Since the end of last season the topic of adding a post to Iowa WBB via the portal has come up in various threads multiple times. Coach Bluder has addressed this by saying the staff felt there were only a handful of options that they felt could play at Iowa, and when contacted, said they weren't interested. This seems very possible to me, but there have been multiple posters who continually say there were many more post players in the portal that would represent a significant upgrade to our trio of O'Grady, Goodman, and Ediger. I wanted to see if I could find some hard facts that would support either point of view.
This website far and away has the most extensive data base with respect to the D1 portal:
I tried to find out what really was out there for possibilities. I randomly categorized a 'post' as a player that was 6'3" or taller, since that is what our posters are calling for. I'm not a statistician, but here's what I found out:
1) Of the 1124 players listed as in the portal, 111 of them were 6'3" and taller.
2) The 6 major D1 conferences (ACC, Big 12, Big East, Big 10, Pac 12, SEC) were the best source of better options.
45 of the 257 players in the portal from these schools were 'posts'.
Of those 45, 23 landed at another D1 school. 1 did not sign anywhere.
3) In the remaining 26 D1 conferences there were 867 portal players, but only 65 were 'posts'.
Of those 65, only 10 signed with another D1 school. 26 of them signed nowhere.
Seems to indicate that if you wanted a D1 level post, the main 6 conferences were the place to look.
4) The top 2 players from the 26 smaller conferences were Camilla Emsbo, who went from Yale to Duke, and Isnelle Natabou, who
landed at Iowa State from Sacramento State. Here's their numbers: Emsbo 4.6 ppg/2.9 rpg/15.7 minutes; Natabou 5.2/4.3/12.6.
Definitely not moving the needle at their new schools.
5) Top Power Conference options:
Lauren Betts (6'7") Our dream candidate; landed at UCLA. 15.3/8.4/25.2
Lauren Ware (6'5") Arizona to Texas A&M. 9.7/8.4/27.2
Sedona Prince (6'7") Oregon to TCU. 20.8/10.3/31.8. Has missed most of Jan and Feb with broken finger; back in the lineup.
Hannah Gusters (6'5") LSU to Okie St. 14.8/4.1/24.3. Also has missed significant time due to injury.
6) My methodology is somewhat flawed in that it brought up a 6'3" player with great stats this year, but she's actually a guard.
Therefore I exclude her from the above list. This is Destiny Adams; at Rutgers via North Carolina. 15.2/7.5/29.6.
7) Why only 4 players in #5? They were the only 4 that actually exceeded what we have now. Since our 3 bigs in question never
are on the floor together I compiled their stats to create a composite post player for us. What does this look like?
10.1 ppg/6 rpg/21.6 minutes. That's what our three-headed post is giving us currently. No other D1 post outside of the 4 listed
above have better stats.
There are all sorts of ways to poke holes in what I've listed, but it is based on factual data. I'd like to hear everyone's comments and criticisms; I would like to have reasons listed for any assertions.
My conclusion is that Coach Bluder was correct when she said there were very few options out there that would represent an upgrade to our current roster.
Go Hawks!
This website far and away has the most extensive data base with respect to the D1 portal:
Women's basketball transfer portal: Comprehensive transfer list for 2023-24 — Heat Check CBB
Check out our comprehensive women's basketball transfer portal for the 2023-24 season, which already includes over 1,000 players.
heatcheckcbb.com
I tried to find out what really was out there for possibilities. I randomly categorized a 'post' as a player that was 6'3" or taller, since that is what our posters are calling for. I'm not a statistician, but here's what I found out:
1) Of the 1124 players listed as in the portal, 111 of them were 6'3" and taller.
2) The 6 major D1 conferences (ACC, Big 12, Big East, Big 10, Pac 12, SEC) were the best source of better options.
45 of the 257 players in the portal from these schools were 'posts'.
Of those 45, 23 landed at another D1 school. 1 did not sign anywhere.
3) In the remaining 26 D1 conferences there were 867 portal players, but only 65 were 'posts'.
Of those 65, only 10 signed with another D1 school. 26 of them signed nowhere.
Seems to indicate that if you wanted a D1 level post, the main 6 conferences were the place to look.
4) The top 2 players from the 26 smaller conferences were Camilla Emsbo, who went from Yale to Duke, and Isnelle Natabou, who
landed at Iowa State from Sacramento State. Here's their numbers: Emsbo 4.6 ppg/2.9 rpg/15.7 minutes; Natabou 5.2/4.3/12.6.
Definitely not moving the needle at their new schools.
5) Top Power Conference options:
Lauren Betts (6'7") Our dream candidate; landed at UCLA. 15.3/8.4/25.2
Lauren Ware (6'5") Arizona to Texas A&M. 9.7/8.4/27.2
Sedona Prince (6'7") Oregon to TCU. 20.8/10.3/31.8. Has missed most of Jan and Feb with broken finger; back in the lineup.
Hannah Gusters (6'5") LSU to Okie St. 14.8/4.1/24.3. Also has missed significant time due to injury.
6) My methodology is somewhat flawed in that it brought up a 6'3" player with great stats this year, but she's actually a guard.
Therefore I exclude her from the above list. This is Destiny Adams; at Rutgers via North Carolina. 15.2/7.5/29.6.
7) Why only 4 players in #5? They were the only 4 that actually exceeded what we have now. Since our 3 bigs in question never
are on the floor together I compiled their stats to create a composite post player for us. What does this look like?
10.1 ppg/6 rpg/21.6 minutes. That's what our three-headed post is giving us currently. No other D1 post outside of the 4 listed
above have better stats.
There are all sorts of ways to poke holes in what I've listed, but it is based on factual data. I'd like to hear everyone's comments and criticisms; I would like to have reasons listed for any assertions.
My conclusion is that Coach Bluder was correct when she said there were very few options out there that would represent an upgrade to our current roster.
Go Hawks!