From an Omaha campaign worker

[FlickShagwell]

I work in west Omaha (suburban, historically very Republican) with a lady who is working the polls. Talked with her during her lunch break. Said Nebraska as a whole has already seen close to half all ballots cast early. From what she’s hearing from the dem and republican reps tasked with counting votes, Democrats are up way bigger than expected. Too early to tell conclusively, but give a blue dot in Nebraska to Kamala.

 

[spiderland]

There’s three more coming in a couple hours.

 

[luvmyhawks]

I have been saying it for about a week and @GOHOX69 has been saying it even longer that this isn't going to be close. People are fed the eff up with turd.

 

[FlickShagwell]

I think Allan Lichtman and Anne Seltzer are right on the money. Won’t even be a point to file lawsuits and hope the Supreme Court decides it.

 

[torbee]

I have been saying it for about a week and @GOHOX69 has been saying it even longer that this isn't going to be close. People are fed the eff up with turd.

I'm still not discounting that this general "vibe" feeling is merely wishful thinking on the part of we non-insane, non-cult members who want to believe America cannot be idiotic enough to put a rapist clown felon back in the White House.

So I'm not popping any corks yet.

 

[spiderland]

I have been saying it for about a week and @GOHOX69 has been saying it even longer that this isn't going to be close. People are fed the eff up with turd.

I posted this in a couple other threads, but if you’ve gotten Mrs. spider (no pic) pissed off enough to do something she’s never done in almost 50 years of living, then you’ve done some solid pissing off work.

 

[Mister_Man]

I'm still not discounting that this general "vibe" feeling is merely wishful thinking on the part of we non-insane, non-cult members who want to believe America cannot be idiotic enough to put a rapist clown felon back in the White House.

So I'm not popping any corks yet.

I kind of feel like I did when Iowa was up on Iowa St at halftime.

 

[torbee]

I kind of feel like I did when Iowa was up on Iowa St at halftime.

Exactly.

"We pretty much have this in the bag, right? RIGHT?"

 

[spiderland]

I kind of feel like I did when Iowa was up on Iowa St at halftime.

Bite your tongue.

 

[luvmyhawks]

I'm still not discounting that this general "vibe" feeling is merely wishful thinking on the part of we non-insane, non-cult members who want to believe America cannot be idiotic enough to put a rapist clown felon back in the White House.

So I'm not popping any corks yet.

I totally get it. I have even tried to tell myself to not be overly confident and set myself up for disappointment. But I have just been trying to figure out where Trump gets his extra votes to pull this thing off. The 2020 election wasn't really all that close when it was all said and done. Since then, Trump has done nothing to garner more support from anywhere and has in fact done an awful lot to lose more of those voters. 34 felonies. Assault charges, etc., etc..... the list is long. Abortions. Generals and well respected Republicans coming out in support for Kamala or disgust of Trump. Whichever, it doesn't matter. More Republicans will sit this one out than will Democrats. So, where do these votes come from to put him over the top?

I understand yours and everyone else's reluctance. But by 10 PM tonight you will be popping the cork as the US of A will have officially voted in the first woman into the most powerful position in the world. And when that happens, we should all be hopeful that it will be such a punch to the gut for Republicans that they will be forced to look in the mirror and change their way.

 

[Tenacious E]

Exactly.

"We pretty much have this in the bag, right? RIGHT?"

too soon. Much too soon.

 

[luvmyhawks]

I posted this in a couple other threads, but if you’ve gotten Mrs. spider (no pic) pissed off enough to do something she’s never done in almost 50 years of living, then you’ve done some solid pissing off work.

This shit stain needs to be forced out of American politics for good and I think that is exactly what happens tonight.

 

[torbee]

I have just been trying to figure out where Trump gets his extra votes to pull this thing off.

The answer is that even in an exceptionally large turnout election, only 70% or so of eligible American voters cast a ballot.

Think about the kind of person that ignores or hates or generally gives zero-shits about politics, civics, their community and therefore doesn't bother to vote. This is the kind of person Trump EXCELS at motivating - he knows how to tweak their anger nipple and get pissed off about "THEM" - and then he gets them to actually get off their ass and vote.

That's the worry.

That is what happened in 2016 and of course polling doesn't capture those types of voters.

The hope in 2024 is that something a bit on the reverse happens - the average non-political, young and non-interested voter - particularly young women - recognize an existential threat and actually get off their ass and vote.

We shall see.

 

[NorthernHawkeye]

I work in west Omaha (suburban, historically very Republican) with a lady who is working the polls. Talked with her during her lunch break. Said Nebraska as a whole has already seen close to half all ballots cast early. From what she’s hearing from the dem and republican reps tasked with counting votes, Democrats are up way bigger than expected. Too early to tell conclusively, but give a blue dot in Nebraska to Kamala.

Why is this information being publicly disclosed by a poll worker?

 

[gohawks50]

Why is this information being publicly disclosed by a poll worker?

Are vote counts secret now?

 

[FlickShagwell]

Why is this information being publicly disclosed by a poll worker?

We’d already talked at length about your whore mother, so out of boredom?

 

[NorthernHawkeye]

Are vote counts secret now?

Are you aware of any states that are releasing vote counts prior to the polls closing?

 

[FlickShagwell]

Are you aware of any states that are releasing vote counts prior to the polls closing?

Holy shit, just stop.

 

[Mister_Man]

The answer is that even in an exceptionally large turnout election, only 70% or so of eligible American voters cast a ballot.

Think about the kind of person that ignores or hates or generally gives zero-shits about politics, civics, their community and therefore doesn't bother to vote. This is the kind of person Trump EXCELS at motivating - he knows how to tweak their anger nipple and get pissed off about "THEM" - and then he gets them to actually get off their ass and vote.

That's the worry.

That is what happened in 2016 and of course polling doesn't capture those types of voters.

The hope in 2024 is that something a bit on the reverse happens - the average non-political, young and non-interested voter - particularly young women - recognize an existential threat and actually get off their ass and vote.

We shall see.

My fear is through all of their attempts to overturn the 2020 election, they learned and found holes in the system. Whether it be through local polls or the state legislator.

 

[BigOHawk]

Gender lines will be massive tonight. Trump has the bros for most part and Kamala has a huge section of female votes and the latter will turnout in droves. Harris ground game will pay off later tonight imo.

 

[95Hawk]

Northern getting all mad about supposedly “private” election details being shared. El-oh-el.

How about we use a publicly available metric to see about Trump’s prospects: Wall Street.

 

[Capital1Hawk]

There’s three more coming in a couple hours.

Flipping Nebraska is too funny. I want what you idiots are on!

 

[gohawks50]

Are you aware of any states that are releasing vote counts prior to the polls closing?

The poll worker gave a general feeling about the results. I don't think Flick knows any actual numbers from district 2. If he did though, what would it hurt?

 

[gohawks50]

Flipping Nebraska is too funny. I want what you idiots are on!

Have you heard of the blue dot?

 

[spiderland]

Flipping Nebraska is too funny. I want what you idiots are on!

Yep. That’s exactly what I said. Three votes will flip the state. But thanks for playing.

 

[Phenomenally Frantastic]

"We pretty much have this in the bag, right? RIGHT?"

.

 

[torbee]

Flipping Nebraska is too funny. I want what you idiots are on!

Know how I know you're dumb? 😂 😂 😂

 

[SL Hawk Fan]

Northern getting all mad about supposedly “private” election details being shared. El-oh-el.

How about we use a publicly available metric to see about Trump’s prospects: Wall Street.

Did Trump cash out? That’s one of my conspiracy theories I’ve been pondering. The “paid” polling activity was really just to drive up the share price so that Donny could cash out and catch a plane to some country with no extradition back to the states.

 

[FlickShagwell]

Flipping Nebraska is too funny. I want what you idiots are on!

JFC.

 

[FormerlyCyberCy]

Also a blue dot voter. There was a 40 minute wait at 11 AM at our neighborhood polling place. It’s usually 10 minutes at most. Despite the long line, everyone was patiently waiting and talking to fellow voters/neighbors. I made sure to thank every poll worker. It’s an important civic duty. Pretty sure Harris will carry the 2nd District.

 

[millah_22]

I work in west Omaha (suburban, historically very Republican) with a lady who is working the polls. Talked with her during her lunch break. Said Nebraska as a whole has already seen close to half all ballots cast early. From what she’s hearing from the dem and republican reps tasked with counting votes, Democrats are up way bigger than expected. Too early to tell conclusively, but give a blue dot in Nebraska to Kamala.

I live in deep blue dot area and There is maybe 1 Trump sign in my entire neighborhood. A decent amount of Harris. A LOT of Vargas/Ashlei though.

 

[NorthernHawkeye]

Northern getting all mad about supposedly “private” election details being shared. El-oh-el.

How about we use a publicly available metric to see about Trump’s prospects: Wall Street.

It's hardly "private" when a poll worker shares vote counts and then Flick posts it on an internet message board.

 

[EagleHawk]

I understand yours and everyone else's reluctance. But by 10 PM tonight you will be popping the cork as the US of A will have officially voted in the first woman into the most powerful position in the world. And when that happens, we should all be hopeful that it will be such a punch to the gut for Republicans that they will be forced to look in the mirror and change their way.

This actually makes me regret the fact the HRC wasn't elected 8 years ago. She would have been 100x the president the Kamala will be.

 

[FlickShagwell]

I live in deep blue dot area and There is maybe 1 Trump sign in my entire neighborhood. A decent amount of Harris. A LOT of Vargas/Ashlei though.

I’m in dundee. 65-75% of houses have a Vargas/blue dot sign in their yard. What my friend had to say about what they were seeing this morning in west O was surprising to me, though.

 

[millah_22]

It's hardly "private" when a poll worker shares vote counts and then Flick posts it on an internet message board.

Why are you so mad?

 

[NorthernHawkeye]

The poll worker gave a general feeling about the results. I don't think Flick knows any actual numbers from district 2. If he did though, what would it hurt?

A "general feeling"?

See below:

I work in west Omaha (suburban, historically very Republican) with a lady who is working the polls. Talked with her during her lunch break. Said Nebraska as a whole has already seen close to half all ballots cast early. From what she’s hearing from the dem and republican reps tasked with counting votes, Democrats are up way bigger than expected. Too early to tell conclusively, but give a blue dot in Nebraska to Kamala.

 

[gohawks50]

A "general feeling"?

See below:

Up bigger than expected isn't very specific especially if you don't know what they expected.

 

[millah_22]

I’m in dundee. 65-75% of houses have a Vargas/blue dot sign in their yard. What my friend had to say about what they were seeing this morning in west O was surprising to me, though.

Has Dundee/Underwood/Happy Hollow always been pretty blue? I was kind of surprised to see all the left signs when driving through there last weekend. Most of those houses are like half a milli.

 

[FlickShagwell]

It's hardly "private" when a poll worker shares vote counts and then Flick posts it on an internet message board.

Show where I posted vote counts, moron. Hell, I’m interested in hearing these figures, since I wasn’t even provided with them myself.

We could all use a laugh.

 

[millah_22]

I’m in dundee. 65-75% of houses have a Vargas/blue dot sign in their yard. What my friend had to say about what they were seeing this morning in west O was surprising to me, though.

I'm up in Florence.