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Final Win Total in Big Ten Play?

ChiPackHawk

HB All-American
Jan 10, 2018
4,047
7,559
113
I'm hoping for 12 but will be happy with 11. I think anything under 11 will be a disappointing end to the schedule.
 
Considering the 0-3 start to the conference season, anything above .500 will be a great finish. Hell, even .500 will be a pretty good end - considering.

But I think a 5-3 - or even 6-2 - finish is very attainable, thus 12-8 (or 13-7) is my guess. But like you, I would not find a 4-4/11-9 finish to be that disappointing.

As long as there is no injury problems between now and early March, anything less than a 3-5 end to the regular season will be a major disappointment.
 
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Let's pump the breaks and just hope we win out at home.

Road games are never gimme's. Minnesota is atrocious, but that game might get cancelled and we have lost to plenty of bad Minnesota teams in the Barn. (remember, a minnesota team that finished 14-15 beat the #4 ranked hawkeyes in 2020).

Never count your chickens at the start of February . . . .
 
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Remaining schedule ranked easiest to hardest, as I see them:

-----Favored to win----
Nebby
@Minny
OSU
MSU
------Toss ups------
@UW
@NW
-----Probable L's---
@IU
@PU

The way UW is playing that game could be moved to the 'favored to win' column but winning in Madison is never better than 50/50.
 
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IDK man, I gotta think the Hawks win that @MIN game, even if don't play really well. The Gophers really are that shorthanded and bad this season.

Reason for my optimism? Iowa absolutely had MSU beat in East Lansing, if they just make a few (more) FTs.


4-4 has got to be the ground level for an acceptable finish, imo, w/o injury problems.
 
This is always fun to look at when you don't want to be doing your actual work:


It looks like just about 50/50 shot at the double bye as of right now.
 
If I could choose the officials, especially on the away games, I would predict 5-3 finish, but I think 4-4 is most likely. Let's beat the Goofers and the floundering Buckeyes, and go from there.
 
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