Ranking team's expected wins through the regional finals with their actual wins. Ironically, three of the worst 12 performing teams in the last 5 tournaments have also won titles.
Virginia has 4 appearances; a title and 3 first round exits.
Baylor has 4 appearances; a title and 3 second round exits.
Kansas has 5 appearances; a title, a final four, and three second round exits.
Arizona has 3 appearances; a Sweet 16 and two first round exits.
Virginia has 4 appearances; a title and 3 first round exits.
Baylor has 4 appearances; a title and 3 second round exits.
Kansas has 5 appearances; a title, a final four, and three second round exits.
Arizona has 3 appearances; a Sweet 16 and two first round exits.
Team | Expected Win | Wins | +/- |
Virginia | 12 | 4 | -8 |
Arizona | 9 | 2 | -7 |
Purdue | 13 | 7 | -6 |
Kansas | 16 | 11 | -5 |
Tennessee | 10 | 6 | -4 |
Illinois | 6 | 2 | -4 |
Baylor | 10 | 7 | -3 |
Alabama | 8 | 5 | -3 |
Xavier | 6 | 3 | -3 |
Iowa | 5 | 2 | -3 |
Cincinnati | 4 | 1 | -3 |
Marquette | 4 | 1 | -3 |