent years. Iowa has great opportunities vs Ohio State, @ Minnesota, vs Oklahoma State, @ Nebraska, and midweek @ Bradley. We obviously need to win more of those than we lose and avoid getting swept in any of them.
Iowa also has some RPI killing games at the end of the year. You can sweep a sub 200 team and drop in the RPI. You lose at home to teams with an RPI in the 200's and it can drop you 10-15 spots.
Iowa is walking a fine line this year, they have done what they needed to so far but much more work to be done. We've seen that past our top 2-3 in the bullpen it can be adventure especially if we don't get quality starts. We've also seen our offense do absolutely nothing for a period of time. Right now it would be HUGE to have even one or two more wins over the likes of UNLV, Missouri State, and SLU.
Time will tell, win more than we lose against the above and don't lose more than 1 or 2 to sub 200 RPI teams and I think we are in.